March 2, 2009

Whoosh! In like a lion, all right!

Suncor Energy Inc. dropped 10 percent after its shares were downgraded at Raymond James & Associates Inc. on expectations of lower oil and gas prices. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. fell 9.8 percent on speculation that the recession will cut demand for grains and fertilizers. Manulife Financial Corp. slumped to the lowest in almost nine years on renewed speculation that it will sell stock to cover investment losses and pay for an acquisition.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 5.4 percent to 7,687.51 in Toronto, the steepest loss since Dec. 1. Only 20 of Canada’s main stock benchmark’s 215 members rose. The S&P/TSX is down 14 percent this year, adding to a 2008’s 35 percent drop.

How bad is liquidity? I understand TD Waterhouse refused to bid on about $20,000-worth (present value) of 20-year Ontario Hydro coupons for a retail account. Now, that’s bad.

Prefs were not unscathed, but managed to stagger to a not-as-horrible-as-November finish amidst very light volume. Given all the recent hand-wringing about MFC, it will be interesting to see how their new and wildly popular Fixed-Reset opens on Wednesday.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.0789 % 811.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.0789 % 1,312.5
Floater 5.77 % 7.35 % 69,721 12.01 3 -2.0789 % 1,013.9
OpRet 5.28 % 4.77 % 149,376 3.76 15 -0.2597 % 2,042.0
SplitShare 6.86 % 9.30 % 60,053 4.84 6 -1.6222 % 1,617.3
Interest-Bearing 6.22 % 11.61 % 39,285 0.79 1 -2.1298 % 1,888.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.1191 % 1,483.8
Perpetual-Discount 7.27 % 7.35 % 172,708 12.11 71 -1.1191 % 1,366.5
FixedReset 6.19 % 5.70 % 514,868 13.90 27 -0.6025 % 1,779.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
LFE.PR.A SplitShare -7.06 % Asset coverage of 1.2+:1 as of February 13 according to Quadra (the fund’s individual website is down. Trouble paying the bills, maybe?). Traded 1300 shares (count ’em!) in a range of 6.65-11 before closing at 6.85-09, 3×21.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.85
Bid-YTW : 17.11 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset -5.66 % Traded 11,590 shares in a range of 19.80-66 before closing at 20.00-25, 10×40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -4.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 7.27
Evaluated at bid price : 7.27
Bid-YTW : 7.38 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -4.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.25
Evaluated at bid price : 15.25
Bid-YTW : 7.42 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -4.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.77
Evaluated at bid price : 18.77
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -4.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 17.33
Evaluated at bid price : 17.33
Bid-YTW : 7.93 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -4.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.01
Evaluated at bid price : 15.01
Bid-YTW : 7.68 %
SBN.PR.A SplitShare -4.05 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of February 19 according to Mulvihill.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.30
Bid-YTW : 9.24 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -3.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.62
Evaluated at bid price : 18.62
Bid-YTW : 7.67 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -3.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -3.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.04
Evaluated at bid price : 16.04
Bid-YTW : 8.09 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset -3.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 20.35
Evaluated at bid price : 20.35
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -3.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.76
Evaluated at bid price : 15.76
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -2.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 14.70
Evaluated at bid price : 14.70
Bid-YTW : 7.67 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -2.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.40
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 7.76 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -2.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 7.30
Evaluated at bid price : 7.30
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 19.23
Evaluated at bid price : 19.23
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -2.54 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.73
Bid-YTW : 16.21 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -2.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.02
Evaluated at bid price : 18.02
Bid-YTW : 7.91 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset -2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 21.97
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
STW.PR.A Interest-Bearing -2.13 % Asset coverage of 1.5+:1 based on Capital Unit NAV of 2.37 as of Feb. 26 and 2.12 Capital Units per preferred.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2009-12-31
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 9.65
Bid-YTW : 11.61 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.76
Evaluated at bid price : 15.76
Bid-YTW : 7.99 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 7.69 %
RY.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.17
Evaluated at bid price : 16.17
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
CM.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 14.75
Evaluated at bid price : 14.75
Bid-YTW : 7.76 %
TD.PR.M OpRet -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.92
Evaluated at bid price : 16.92
Bid-YTW : 6.75 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 14.62
Evaluated at bid price : 14.62
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 14.67
Evaluated at bid price : 14.67
Bid-YTW : 7.69 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.51
Evaluated at bid price : 16.51
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 20.90
Evaluated at bid price : 20.90
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 20.71
Evaluated at bid price : 20.71
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 17.16
Evaluated at bid price : 17.16
Bid-YTW : 7.16 %
NA.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 20.07
Evaluated at bid price : 20.07
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 7.71 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 22.51
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.27
Evaluated at bid price : 18.27
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %
RY.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.10
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.30
Evaluated at bid price : 16.30
Bid-YTW : 7.17 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.05
Bid-YTW : 9.88 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.61
Evaluated at bid price : 18.61
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 24.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.22
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 21.44
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
RY.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.82
Evaluated at bid price : 15.82
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 21.96
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.39
Evaluated at bid price : 16.39
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.76 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
ACO.PR.A OpRet 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2009-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 18.44
Evaluated at bid price : 18.44
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 7.43 %
BNA.PR.A SplitShare 2.16 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2010-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 9.89 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.R OpRet 51,000 TD crossed 30,300 at 25.74.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-04-29
Maturity Price : 25.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 44,487 Scotia bought 13,400 from anonymous at 25.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.06
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
TD.PR.E FixedReset 28,950 TD crossed 10,000 at 25.16.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.06
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 25,225 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.01
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 25,199 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 16,850 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.26
Bid-YTW : 9.30 %
There were 15 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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