June 14, 2017

As expected, the FOMC hiked the US policy rate:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising moderately so far this year. Job gains have moderated but have been solid, on average, since the beginning of the year, and the unemployment rate has declined. Household spending has picked up in recent months, and business fixed investment has continued to expand. On a 12-month basis, inflation has declined recently and, like the measure excluding food and energy prices, is running somewhat below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1 to 1-1/4 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening in labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

The US market took it all in stride:

Treasuries rose, the dollar trimmed losses and U.S. stocks turned lower after Yellen suggested weak readings on inflation won’t persist amid a tightening labor market.

And, in fact, the Canada five-year reversed itself today, closing with a yield of 1.10%, down 5bp on the day.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.10%, equivalent to 6.63% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield a little over 3.7%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 290bp, a narrowing from the 300bp reported June 7.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4144 % 2,167.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4144 % 3,976.3
Floater 3.66 % 3.65 % 80,052 18.20 3 0.4144 % 2,291.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0785 % 3,053.9
SplitShare 4.71 % 4.33 % 69,912 1.51 5 -0.0785 % 3,647.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0785 % 2,845.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.28 % 3.38 % 72,370 0.09 25 -0.1418 % 2,795.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.10 % 5.10 % 93,387 15.24 12 -0.3709 % 3,005.5
FixedReset 4.44 % 3.99 % 200,150 6.56 96 -0.4906 % 2,337.7
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 5.02 % 118,645 6.25 30 -0.2540 % 2,902.8
FloatingReset 2.48 % 3.00 % 55,806 4.38 10 -0.2860 % 2,554.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset -2.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 22.64
Evaluated at bid price : 23.44
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 15.70
Evaluated at bid price : 15.70
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 14.55
Evaluated at bid price : 14.55
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.94
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.34
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
W.PR.K FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.12
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 2.97 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.49
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 21.04
Evaluated at bid price : 21.04
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.64
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.48
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.81
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 15.76
Evaluated at bid price : 15.76
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.79
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 22.94
Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 8.56 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
NA.PR.C FixedReset 143,066 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 23.09
Evaluated at bid price : 24.86
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset 113,051 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 4.26 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 68,881 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 3.81 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 60,908 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 22.28
Evaluated at bid price : 22.69
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 56,816 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-07-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : -5.85 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 42,550 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 21.52
Evaluated at bid price : 21.52
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
There were 43 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.33 – 23.76
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2828

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 22.94
Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %

CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.56 – 22.89
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.1970

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-14
Maturity Price : 22.28
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %

RY.PR.O Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.43 – 25.74
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1984

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.43
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %

GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.90 – 24.20
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2055

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %

MFC.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 22.55 – 22.78
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1365

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.55
Bid-YTW : 5.20 %

MFC.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 20.34 – 20.59
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1594

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.34
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %

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