July 28, 2011

According to the chatterati, credit rating agencies are heroes this week:

At a House subcommittee hearing yesterday, U.S. financial regulators acknowledged that the rating companies lately have been doing a better job. Alarmed by Greece’s unsustainable borrowing, the companies have slashed Greek debt to below investment grade. Troubles in Ireland, Portugal and Spain aren’t as severe, but those countries are under appropriately close scrutiny by rating services. Even the U.S. has been tagged for a downgrade if it can’t sort out its debt-ceiling and spending problems — and maybe even if it does.

It was a quiet, slightly negative day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 2bp, FixedResets losing 6bp and DeemedRetractibles down 3bp. Big volume continued for BNS.PR.Z, but was otherwise volume was only average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0942 % 2,449.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0942 % 3,683.9
Floater 2.48 % 2.24 % 35,654 21.68 4 -0.0942 % 2,644.7
OpRet 4.84 % 1.74 % 56,737 0.17 9 0.1965 % 2,457.7
SplitShare 5.24 % 2.23 % 52,602 0.58 6 0.0265 % 2,511.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1965 % 2,247.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.68 % 4.83 % 132,372 0.81 13 -0.1535 % 2,094.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.41 % 5.41 % 110,846 14.76 17 0.0222 % 2,215.2
FixedReset 5.15 % 3.11 % 217,641 2.63 58 -0.0551 % 2,326.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.06 % 4.67 % 275,572 7.82 47 -0.0271 % 2,177.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-07-28
Maturity Price : 24.18
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 27.35
Bid-YTW : 1.74 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 901,885 TD crossed two blocks of 100,000 each and one of 30,000, all at 24.25. RBC crossed blocks of 500,000 shares, 112,000 and 50,000, all at 24.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 108,993 RBC crossed 100,000 at 27.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.17
Bid-YTW : 2.94 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 80,961 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 50,000 and 26,000, both at 26.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 80,960 RBC crossed 18,300 at 27.00; Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.90
Bid-YTW : 2.70 %
TD.PR.N OpRet 80,275 Desjardins crossed blocks of 60,000 and 15,000, both at 25.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-08-27
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : -1.18 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 78,904 Desjardins crossed 75,000 at 22.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.09
Bid-YTW : 6.04 %
There were 34 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.95 – 27.27
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2020

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.95
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %

CIU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 24.90 – 25.49
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.4754

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-07-28
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 3.41 %

POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.06 – 25.43
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2581

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-12-06
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.87 – 24.24
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2691

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-07-28
Maturity Price : 23.59
Evaluated at bid price : 23.87
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %

IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.92 – 26.25
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2353

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.92
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.35 – 25.80
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3671

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-07-28
Maturity Price : 23.38
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 3.48 %

2 Responses to “July 28, 2011”

  1. mclachlan8 says:

    RE: The Rating Agencies
    Isn’t it ironic that the organizations that were placed under the microscope for their blunders during the economic crisis, are now being pandered to by the politicians that publicly discredited them. The RA’s must be thinking: revenge is sweet.

  2. jiHymas says:

    Because they’re so big and so good at what they do, people tend to expect perfection – and get very upset when things don’t go precisely according to plan. The US has the same problem in war-time when there are civilian casualties.

    At some point, I would like to see some really solid research done about the actual performance of all the sub-prime debt, because prices were a lot more volatile than the underlying cash-flows. We’ll have to wait a few years though, because so many of the pools are still outstanding.

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