July 23, 2013

Nothing happened today.

It was an off-day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums off 3bp, FixedResets down 7bp and DeemedRetractibles losing 15bp. There was again a surprising amount of volatility considering the overall small movement. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.0396 % 2,598.3
FixedFloater 4.13 % 3.42 % 36,383 18.55 1 0.4806 % 4,020.2
Floater 2.70 % 2.88 % 90,823 20.02 4 1.0396 % 2,805.5
OpRet 4.59 % 3.07 % 79,911 0.68 3 -0.1527 % 2,629.8
SplitShare 4.66 % 4.42 % 56,326 3.91 6 0.0473 % 2,977.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1527 % 2,404.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.61 % 4.45 % 105,362 0.58 12 -0.0474 % 2,290.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.32 % 5.34 % 143,752 14.84 26 -0.0298 % 2,420.6
FixedReset 4.97 % 3.57 % 241,598 3.98 84 -0.0694 % 2,476.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.06 % 4.50 % 200,367 4.80 43 -0.1509 % 2,386.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -2.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 23.32
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.42
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 2.67 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 23.84
Evaluated at bid price : 24.21
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 22.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 2.88 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset 2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 23.35
Evaluated at bid price : 24.54
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.A FixedReset 254,148 National crossed 100,000 at 26.10. Td crossed 50,000 at the same price and Desjardins crossed 70,000 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-08-22
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : -24.36 %
BNS.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 169,736 TD crossed 90,000 at 25.10; Desjardins crossed 69,900 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 78,550 TD sold 18,200 to RBC at 23.82, then crossed blocks of 25,000 and 15,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 23.32
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 74,790 RBC crossed blocks of 49,800 and 13,700 at 25.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
BAM.PR.P FixedReset 62,787 RBC crossed 49,400 at 26.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 53,866 RBC crossed 37,600 at 23.00; Nesbitt crossed 12,400 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 22.59
Evaluated at bid price : 22.92
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
There were 50 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 23.32 – 23.90
Spot Rate : 0.5800
Average : 0.3471

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 23.32
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 24.13 – 24.56
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2869

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.13
Bid-YTW : 3.71 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 18.00 – 18.33
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2064

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %

GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.32 – 25.84
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.4104

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-08-22
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : -5.04 %

TRP.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 24.25 – 24.50
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1443

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %

BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.99 – 22.25
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1559

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-07-23
Maturity Price : 21.99
Evaluated at bid price : 21.99
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %

2 Responses to “July 23, 2013”

  1. Nestor says:

    Mr. Hymas, i’m a new annual subscriber (so bear with me if i ask something stupid). I’ve tried to read as much information on your site over the last few weeks. I still have to watch the educational videos, so, i’m sure i have lots to learn.

    The monthly recommendations in your newsletter, are they intended to be buy and hold suggestions? Would i have to be trading between different issues often? are some of the recommendation long term buys?
    i understand pref shares will change value dependent on interest rates.

    for example, you recommend a few of the insurance companies shares (mfc.pr.c, slf.pr.d) if i buy one of these, can i expect (all things being equal) that they will be redeemed at 25$ some 12 years from now, and i can expect the dividend for that period of time?

    thanks for your time. I must add, your monthly newsletter is quite exhaustive. an absolute wealth of information.

    Nestor

  2. jiHymas says:

    Sorry I’ve taken so long to respond to this; since this is your first post it got hung up in moderation, along with about 2,000 spam comments which I have just cleaned out. Now that you are an “Approved Commenter”, your comments will not be held for moderation and will be published instantly.

    The monthly recommendations in your newsletter, are they intended to be buy and hold suggestions?

    Yes. They are selected on the basis of their long term characteristics. That being said, it is always possible that they could rise in price relative to other issues quite substantially in the near term, which would make them candidates for sale.

    Would i have to be trading between different issues often?

    No, not often – large relative price changes don’t happen very often. When a recommendation changes, it is usually because the former #1 (say) in a particular class has fallen to (say) #5, and the difference might not be much at all.

    I recommend that you review your holdings against the recommendations on a regular basis – quarterly would be a good schedule, although “whenever there has been a large price movement” is also a good idea.

    you recommend a few of the insurance companies shares (mfc.pr.c, slf.pr.d) if i buy one of these, can i expect (all things being equal) that they will be redeemed at 25$ some 12 years from now, and i can expect the dividend for that period of time?

    Yes – although you should remember that the “redeemed at 25$” part is highly dependent upon my analysis of such issues as “DeemedRetractibles” and the “expect the dividend” part is dependent upon their not defaulting. Default is a remote possibility for the issues I recommend; and you should take your own view on the inclusion of Insurers as DeemedRetractibles, influenced, I hope, by my arguments in the DeemedRetractible section of each newsletter.

    I must add, your monthly newsletter is quite exhaustive. an absolute wealth of information.

    Thanks for your kind words!

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