January 19, 2009

The repo market for mortgage-backed securities is looking a lot healthier:

Wall Street firms are loosening the terms of their lending to mortgage-bond investors as markets heal, an RBS Securities Inc. executive said.

Repurchase agreement, or repo, lending against the debt has expanded so much since freezing in late 2008 that some banks now offer as much as 10-to-1 leverage and terms as long as one year on certain securities backed by prime-jumbo home loans, said Scott Eichel, the Royal Bank of Scotland unit’s global co-head of asset- and mortgage-backed securities.

As asset values dropped during 2007 and 2008, leverage boosted losses, wiping out hedge funds run by London-based Peloton Partners LLP and New York-based Bears Stearns Cos., and damaged markets by leading to forced sales by firms including Santa Fe, New Mexico-based Thornburg Mortgage Inc., which filed for bankruptcy.

This is of particular interest because MBS have embedded put options reflecting the homeowner’s ability to refinance. This means that when yields on MBS – best reflected by the 10-year treasury – increase, the calculated average term of the mortgage increases, since nobody’s going to refinance a loan with a below-market coupon. To offset this, holders of MBS will short 10-year Treasuries … and the more prices go down, the more they have to short. During the bond market crash of 1994, 10-years behaved an awful lot more like long-term bonds than medium term!

The SEC has found something that is not regulated and is proposing forceful action to address the issue:

The requirement that a brokerdealer’s financial and regulatory risk management controls and procedures be reasonably designed to prevent the entry of orders that fail to comply with the specified conditions would necessarily require the controls be applied on an automated, pre-trade basis before orders route to an exchange or ATS, thereby effectively prohibiting the practice of “unfiltered” or “naked” access to an exchange or ATS.

Volume was heavy today and FixedResets recorded another shut-out on the volume tables, probably related to tomorrow’s closing of the AER 6.50%+375 and BPO 6.15%+307 FixedReset issues. Price action was muted, with PerpetualDiscounts up 2bp and FixedResets down 2bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2344 % 1,704.4
FixedFloater 5.78 % 3.86 % 34,923 19.20 1 0.0000 % 2,733.2
Floater 2.30 % 2.63 % 108,219 20.71 3 0.2344 % 2,129.3
OpRet 4.87 % -0.72 % 114,398 0.09 13 -0.4518 % 2,307.5
SplitShare 6.36 % -1.74 % 184,069 0.08 2 0.0878 % 2,113.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4518 % 2,110.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.80 % 5.69 % 148,317 6.94 12 -0.0695 % 1,891.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.73 % 5.73 % 177,565 14.24 63 0.0173 % 1,833.3
FixedReset 5.39 % 3.56 % 334,499 3.84 42 -0.0156 % 2,182.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet -2.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Premium -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-01-19
Maturity Price : 24.52
Evaluated at bid price : 24.77
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
IAG.PR.E Perpetual-Premium 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-01-19
Maturity Price : 20.42
Evaluated at bid price : 20.42
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.31
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-01-19
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 184,700 Scotia sold 18,500 to anonymous at 26.77.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.63
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 134,985 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 28.13.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.90
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 122,050 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-01-19
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 121,200 Nesbit crossed blocks of 65,000 and 10,000, both at 26.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 114,141 Desjardins crossed 19,900 at 28.00; Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at the same price; RBC crossed 50,000 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.00
Bid-YTW : 3.45 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 99,451 RBC crossed 20,000 at 28.00, bought 10,000 from anonymous at the same price and crossed 12,000 at 28.01. Desjardins crossed 10,000 at 28.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.95
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
There were 58 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

5 Responses to “January 19, 2009”

  1. prefhound says:

    Any idea what is going on with POW.PR.C? It has gone up about $1 in the past two days. Is there some possibility of a call at $25.50?

    If POW.PR.C, what about PWF.PR.I (currently callable at $25.75; $25.50 in April)? Is there a holding company vs sub difference here?

    Both of these are nicely under the call price (unlike GWO.PR.X recently called while above the call price).

  2. […] Reader prefhound asks: Any idea what is going on with POW.PR.C? It has gone up about $1 in the past two days. Is there […]

  3. to_be_frank says:

    The explanation for the recent rise in POW.PR.C is probably because it was added to the S&P/TSX Pref Share Index, effective Jan 18th. For the same reason, W.PR.J and ENB.PR.A have recently declined by a substantial amount, because those issues were removed from the index. These positions take time to unwind in a relatively illiquid market.

  4. […] Today’s spreadsheet (dated 2010-1-21) from CPD discloses a holding of 0.72% in POW.PR.C compared to the January 19 figure of 0.25% … so we may conclude that CPD is the culprit behind the stupid dumb trading in the TXPR Rebalancing Issues … Assiduous Reader to_be_frank wins a kewpie doll for first spotting the pattern. […]

  5. […] membership opened up to large funds and chip away at the brokerage oligopoly. Unfiltered access was discussed on January 19; to it’s credit, the SEC addressed such a possibility in its request for comments: The […]

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