November 23, 2017

Chris Bourke of Bloomberg wrote a piece about Australia’s housing market that interested me because of Canada’s presence in the charts:

housingbook
Click for Big

That represents the failure of Canada’s housing policy since 2006 – the vast expansion of the CMHC insurance books has enabled the banks – through lower risk and, importantly, lower risk weights feeding into their capital ratios – to load up on mortgages. It astonishes me that there are some people who are surprised by the housing bubble in Toronto and Vancouver; I am flabbergasted that there are some who blame foreign money for the problem.

The other chart I liked was:

cranes
Click for Big

Wow. In Toronto, you can’t throw a brick without hitting a crane – Sydney must be something else!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2626 % 2,452.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2626 % 4,499.3
Floater 3.69 % 3.91 % 99,610 17.55 3 -0.2626 % 2,593.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0987 % 3,117.2
SplitShare 4.73 % 4.14 % 53,442 1.10 6 0.0987 % 3,722.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0987 % 2,904.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.34 % 4.69 % 45,043 0.16 20 -0.0020 % 2,843.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.19 % 5.23 % 62,934 15.06 15 0.0338 % 3,025.8
FixedReset 4.22 % 4.20 % 152,585 4.41 98 -0.1509 % 2,504.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.01 % 5.31 % 87,901 5.91 30 -0.0450 % 2,947.1
FloatingReset 2.70 % 2.77 % 41,823 3.96 8 -0.1353 % 2,686.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -7.36 % Clearly a bogus quote (16.75-18.10), since the low for the day was 18.00 (three trades of 100 shares each, timestamped 3:36). I have not checked whether this lamentable state of affairs is due to inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange reporting or inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange supervision of market-makers.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-11-23
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.91
Bid-YTW : 7.24 %
W.PR.K FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-11-23
Maturity Price : 22.89
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 4.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 115,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-11-23
Maturity Price : 23.93
Evaluated at bid price : 24.41
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
NA.PR.A FixedReset 62,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.77
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 24,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.43
Bid-YTW : 7.44 %
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 22,540 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount 14,436 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-11-23
Maturity Price : 24.39
Evaluated at bid price : 24.78
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset 13,190 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-08-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
There were 3 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 16.75 – 18.10
Spot Rate : 1.3500
Average : 0.7509

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-11-23
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

MFC.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 22.70 – 23.00
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1832

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %

TRP.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 24.23 – 24.75
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.4106

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-11-23
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.23
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %

W.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 26.15 – 26.50
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2650

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %

SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.10 – 22.32
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1519

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 19.91 – 20.20
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2252

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.91
Bid-YTW : 7.24 %

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