February 14, 2013

DBRS has confirmed TCL.PR.D at Pfd-3, Trend Negative:

The confirmation considers the declines in organic revenue and operating income over the past year, while acknowledging improvement in key credit metrics as a result of debt reduction. The trends remain Negative (as of April 20, 2012), based on DBRS’s view that weakening demand, combined with overcapacity, will continue to place pressure on the Company’s revenues, margins and cash flow generation going forward. The ratings continue to be supported by Transcontinental’s leading market position, economies of scale, and healthy free cash flow generation, while also reflecting its deteriorating earnings profile, which is being structurally affected by a consumer shift toward digital forms of media.

In terms of financial profile, Transcontinental has remained prudent, preserving credit metrics by using much of its free cash flow over the past two years to repay debt. DBRS notes that our concern regarding Transcontinental’s credit risk profile is not based primarily on the Company’s debt level, but rather on its future income and cash-generating prospects. If the Company’s plans and performance lead to signs of stabilization in organic revenue and operating income over the near to medium term, the ratings outlook could stabilize. However, a continued and meaningful decline in organic revenue and operating income and/or in key credit metrics over this period could result in a downgrade.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums off 7bp, FixedResets down 8bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 5bp. Volatility was low. Volume was on the high side of average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3236 % 2,590.8
FixedFloater 4.14 % 3.46 % 25,938 18.39 1 1.3687 % 3,930.6
Floater 2.57 % 2.89 % 73,970 19.96 5 0.3236 % 2,797.3
OpRet 4.76 % 0.29 % 41,142 0.30 5 0.0537 % 2,611.4
SplitShare 4.54 % 4.21 % 36,294 4.25 2 0.0395 % 2,932.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0537 % 2,387.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.24 % -2.33 % 84,071 0.11 29 -0.0658 % 2,358.0
Perpetual-Discount 4.85 % 4.90 % 135,729 15.61 4 -0.0203 % 2,647.9
FixedReset 4.90 % 2.76 % 267,238 3.52 78 -0.0774 % 2,495.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.86 % 2.17 % 147,647 0.27 45 0.0464 % 2,439.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-16
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : -18.52 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-14
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.96
Bid-YTW : 3.46 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
PWF.PR.M FixedReset 250,600 RBC crossed 245,400 at 25.87.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.83
Bid-YTW : 2.74 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 79,758 Desjardins crossed 69,600 at 18.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-14
Maturity Price : 18.27
Evaluated at bid price : 18.27
Bid-YTW : 2.89 %
BMO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 62,800 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 49,344 Desjardins crossed 42,100 at 26.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.46
Bid-YTW : 1.71 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 48,900 Scotia crossed 30,000 at 25.08; TD crossed 10,000 at 25.09.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.07
Bid-YTW : 3.12 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 46,165 National bought 35,900 from Nesbitt at 25.37.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
There were 36 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 18.15 – 19.00
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.4885

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-14
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 2.91 %

PWF.PR.A Floater Quote: 23.41 – 23.85
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3333

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-14
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 2.21 %

BAM.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 26.43 – 26.67
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1598

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-14
Maturity Price : 23.73
Evaluated at bid price : 26.43
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %

BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 27.20 – 27.47
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1920

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.20
Bid-YTW : 1.61 %

PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.40 – 25.64
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1661

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-03-16
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : -11.48 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.64 – 26.15
Spot Rate : 0.5100
Average : 0.4387

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-02-14
Maturity Price : 23.73
Evaluated at bid price : 25.64
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %

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