Archive for September, 2018

September 21, 2018

Friday, September 21st, 2018
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7302 % 3,124.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7302 % 5,733.5
Floater 3.48 % 3.64 % 37,075 18.20 4 0.7302 % 3,304.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0555 % 3,228.4
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.66 % 54,699 4.79 5 0.0555 % 3,855.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0555 % 3,008.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.56 % -3.71 % 53,909 0.11 12 -0.1203 % 2,919.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.44 % 5.54 % 57,072 14.52 22 -0.1384 % 2,993.8
FixedReset Disc 4.19 % 4.98 % 137,526 15.61 42 -0.1258 % 2,572.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.16 % 5.94 % 60,434 5.36 27 -0.1002 % 2,995.3
FloatingReset 3.37 % 4.12 % 44,306 5.65 5 0.0000 % 2,844.3
FixedReset Prem 4.83 % 4.09 % 163,692 2.86 35 -0.0301 % 2,567.6
FixedReset Bank Non 3.19 % 3.67 % 66,475 0.42 9 -0.0181 % 2,571.5
FixedReset Ins Non 4.33 % 5.20 % 88,621 5.44 22 -0.1186 % 2,578.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 21.62
Evaluated at bid price : 21.62
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 24.50
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 23.30
Evaluated at bid price : 24.16
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.88
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 17.58
Evaluated at bid price : 17.58
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 187,330 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc 123,556 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.28
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 111,432 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 24.12
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 63,038 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc 24,250 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Premium 17,565 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-21
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : -3.71 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 23.41 – 24.49
Spot Rate : 1.0800
Average : 0.5981

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %

MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 23.61 – 24.74
Spot Rate : 1.1300
Average : 0.6592

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %

PVS.PR.B SplitShare Quote: 25.10 – 26.10
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.5496

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %

MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 22.86 – 23.80
Spot Rate : 0.9400
Average : 0.5767

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %

PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.62 – 22.10
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3045

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 21.62
Evaluated at bid price : 21.62
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium Quote: 24.75 – 25.20
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3021

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-21
Maturity Price : 24.50
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %

BAM.PF.A : No Conversion to FloatingReset

Friday, September 21st, 2018

Brookfield Asset Management Inc. has announced:

that after having taken into account all election notices received by the September 17, 2018 deadline for the conversion of the Cumulative Class A Preference Shares, Series 32 (the “Series 32 Shares”) (TSX: BAM.PF.A) into Cumulative Class A Preference Shares, Series 33 (the “Series 33 Shares”), the holders of Series 32 Shares are not entitled to convert their Series 32 Shares into Series 33 Shares. There were 79,681 Series 32 Shares tendered for conversion, which is less than the one million shares required to give effect to conversions into Series 33 Shares.

It will be recalled that BAM.PF.A will reset at 5.061% effective October 1.

BAM.PF.A is a FixedReset, 4.50%+290 that commenced trading 2012-3-13 after being announced 2012-3-5. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ and assigned to the FixedResets subindex.

I recommended against conversion.

September 20, 2018

Thursday, September 20th, 2018
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2576 % 3,102.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2576 % 5,692.0
Floater 3.50 % 3.67 % 35,713 18.14 4 0.2576 % 3,280.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1347 % 3,226.6
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.66 % 55,263 4.79 5 -0.1347 % 3,853.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1347 % 3,006.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % -1.48 % 54,845 0.09 12 0.0721 % 2,922.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.54 % 57,188 14.52 22 0.0433 % 2,998.0
FixedReset Disc 4.18 % 4.99 % 138,548 15.62 42 0.0281 % 2,576.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.16 % 5.94 % 59,887 5.36 27 -0.0422 % 2,998.3
FloatingReset 3.37 % 4.12 % 44,957 5.66 5 0.1272 % 2,844.3
FixedReset Prem 4.83 % 4.09 % 163,886 3.07 35 0.0279 % 2,568.4
FixedReset Bank Non 3.19 % 3.76 % 64,071 0.42 9 -0.0496 % 2,572.0
FixedReset Ins Non 4.32 % 5.06 % 87,535 5.44 22 0.0759 % 2,581.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 17.24
Evaluated at bid price : 17.24
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 23.36
Evaluated at bid price : 23.80
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.70
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 23.06
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Prem 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.68
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 134,848 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 22.92
Evaluated at bid price : 24.23
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 101,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 81,505 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 69,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
BNS.PR.H FixedReset Prem 64,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset Prem 54,525 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.39
Bid-YTW : 3.57 %
There were 16 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.36 – 23.88
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3491

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %

HSE.PR.C FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.70 – 25.08
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2370

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 24.35
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %

BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.50 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3660

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 19.70 – 20.09
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2838

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.70
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %

CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc Quote: 24.40 – 24.75
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2540

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-20
Maturity Price : 23.38
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %

TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.11 – 25.55
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3493

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %

TD.PR.Y & TD.PR.Z To Be Redeemed

Wednesday, September 19th, 2018

The Toronto-Dominion Bank has announced (on September 12):

that it will exercise its right to redeem all of its 5,481,853 outstanding Non-cumulative Class A First Preferred Shares, Series Y (the “Series Y Shares”) on October 31, 2018 at the price of $25.00 per Series Y Share, for an aggregate total of approximately $137 million.

