August 28, 2019

What a great day! Only two of the three mainstream indicators made new lows!

TXPR closed at 570.42, up 0.02% on the day but not before touching a new 52-week low of 569.32. Volume was 2.80-million, third-highest of the past 30 days, behind only August 14 and August 15.

CPD closed at 11.39, up 0.53% on the day. Volume of 129,692 was above average but nothing special in the context of the past 30 days.

ZPR closed at 9.05, down 0.01% on the day after touching a new 52-week low of 8.98. Volume of 394,302 was second highest of the past 30 days, behind only August 13.

Five-year Canada yields were up 1bp to 1.18% today.

I note with amusement that TXPR has traced out the first part of a pretty good parabola this month:

txpr_190828
Click for Big

Doubtless there are Technical Analysts out there who will deem this very significant.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.64%, equivalent to 7.33% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 3.15%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has widened to an eye-popping 420bp, a new post-Credit Crunch record (second only to the 445bp recorded November 26, 2008, a day on which

The TXPR index was down 5.94% on the BCE news.

) and a widening from the 410bp reported August 21.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7795 % 1,731.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7795 % 3,176.8
Floater 6.90 % 7.05 % 48,513 12.38 4 0.7795 % 1,830.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0903 % 3,369.9
SplitShare 4.67 % 4.48 % 61,044 4.08 7 -0.0903 % 4,024.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0903 % 3,140.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.66 % 3.82 % 65,649 0.09 9 -0.0575 % 2,961.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.55 % 5.64 % 65,173 14.46 25 0.1221 % 3,071.8
FixedReset Disc 6.00 % 5.71 % 158,945 14.24 66 0.0976 % 1,936.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.33 % 6.26 % 66,235 7.81 27 -0.0757 % 3,064.1
FloatingReset 4.78 % 3.98 % 29,596 2.33 3 -0.2483 % 2,222.9
FixedReset Prem 5.23 % 5.11 % 177,705 1.88 21 0.0704 % 2,548.4
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 4.28 % 83,250 2.35 3 0.4474 % 2,657.3
FixedReset Ins Non 5.77 % 8.57 % 107,672 7.93 21 -0.4144 % 1,992.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc -2.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 10.63
Evaluated at bid price : 10.63
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non -2.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 9.22 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 8.92 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.08
Bid-YTW : 11.11 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
IFC.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.18
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 18.90
Evaluated at bid price : 18.90
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
IAF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 15.25
Evaluated at bid price : 15.25
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 9.79
Evaluated at bid price : 9.79
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.00
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non 1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 8.21 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 2.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 14.90
Evaluated at bid price : 14.90
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 160,009 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.08
Bid-YTW : 8.57 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset Ins Non 130,605 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 129,558 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 14.90
Evaluated at bid price : 14.90
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc 36,716 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 16.27
Evaluated at bid price : 16.27
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 35,565 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 19.92
Evaluated at bid price : 19.92
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 29,499 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.02
Bid-YTW : 11.81 %
There were 40 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 13.59 – 14.10
Spot Rate : 0.5100
Average : 0.3064

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 13.59
Evaluated at bid price : 13.59
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %

CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.05 – 17.49
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2686

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 17.05
Evaluated at bid price : 17.05
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %

CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.00 – 23.40
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2446

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %

GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.00 – 23.36
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2331

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.18 – 24.74
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.4372

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.18
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 9.79 – 10.20
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2873

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 9.79
Evaluated at bid price : 9.79
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %

2 Responses to “August 28, 2019”

  1. Nestor says:

    i take it you don’t very much believe in technical analysis (smiley face here)

  2. jiHymas says:

    I don’t believe in the Easter Bunny, either. Because there’s no evidence that will withstand scrutiny.

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