MAPF Portfolio Composition : August 2020

Turnover increased slightly in August to 13%.

The fund’s trading will probably be higher in the future than has been normal for the past several years, since the extreme segmentation in the marketplace that I complained about for so long is now effectively ended. Low-Reset insurance issues were considered so cheap relative to their peers that a large portion of the fund’s holdings were effectively frozen. However, this differentiating factor is no longer considered applicable.

I am no longer making any adjustments for special qualities of insurance issues but note that this policy may change again in the future – a requirement for a Principal Loss Absorbency Mechanism (PLAM), whereby any security included in Tier 1 Capital will be wiped out prior to a government bail-out, even if technical bankruptcy is avoided, remains good public policy; it is a disgrace that the IAIS has rejected this principle and even worse that OSFI argued strenuously against it. I will continue to read notifications from these two entities with great interest, but while it is within the realm of possibility that ICS 2.0 will be revised following the expiry of the current five-year testing period, I can’t say I have any great confidence in the wisdom of the bureaucrats. However, it is a positive move that the increase in the limit for preferred share issuance was increased from 10% of the capital requirement to 15%; but this increase may only be met with issues having a PLAM.

Sectoral distribution of the MAPF portfolio on August 31 was as follows:

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2020-8-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur BMO-CM "50" Weighting
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A 0%
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A 0%
Floater 0% N/A N/A 0.7%
OpRet 0% N/A N/A 0%
SplitShare 0% N/A N/A 0%
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A 0%
PerpetualPremium 0% N/A N/A 1.2%
PerpetualDiscount 16.9% 5.21% 15.11 6.8%
Fixed-Reset Discount 27.5% 5.07% 15.20 35.5%
Deemed-Retractible 8.7% 5.11% 15.34 12.8%
FloatingReset 0% N/A N/A 0.6%
FixedReset Premium 0% N/A N/A 8.2%
FixedReset Bank non-NVCC 0% N/A N/A 0%
FixedReset Insurance non-NVCC 25.1% 4.49% 16.38 5.6%
Scraps – Ratchet 1.3% 6.39% 16.38 2.2%
Scraps – FixedFloater 0% N/A N/A 1.2%
Scraps – Floater 0% N/A N/A 0.5%
Scraps – OpRet 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – SplitShare 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – PerpPrem 0% N/A N/A 1.9%
Scraps – PerpDisc 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – FR Discount 19.8% 7.01% 12.51 22.7%
Scraps – DeemedRet 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – FloatingReset 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – FR Premium 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – Bank non-NVCC 0% N/A N/A 0%
Scraps – Ins non-NVCC 0% N/A N/A 0%
Cash 0.7% 0.00% 0.00 0%
Total 100% 5.32% 14.83 100%
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.
The various “Scraps” indices include issues with a DBRS rating of Pfd-3(high) or lower and issues with an Average Trading Value (calculated with HIMIPref™ methodology, which is relatively complex) of less than $25,000. The issues considered “Scraps” are subdivided into indices which reflect those of the main indices.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company or the regulator. These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 in the case of banks or normally in the case of insurers and insurance holding companies, in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See the Deemed Retractible Review: September 2016 for the rationale behind this analysis and IAIS Says No To DeemedRetractions for the recent change in policy with respect to insurers.

Note that the estimate for the time this will become effective for insurers and insurance holding companies was extended by three years in April 2013, due to the delays in OSFI’s providing clarity on the issue and by a further five years in December, 2018; the estimate was eliminated in November. However, the distinctions are being kept because it is useful to distinguish insurance issues from others.

Calculations of resettable instruments are performed assuming a constant GOC-5 rate of 0.40%, a constant 3-Month Bill rate of 0.14% and a constant Canada Prime Rate of 2.45%

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

An additional wrinkle to the division into sub-indices is the fact that some issues are classed here as FixedResets, even though for analytical purposes they are classified as Straights – this is due to the fact that these particular issues reset with a floor rate which is (given the current level of the GOC 5-Year bond) currently expected to be effective.

For MAPF, these issues are BIP.PR.D, BIP.PR.E, BIP.PR.F and ECN.PR.C, with a combined portfolio weight of 4.5%. The total portfolio is therefore 69.1% “Floating”, which means the rates will reset periodically based upon the GOC-5, T-Bill or Canada Prime levels.

For the BMO-CM “50” index, these issues are ALA.PR.I, BIP.PR.D, BPO.PR.C and PPL.PR.M, with a combined weight of 7.5%. The total index is therefore 69.7% “Floating”.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2020-8-31
DBRS Rating MAPF Weighting BMO-CM “50” Weighting
Pfd-1 0 0
Pfd-1(low) 0 0
Pfd-2(high) 37.0% 31.5%
Pfd-2 22.0% 25.5%
Pfd-2(low) 19.3% 14.4%
Pfd-3(high) 11.7% 13.3%
Pfd-3 5.3% 13.3%
Pfd-3(low) 2.2% 1.9%
Pfd-4(high) 1.1% 0
Pfd-4 0% 0
Pfd-4(low) 0.8% 0
Pfd-5(high) 0% 0
Pfd-5 0.0% 0
Cash +0.7% 0
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
The fund holds a position in AZP.PR.B, which is rated P-4(low) by S&P and is unrated by DBRS; it is included in the Pfd-4(low) total.
The fund holds a position in BIP.PR.D, BIP.PR.E and BIP.PR.F, which are rated P-2(low) by S&P and are unrated by DBRS; these are included in the Pfd-2(low) total.
A position held in INE.PR.A is not rated by DBRS, but has been included as “Pfd-3” in the above table on the basis of its S&P rating of P-3.
The Index holds a position in BIP.PR.D which is rated P-2(low) by S&P and is unrated by DBRS; this is included in the Pfd-2(low) total.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2020-8-31
Average Daily Trading MAPF Weighting BMO-CM “50” Weighting
<$50,000 22.0% 1.1%
$50,000 – $100,000 37.2% 19.7%
$100,000 – $200,000 34.8% 53.0%
$200,000 – $300,000 2.3% 20.9%
>$300,000 3.0% 5.2%
Cash +0.7% 0%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.

The distribution of Issue Reset Spreads is:

Range MAPF Weight BMO-CM “50” Weight
<100bp 0% 0%
100-149bp 6.7% 0.5%
150-199bp 2.8% 3.8%
200-249bp 10.2% 34.6%
250-299bp 34.1% 7.7%
300-349bp 3.4% 5.2%
350-399bp 10.1% 7.3%
400-449bp 2.5% 6.0%
450-499bp 0.0% 6.1%
500-549bp 2.5% 1.4%
550-599bp 0% 0%
>= 600bp 0% 0%
Undefined 27.6% 0%

Distribution of Floating Rate Start Dates is shown in the table below. This is the date of the next adjustment to the dividend rate, if the issue is currently paying a fixed rate for a limited time; which in practice is successive terms of 5 years. Issues that adjust quarterly are considered “Currently Floating”.

Range MAPF Weight BMO-CM “50” Weight
Currently Floating 1.3% 4.0%
0-1 Year 8.4% 10.3%
1-2 Years 24.3% 16.9%
2-3 Years 10.7% 5.3%
3-4 Years 10.4% 29.0%
4-5 Years 28.6% 11.7%
5-6 Years 0% 0%
>6 Years 0% 0%
Not Floating Rate 26.3% 22.8%

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. The fund may be purchased directly from Hymas Investment Management. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but are not sold with a prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission). Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

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