TD also announced that it will exercise its right to redeem all of its 4,518,147 outstanding Non-cumulative Class A First Preferred Shares, Series Z (the “Series Z Shares”) on October 31, 2018 at the price of $25.00 per Series Z Share, for an aggregate total of approximately $113 million.

On August 30, 2018, TD announced that dividends of $ 0.22246875 per Series Y Share and $ 0.18293750 per Series Z Share had been declared. These will be the final dividends on the Series Y Shares and Series Z Shares, respectively, and will be paid in the usual manner on October 31, 2018 to shareholders of record on October 10, 2018, as previously announced. After October 31, 2018, the Series Y Shares and Series Z Shares will cease to be entitled to dividends and the only remaining rights of holders of such shares will be to receive payment of the redemption amount.

With the announcement of the redemption of the Series Y Shares and Series Z Shares, the right of any holder of Series Y Shares or Series Z Shares to convert such shares will cease and terminate.

Beneficial holders who are not directly the registered holder of Series Y Shares or Series Z Shares should contact the financial institution, broker or other intermediary through which they hold these shares to confirm how they will receive their redemption proceeds. Inquiries should be directed to our Registrar and Transfer Agent, AST Trust Company (Canada), at 1-800-387-0825 (or in Toronto 416-682-3860).

TD.PR.Y was announced 2008-7-7 as a FixedReset, 5.10%+168, as the seventh FixedReset issue, and an extension was announced 2013-9-26. The issue reset at 3.5595%

Roughly 45% of the issue was converted to the FloatingReset, TD.PR.Z, in 2013, and the FloatingReset traded at a tiny premium over TD.PR.Y. It had an Implied Bill Rate of 2.01% on opening day, the lowest of five FixedReset/FloatingReset pairs at the time.

Both issues have been tracked by HIMIPref™. TD.PR.Y is currently included in the FixedReset (Bank Non-NVCC) subindex, while TD.PR.Z has been relegated to Scraps on volume concerns.

September 19, 2018

Wednesday, September 19th, 2018

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.54%, equivalent to 7.20% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 4.05%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 315bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) narrowing from the 320bp reported September 12.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3916 % 3,094.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3916 % 5,677.3
Floater 3.51 % 3.67 % 37,090 18.13 4 -0.3916 % 3,271.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0634 % 3,231.0
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.63 % 54,899 4.80 5 0.0634 % 3,858.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0634 % 3,010.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.54 % -0.23 % 50,646 0.09 12 0.0721 % 2,920.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.43 % 5.54 % 57,453 14.50 22 -0.0217 % 2,996.7
FixedReset Disc 4.18 % 4.98 % 140,565 15.64 42 -0.0665 % 2,575.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.16 % 5.93 % 59,733 5.37 27 -0.0500 % 2,999.6
FloatingReset 3.38 % 4.11 % 45,271 5.66 5 -0.3800 % 2,840.7
FixedReset Prem 4.83 % 4.16 % 164,658 2.87 35 0.0089 % 2,567.7
FixedReset Bank Non 3.19 % 3.73 % 65,073 0.43 9 0.0045 % 2,573.3
FixedReset Ins Non 4.32 % 5.09 % 88,832 5.44 22 0.0876 % 2,579.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 21.28
Evaluated at bid price : 21.28
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
PWF.PR.A Floater -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 21.16
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 3.08 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 22.96
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Prem -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.24
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 22.23
Evaluated at bid price : 22.97
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.63
Evaluated at bid price : 24.06
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.64
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.47
Evaluated at bid price : 17.47
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 256,467 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 84,405 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.39
Evaluated at bid price : 24.42
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 64,580 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset Bank Non 56,930 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.84
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 49,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 23.06
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset 46,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.59 %
There were 10 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset Quote: 21.28 – 21.85
Spot Rate : 0.5700
Average : 0.3754

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 21.28
Evaluated at bid price : 21.28
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %

EML.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 26.09 – 26.63
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3484

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.09
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %

PWF.PR.A Floater Quote: 21.16 – 21.70
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.4093

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 21.16
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 3.08 %

BIP.PR.E FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.40 – 24.75
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2321

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %

BAM.PF.I FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.95 – 26.33
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2936

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.55 – 23.79
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1909

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %

AX.PR.E : No Conversion to FloatingReset

Wednesday, September 19th, 2018

Artis Real Estate Investment Trust has announced (on September 18):

that it has determined, based upon the election of holders of Preferred Units, Series E (“Series E Units”) (AX.PR.E), that less than 500,000 Series F Units would be issued on September 30, 2018 and consequently, no holders of Series E Units are entitled to reclassify their Series E Units to Series F Units on September 30, 2018.

