May 2, 2017

Technology is having its effect! The relative price of services is rising, but the price of ‘stuff’ is falling:

But another form of progress has led to what some economists call the “Walmart effect”: falling prices for a huge array of manufactured goods.

Since the 1980s, for instance, the real price of a midrange color television has plummeted about tenfold, and televisions today are crisper, bigger, lighter and often Internet-connected. Similarly, the effective price of clothing, bicycles, small appliances, processed foods — virtually anything produced in a factory — has followed a downward trajectory. The result is that Americans can buy much more stuff at bargain prices.

Many crucial services, though, remain out of reach for poor families. The costs of a college education and health care have soared.

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HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0936 % 2,153.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0936 % 3,951.2
Floater 3.54 % 3.66 % 47,795 18.14 4 -0.0936 % 2,277.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0313 % 3,024.3
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.34 % 71,515 1.61 5 -0.0313 % 3,611.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0313 % 2,818.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.32 % -0.63 % 73,804 0.09 22 -0.1669 % 2,780.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.06 % 5.10 % 105,359 15.31 14 0.0746 % 3,010.7
FixedReset 4.44 % 4.05 % 228,724 6.56 94 -0.3091 % 2,333.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.00 % 4.88 % 142,542 3.50 31 -0.0328 % 2,890.8
FloatingReset 2.52 % 3.07 % 52,023 4.49 10 -0.0885 % 2,528.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.A FixedReset -2.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.77
Bid-YTW : 8.05 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 8.88 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 22.44
Evaluated at bid price : 23.03
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 21.99
Evaluated at bid price : 22.39
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 16.11
Evaluated at bid price : 16.11
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.98
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : -10.77 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 19.13
Evaluated at bid price : 19.13
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.A FixedReset 183,365 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 21.34
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 150,150 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.98
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 79,601 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 16.11
Evaluated at bid price : 16.11
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 67,018 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 24.12
Evaluated at bid price : 24.37
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 56,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.71
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %
BNS.PR.H FixedReset 43,520 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.37
Bid-YTW : 3.62 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 21.52 – 21.94
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2654

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.52
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %

RY.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.22 – 25.53
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1749

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : -9.26 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Quote: 16.55 – 17.03
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3699

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %

MFC.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 22.71 – 23.02
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2078

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.71
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 14.26 – 14.63
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2758

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-02
Maturity Price : 14.26
Evaluated at bid price : 14.26
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.35 – 25.65
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2066

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : -10.77 %

2 Responses to “May 2, 2017”

  1. malcolmm says:

    While I don’t disagree that the price of “stuff” is falling, I think the numbers are questionable.

    The note on the chart says that prices are adjusted to reflect improvements in quality (I think they really mean performance, quality hasn’t changed much in electronics over the last ten years). Is my current desktop computer significantly more powerful than a computer from ten years ago? Of course, but the programs and websites we use are far more demanding on computer resources today than they were ten years ago. Over time, most stuff becomes more capable, look at cars. This is not the same as a decrease in price though, because in most cases, these improvements aren’t optional and they are often needed.

    We should also factor in the cost of repairing our stuff. Cars are now extremely reliable, but when something goes wrong the cost of repairing it is really high. Some stuff isn’t even repairable unless it is still under warranty, for example Apple smart phones and computers.

    Then there is the stuff that is now very cheap but of very low quality. I replaced my kitchen and bathroom faucets less than ten years ago. I bought reasonably high quality parts, around $200 each. The chrome on the bathroom faucet is starting to rust and the faucet in the kitchen is broken. I’m not hard on stuff, the quality of much of the stuff we buy now is garbage.

  2. jiHymas says:

    I’ll certainly agree that if you aren’t using the additional power of modern computer equipment then the quality/performance improvements don’t mean very much. And it’s also true that I’m old and grumpy enough that a lot of the modern ever-so-cool enhancements to websites that require all that power could easily be dispensed with.

    But, just for fun, I looked back in my company books for what I was paying for computer equipment back in the good old days. In 2000, I spent $2,200 on a cheap desk-top, while in 2001 I spent $3,200 each on a pair of good ones. I also spent – brace yourself – $6,500 for a laptop capable of running my software with a decent amount of speed, and $600 on a back-up system.

    Nowadays, I spend somewhere around $350 whenever I need a laptop and it runs my software just fine, while allowing me to stream videos and check out Facebook at the same time. I can buy thumbdrives for back-up … 7GB at $1/GB. It always makes me laugh … when I started buying computers in quantity back in the nineties, the rule of thumb was that a hard drive cost $1/MB. The good old days were expensive!

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