June 28, 2012

Europe’s going to solve the crisis by subordinating privately held debt:

Italy today paid the most to sell 10-year debt since December, selling the notes to yield 6.19 percent. Spanish 10- year yields rose to 6.94 percent today. The focus should be on helping Spain’s banks and reducing Italian yields to around or slightly under 4 percent, Irish Finance Minister Michael Noonan said to reporters in Dublin today.

“The EFSF or ESM could stand ready to intervene in the primary market to facilitate successful issuance of the covered bonds,” [Finnish Prime Minister Jyrki] Katainen said. “Italy and Spain have lots of state properties they could use in raising money. Selling covered bonds would send a strong message they stand behind their debt.”

Katainen said the proposal is based on Finland’s experience with the sale of covered bonds during its economic troubles in the early 1990s.

It’s odd … when the bank regulators want to boost bank capital requirements, they say it won’t matter since they’ll be able to borrow cheaper and sell equity at a higher multiple, since Modigliani-Miller says enterprise value is constant. This doesn’t seem to apply to sovereigns. Gee, I wonder why that is.

Greece may get bailed out of its bail-out:

An International Monetary Fund team will start negotiating possible changes to the conditions attached to a loan to Greece after a fact-finding mission travels to Athens early next week, a fund spokesman said.

The regulators have released an electronic trading press release

IIROC released a plethora of proposed new rules regarding electronic trading – a request for comments on rules:

The most significant impacts of the Proposed Amendments would be to:

  • ensure that Participants and Access Persons adopt, document and maintain a system of risk management and supervisory controls, policies and procedures reasonably designed to manage the risks associated with electronic trading and access to marketplaces;
  • ensure that Participants and Access Persons are effectively supervising trading activity and are accounting for the risks associated with electronic access to marketplaces in their supervisory and compliance monitoring procedures; and
  • require an appropriate level of understanding, ongoing testing and appropriate monitoring of any automated order systems in use by a Participant, Access Person, or any client of the Participant.

Lots and lots of paperwork! Lots and lots of jobs for regulatory and compliance types! Lots and lots of opportunity to nail people with 20-20 hindsight when things go wrong! Yay!

… and a request for comments on guidance:

At a minimum, the post-order entry compliance procedures for clients who have been provided access to a marketplace should address the procedures for testing:
….
orders that have been entered which may constitute “spoofing” contrary to Rule 2.2 of UMIR (the entry of an order or orders which are not intended to be executed for the purpose of determining the depth of the market, checking for the presence of an iceberg order, affecting an opening price or other similar purpose);

Strikes me that this will be very difficult to enforce.

It was another quiet mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums off 5bp, FixedResets down 4bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 3bp. Volatility was good. Volume was below average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2415 % 2,290.1
FixedFloater 4.57 % 3.95 % 21,350 17.36 1 0.0481 % 3,450.0
Floater 3.18 % 3.17 % 74,840 19.28 3 -0.2415 % 2,472.7
OpRet 4.79 % 2.05 % 36,889 0.98 5 0.1777 % 2,518.2
SplitShare 5.25 % -7.13 % 41,217 0.48 4 0.0000 % 2,725.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1777 % 2,302.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % 3.72 % 84,230 0.54 27 -0.0473 % 2,239.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.03 % 5.01 % 117,009 15.38 7 0.3645 % 2,471.5
FixedReset 5.04 % 3.19 % 193,321 7.77 71 -0.0430 % 2,398.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.02 % 3.88 % 139,582 2.88 45 0.0289 % 2,309.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 3.25 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.67
Bid-YTW : 1.27 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-28
Maturity Price : 24.15
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-28
Maturity Price : 24.29
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 154,350 TD crossed 149,900 at 25.59.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 2.95 %
ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Premium 127,780 Scotia crossed blocks of 50,000 and 69,300, both at 25.18.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 116,092 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
HSB.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 101,960 Desjardins crossed 97,800 at 25.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.42
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
GWO.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 97,960 Nesbitt crossed 83,000 at 25.64.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 94,455 RBC crossed blocks of 49,500 and 39,900, both at 25.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.11 – 26.98
Spot Rate : 0.8700
Average : 0.5510

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.33 – 25.97
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.3928

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.33
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.29 – 22.80
Spot Rate : 0.5100
Average : 0.3285

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %

RY.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.66 – 27.04
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2345

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.66
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %

CM.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 26.50 – 26.97
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3437

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 3.25 %

FTS.PR.C OpRet Quote: 25.50 – 25.85
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2268

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-07-28
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : -1.78 %

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