Accordingly, all 4,000,000 Series E Units will remain issued and outstanding following September 30, 2018 and during the subsequent five year period commencing October 1, 2018, holders will be entitled to receive distributions, if, as and when declared by the Board of Trustees of Artis, in an annual amount per Series E Unit determined by multiplying the Annual Fixed Distribution Rate of 5.472% per annum by $25.00, payable quarterly on the last business day of each of March, June, September and December in each year during such period.

It will be recalled that AX.PR.E will reset at 5.472% effective October 1.

AX.PR.E is a FixedReset, 4.75%+330, that commenced trading 2013-3-31 after being announced 2013-3-12. It must be remembered that these are not actually preferred shares, as the term is usually used; they are preferred units and the distributions will be characterized in the same manner as distributions to the Capital units. The company publishes the characterization of the distributions on its website. Because of the company’s structure, conversion between the FixedReset and FloatingReset is probably (!) a taxable event; i.e., investors will take a capital gain or loss for tax purposes on conversion and reset the Adjusted Cost Base on their new position.

I recommended against conversion.

BCE.PR.Q : No Conversion to FloatingReset

Wednesday, September 19th, 2018

BCE Inc. has announced (on September 14):

that none of its fixed-rate Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series AQ (Series AQ Preferred Shares) will be converted into floating-rate Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series AR (Series AR Preferred Shares) on October 1, 2018.

On August 31, 2018, notice was provided that holders of Series AQ Preferred Shares could elect to convert their shares into Series AR Preferred Shares subject to the terms and conditions attached to those shares. Only 93,593 of BCE’s 9,200,000 Series AQ Preferred Shares were tendered for conversion on October 1, 2018 into Series AR Preferred Shares. As this would result in there being less than one million Series AR Preferred Shares outstanding, no Series AQ Preferred Shares will be converted on October 1, 2018 into Series AR Preferred Shares, as per the terms and conditions attached to those shares.

The Series AQ Preferred Shares will continue to be listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol BCE.PR.Q. The Series AQ Preferred Shares will pay on a quarterly basis, for the five-year period beginning on September 30, 2018, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of BCE, a fixed quarterly cash dividend based on an annual dividend rate of 4.812%.

It will be recalled that BCE.PR.Q will reset at 4.812% effective September 30.

BCE.PR.Q is a FixedReset that came into being through an Exchange from BAF.PR.E which in turn commenced trading 2013-2-14 as a FixedReset, 4.25%+264, after being announced 2013-1-30.

I recommended against conversion.

September 18, 2018

Tuesday, September 18th, 2018
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7209 % 3,106.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7209 % 5,699.7
Floater 3.50 % 3.65 % 38,541 18.18 4 0.7209 % 3,284.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0159 % 3,228.9
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.62 % 57,135 4.80 5 0.0159 % 3,856.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0159 % 3,008.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.54 % 0.55 % 52,286 0.12 12 0.0098 % 2,918.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.43 % 5.53 % 56,881 14.52 22 -0.0374 % 2,997.3
FixedReset Disc 4.18 % 4.98 % 140,965 15.65 42 0.1520 % 2,577.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.15 % 5.93 % 59,547 5.37 27 -0.0344 % 3,001.1
FloatingReset 3.36 % 4.14 % 41,910 5.66 5 -0.0271 % 2,851.6
FixedReset Prem 4.83 % 4.15 % 167,147 3.07 35 0.0569 % 2,567.5
FixedReset Bank Non 3.19 % 3.66 % 67,757 0.43 9 0.1627 % 2,573.2
FixedReset Ins Non 4.30 % 5.12 % 91,934 5.43 22 0.0760 % 2,577.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.79
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.54
Evaluated at bid price : 19.54
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.65
Evaluated at bid price : 17.65
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 530,541 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-18
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset Bank Non 98,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.14
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset 77,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.27
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 64,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-18
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 24.98
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 57,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.27
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset Prem 55,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
There were 19 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.R FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 25.73 – 26.28
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.3612

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.73
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %

MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 22.31 – 23.15
Spot Rate : 0.8400
Average : 0.7378

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.31
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.05 – 19.49
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3606

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %

MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.60 – 18.85
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1775

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %

BAM.PF.J FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.20 – 25.55
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2862

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %

IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.20 – 22.50
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2468

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.20
Bid-YTW : 6.81 %

MAPF Attribution Analysis: August, 2018

Tuesday, September 18th, 2018

As promised, I have prepared an Attribution Analysis for MAPF for August. This will be prepared every month for all segregated accounts under management.

