September 11, 2017

The BoC has had a look at Canadian bond trading:

Technology, risk tolerance and regulation may influence dealers to reduce their trading as principals (using their own balance sheets for sales and purchases of securities) in favour of agency trading (matching client trades). A move toward agency trading would represent a change in the structure of Canadian bond markets and, in theory, could worsen some aspects of market liquidity. To assess the prevalence of agency trading in Canada, we use data from the Market Trade Reporting System to construct the first estimate of agency-based trading in Canadian bond markets. We find that agency trading is relatively uncommon across major segments of Canadian fixed-income market and that large bank broker-dealers are less likely than their smaller counterparts to trade as an agent.

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One economist has been brave enough to criticize the BoC’s communications:

The Bank of Canada didn’t give a speech or make other public comments about the strength of an economic recovery in the days before its Sept. 6 increase, a decision that Bank of Montreal Chief Economist Doug Porter called “an epic fail” in a report on Friday. The quarter-point increase to 1 percent was anticipated by six of 29 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Jeremy Harrison, the central bank’s chief spokesman, said in emailed comments that policy makers indicated at the last decision in July that monetary policy would be forward-looking and depend on economic data. Trading in overnight index swaps had also priced in 50-50 odds of a move this month after a strong report on second-quarter gross domestic product, which was published during a traditional blackout period in the days just before a rate meeting, Harrison said. Harrison had initially provided these comments to the Globe and Mail newspaper.

Seems to me like Porter wants his policy forecasts to be served to him on a plate, as was the case with the July increase. The major problem with the BoC’s communications is that committee votes and reasons for dissents – a normal component of the communication of a professionally run central bank – are not specified in the bank’s press releases and that the bank’s outreach is very close to being all Poloz, all the time!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1854 % 2,407.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1854 % 4,417.3
Floater 3.90 % 3.95 % 109,308 17.44 3 -0.1854 % 2,545.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0950 % 3,064.1
SplitShare 4.75 % 4.53 % 65,251 3.70 5 -0.0950 % 3,659.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0950 % 2,855.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.43 % 4.92 % 62,749 6.13 16 -0.1999 % 2,770.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.37 % 5.43 % 66,841 14.70 19 -0.5296 % 2,880.0
FixedReset 4.36 % 4.53 % 145,685 6.26 98 -0.0149 % 2,396.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.16 % 5.74 % 96,928 6.07 31 -0.0761 % 2,840.5
FloatingReset 2.84 % 3.11 % 43,417 4.12 8 0.2209 % 2,627.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 24.09
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 16.63
Evaluated at bid price : 16.63
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.71
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 21.90
Evaluated at bid price : 22.22
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.92
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 21.94
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.86
Bid-YTW : 8.33 %
IFC.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 2.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.H FixedReset 118,225 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset 113,338 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 98,418 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 22.42
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
W.PR.K FixedReset 91,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
BMO.PR.B FixedReset 90,992 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %
NA.PR.C FixedReset 83,425 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
There were 35 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 24.00 – 25.05
Spot Rate : 1.0500
Average : 0.6057

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 22.94
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 19.02 – 19.56
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3492

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 19.02
Evaluated at bid price : 19.02
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %

HSE.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 23.13 – 23.53
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2890

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 22.61
Evaluated at bid price : 23.13
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %

W.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 26.13 – 26.47
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2321

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %

ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.00 – 22.36
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2595

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-09-11
Maturity Price : 21.75
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %

SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 20.93 – 21.17
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1526

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.93
Bid-YTW : 7.40 %

3 Responses to “September 11, 2017”

  1. after says:

    hi, may I ask for some info on PWF.pr.G
    how can i find out what sort of pref this is ?
    looks like coupon is 5.90 %
    thanks in advance

  2. BarleyandHops says:

    The Bank of Canada didn’t give a speech or make other public comments about the strength of an economic recovery in the days before its Sept. 6 increase, a decision that Bank of Montreal Chief Economist Doug Porter called “an epic fail”

    Sorry, a bit of a chuckle here – Porter missed his spoon feeding and complains. Most economists digest information and make educated forecasts. But I guess he prefers a more direct approach.

  3. jiHymas says:

    hi, may I ask for some info on PWF.pr.G
    how can i find out what sort of pref this is ?

    Your first recourse should be PrefInfo the site I run which provides basic information on many preferred share issues.

    PWF.PR.G is listed there and it is indeed, as you say, a 5.90% preferred.

    If an issue is not listed on PrefInfo – and just to double-check, even if it is – search for the ticker on PrefBlog. Type the ticker symbol into the search box at the top of the right-hand navigation panel and click “Search” to find all the posts that have mentioned this ticker.

    A lot of these posts will be “Market Action” reports and not be particularly informative – it doesn’t do you a lot of good to find out that the issue was a fine performer on a particular day five years ago! However, posts that have the search term in the headline will be listed first, which is useful.

    Additionally, you may note that you isolate categories of posts on PrefBlog, so click “Issue Comments” to bring up that category with the URL http://prefblog.com/?cat=14. Now type a search code at the end of the URL to bring up all the posts in that category which mention the ticker of interest, e.g. http://prefblog.com/?cat=14&s=pwf.pr.g.

    Hope this helps!

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