November 23, 2018

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Inflation firmed:

Canada’s inflation rate rose for the first time in three months in October, bouncing back from its late-summer lull amid rising costs for automobiles and a rebound in airfares.

Meanwhile, new retail-sales figures showed a solid upturn in consumer demand at the end of the third quarter.

Statistics Canada reported on Friday that year-over-year inflation in the consumer price index was 2.4 per cent, after dipping to a four-month low of 2.2 per cent in September. It said CPI rose 0.3 per cent month over month, on both a seasonally adjusted and an unadjusted basis.

However, Statscan noted that the Bank of Canada’s three preferred measures of core inflation – designed to filter out short-term distortions and identify the broader trend across the economy – averaged 2.0 per cent in the month, little changed from September. All three core measures have been close to the central bank’s long-standing 2-per-cent inflation target for the past nine months, even as the overall inflation rate has swung wildly at times.

But oil got whacked:

Oil prices slumped up to nearly 8 per cent to the lowest in more than a year on Friday, posting the seventh consecutive weekly loss, amid intensifying fears of a supply glut even as major producers consider cutting output.

Oil supply, led by U.S. producers, is growing faster than demand and to prevent a buildup of unused fuel such as the one that emerged in 2015, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is expected to start trimming output after a meeting on Dec. 6.

But this has done little so far to prop up prices, which have dropped more than 20 per cent so far in November, in a seven-week streak of losses. Prices were on course for their biggest one-month decline since late 2014.

… and the market got whacked again:

The bear market in oil globally combined with a persistent discount on Alberta crude has resulted in a powerful double negative for Canadian energy stocks. The S&P/TSX energy index slumped nearly 5 per cent Friday to levels not far off the depths of the 2014-to-2016 crash in oil prices.

Problems in Canada’s oil patch are rippling through to other companies with exposure to the sector. The S&P/TSX Composite Index is down by 7.4 per cent so far this year, reinforcing the sway the energy sector still holds over the Canadian market.

TXPR touched a new 52-week low of 644.06 before closing at 645.20, down 0.79%. Volume was about average in the context of the last thirty days.

CPD touched a new 52-week low of 12.90 before closing at 12.96, down 0.77%. Volume was on the high side in the context of the last thirty days, but not extraordinarily so.

ZPR touched a new 52-week low of 10.56 before closing at 10.61, down 0.66%. Again, volume was on the high side in the context of the last thirty days, but not extraordinarily so. The high-volume days were at the end of October.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.5520 % 2,679.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.5520 % 4,917.1
Floater 4.34 % 4.67 % 38,448 16.04 4 -2.5520 % 2,833.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2697 % 3,188.3
SplitShare 4.56 % 5.04 % 75,409 4.13 6 -0.2697 % 3,807.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2697 % 2,970.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.93 % 5.95 % 49,456 13.92 3 0.1067 % 2,864.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.72 % 5.88 % 74,250 14.05 31 -0.3439 % 2,864.4
FixedReset Disc 4.84 % 5.61 % 158,563 14.60 58 -0.9809 % 2,302.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.46 % 7.45 % 76,872 5.13 27 -0.3629 % 2,845.2
FloatingReset 4.04 % 4.59 % 36,688 5.32 6 -0.0603 % 2,596.1
FixedReset Prem 5.11 % 4.77 % 216,636 2.52 22 -0.0090 % 2,506.1
FixedReset Bank Non 2.98 % 4.25 % 121,172 2.96 6 0.0964 % 2,568.2
FixedReset Ins Non 4.88 % 7.72 % 127,894 5.23 22 -0.9199 % 2,306.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -3.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.62
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc -3.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 15.93
Evaluated at bid price : 15.93
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -3.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 14.80
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -3.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.52
Evaluated at bid price : 20.52
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -2.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.48
Bid-YTW : 9.16 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc -2.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 17.51
Evaluated at bid price : 17.51
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -2.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 14.89
Evaluated at bid price : 14.89
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
BAM.PR.C Floater -2.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 15.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.00
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc -2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 22.34
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
EMA.PR.H FixedReset Disc -2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 22.40
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.64
Bid-YTW : 9.13 %
PWF.PR.A Floater -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.08
Evaluated at bid price : 19.08
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc -2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.78
Evaluated at bid price : 20.78
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc -1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.12
Evaluated at bid price : 19.12
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.55
Evaluated at bid price : 21.93
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.49
Evaluated at bid price : 21.85
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible -1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset Disc -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.17
Evaluated at bid price : 21.17
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.37
Bid-YTW : 9.27 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 9.46 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 22.49
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.25
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.05
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.18
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 5.87 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.64
Bid-YTW : 9.33 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.46
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 17.66
Evaluated at bid price : 17.66
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.32
Evaluated at bid price : 19.32
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.72
Evaluated at bid price : 20.72
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.34
Bid-YTW : 8.93 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.34
Evaluated at bid price : 20.34
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
IAG.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.65
Bid-YTW : 6.94 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 7.67 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.66
Evaluated at bid price : 20.66
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.85
Evaluated at bid price : 20.85
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.59
Evaluated at bid price : 21.99
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.45
Evaluated at bid price : 20.45
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 17.06
Evaluated at bid price : 17.06
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.81
Evaluated at bid price : 22.31
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.59
Evaluated at bid price : 20.59
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
BAM.PF.I FixedReset Prem 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 10.89 %
RY.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.07
Bid-YTW : 0.94 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 11.10 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.L FixedReset Bank Non 281,114 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset Bank Non 156,860 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
BMO.PR.B FixedReset Prem 64,542 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset Bank Non 64,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset Bank Non 52,040 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BNS.PR.G FixedReset Prem 49,815 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-07-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.89
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
There were 32 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.12 – 23.98
Spot Rate : 0.8600
Average : 0.5946

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.12
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %

BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.52 – 21.23
Spot Rate : 0.7100
Average : 0.4835

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.52
Evaluated at bid price : 20.52
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %

EMA.PR.H FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.20 – 23.80
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.3840

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 22.40
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %

BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.85 – 22.50
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.4423

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 21.49
Evaluated at bid price : 21.85
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %

BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.75 – 21.19
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3017

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-11-23
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %

GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.80 – 25.20
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2620

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %

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