The Attribution Analysis determines the portfolio’s expected return at the beginning of the period, given the portfolio composition on that date and the subsequent total return of each of the issues to the end of the period. Note that if a particular issue goes ex-dividend during the period, the dividend is assumed to be reinvested in that issue at the bid price.

Naturally, there is a reconciliation term required as well, since the portfolio will generally experience trades and possibly cash-flows during the month, which means that the estimate made by examination of the initial portfolio will not be accurate.

Thus:

aa_1_180914
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The term “rpi” requires a bit of explanation. Obviously, if “instruments” refers to a single issue then “rpi” will be the same for all p. However, in this analysis I am using “instrument” to refer to a group of instruments – that is, the sub-types of preferred shares I show every day in the Market Action Reports. Since the composition of each sector will differ from portfolio to portfolio, the projected returns for that sector will be from portfolio to portfolio accordingly; that is, Portfolio #1 might have a different projected total return for PerpetualDiscounts than does Portfolio #2.

So, having broken down projected returns for both the portfolio and the index by sector, we can now do the attribution analysis. This requires a bit of elementary algebra:

aa_2_180914_page_1
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aa_2_180914_page_2
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aa_2_180914_page_3
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So that’s the theory!

The determination of projected returns for MAPF and the index for August, 2018, by HIMI sub-index is:

mapf_180831_aa_rectosub
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And the determination of sources of excess return is:

mapf_180831_aa_attributionterms
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Finally, the full report (which includes details of the above calculations) is available as a PDF.

There are a few problems. First, my routines for performance calculation of a security don’t work if the security undergoes a reorganization during the period (e.g., gets redeemed, changes the dividend rate and so on). I’ll be fixing that soon, but for now I am just substituting a zero return for these securities. Second, my printing routine has a few glitches which show up in the detail section. I’ll be fixing that soon, too, but I hate the whole printing rigamarole. I’ll have to take a half-bottle or so of tranquilizers, first!

BMO.PR.E Firm on Excellent Volume

Tuesday, September 18th, 2018

Bank of Montreal has announced:

it has closed its domestic public offering of Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class B Preferred Shares Series 44 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 44”). The offering was underwritten on a bought-deal basis by a syndicate of underwriters led by BMO Capital Markets. Bank of Montreal issued 16 million Preferred Shares Series 44 (which includes Preferred Shares Series 44 issued pursuant to the exercise in full of an underwriters’ option to acquire up to 4,000,000 Preferred Shares Series 44 as part of the offering) at a price of $25.00 per share to raise gross proceeds of $400 million.

The Preferred Shares Series 44 were issued under a prospectus supplement dated September 10, 2018, to the Bank’s short form base shelf prospectus dated May 23, 2018. Such shares will commence trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange today under the ticker symbol BMO.PR.E.

BMO.PR.E is a FixedReset, 4.85%+268, announced 2018-09-06. It will be tracked by HIMIPref™ and has been assigned to the FixedReset Discount subindex.

The issue traded 1,362,183 shares today in a range of 24.90-99 before closing at 24.98-00. Vital statistics are:

BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-09-17
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 24.98
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %

The new issue is quite expensive according to Implied Volatility Analysis:

impvol_bmo_180917
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According to this analysis, the fair value of the new issue on September 17 is 24.15.

The ludicrously high figure of Implied Volatility is something I take to mean that the underlying assumption of the Black-Scholes model, that of no directionality of prices, is not accepted by the market; the market seems to be taking the view that since things seem rosy now, they will always be rosy and everything will trade near par in the future.

I balk at ascribing a 100% probability to the ‘all issues will be called, or at least exhibit price stability’ hypothesis. There may still be a few old geezers amongst the Assiduous Readers of this blog who can still (faintly) remember the Great Bear Market of 2014-16, in which quite a few similar assumptions made earlier turned out to be slightly inaccurate. The extra cushion implied by an Issue Reset Spread that is well over the market spread is worth something, even if nothing gets called.

Or, to put it another way, one can buy a whole lot of downside protection for very little extra money, relative to this issue. For instance, BMO.PR.D, FixedReset, 4.40%+317, is bid at 25.10 (theoretical fair value of 25.28, according to the above analysis, which ignores the interim dividend shortfall). You’re giving up about $0.10 p.a. in dividends until it resets 2022-8-25, sure, but you’re getting a significant amount of protection in the event of a market downturn, and more dividend afterwards if not called. Is it worth it? Well, that will depend a lot on your aversion to loss … I’m just saying that buying the same amount of protection costs more in most other series of FixedResets.