May 29, 2018

It used to be that bond yields were headed straight up. Not any more:

U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury yields posted their largest one-day drop on Tuesday since Britain voted to exit the European Union nearly two years ago, as a political crisis in Italy, the third-largest euro zone economy, fueled a flight to safe-haven assets.

The steep rally in Treasury prices on Tuesday could be a blip in what has been a relentless sell-off since early September. Interest rates have been supported by the Federal Reserve’s tightening policy with 10-year Treasury yields rising to a high of 3.12 percent earlier this month.

In afternoon trading, U.S. 10-year yields dropped to seven-week lows of 2.759 percent and were last at 2.788 percent. Yields fell 14.6 basis points, the largest decline since June 24, 2016.

U.S. 10-year Treasury futures were on track to record their highest single-day volume ever, according to a CME Group spokeswoman said. As of late Tuesday, a combined 8.58 million 10-year T-note futures changed hands with roughly 5.31 million contracts for June delivery transacted TYM8, according to CME data.

The vital-for-FixedResets-and-mortgages Canada 5-year rate dropped to 2.03% … there will be some who will think that’s a typo given recent history:

goc5_180529
Click for Big

And so, of course, preferreds got whacked, with TXPR down 62bp on the day.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2399 % 3,010.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2399 % 5,524.0
Floater 3.32 % 3.56 % 73,839 18.33 4 1.2399 % 3,183.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2381 % 3,191.8
SplitShare 4.60 % 4.39 % 80,558 5.05 5 0.2381 % 3,811.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2381 % 2,974.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.62 % -7.74 % 65,355 0.09 10 -0.0236 % 2,873.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.50 % 64,434 14.62 24 0.0000 % 2,942.4
FixedReset 4.32 % 4.74 % 155,503 5.72 104 -0.7091 % 2,522.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.15 % 5.69 % 75,278 5.54 27 0.2380 % 2,946.0
FloatingReset 3.23 % 3.97 % 34,833 3.49 8 -0.9102 % 2,772.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -5.38 % A nonsensical quote from Nonsense Central, as this issue traded a whopping 2,670 shares in a range of 17.45-67 (closing at the low) before being quoted at 16.70-17.62.

I have not checked whether this lamentable state of affairs is due to inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange reporting or inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange supervision of market-makers.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %

TRP.PR.H FloatingReset -3.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset -3.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -2.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.20
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset -2.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 21.46
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset -2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.52
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.06
Bid-YTW : 7.74 %
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.79
Evaluated at bid price : 23.34
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset -1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.81
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.21
Bid-YTW : 7.09 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 18.09
Evaluated at bid price : 18.09
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 24.21
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.52
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
IAG.PR.I FixedReset -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.09
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 23.23
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 23.27
Evaluated at bid price : 24.32
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.60
Evaluated at bid price : 22.97
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.48
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.50
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.81
Evaluated at bid price : 23.31
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 23.65
Evaluated at bid price : 24.29
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 23.23
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 23.26
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 17.15
Evaluated at bid price : 17.15
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 17.15
Evaluated at bid price : 17.15
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 17.13
Evaluated at bid price : 17.13
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
IFC.PR.G FixedReset 463,145 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.78
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 140,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 23.26
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Premium 88,607 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : -17.29 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset 83,624 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 63,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
BAM.PF.H FixedReset 52,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
There were 36 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
RY.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 23.55 – 24.55
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.6062

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 16.70 – 17.60
Spot Rate : 0.9000
Average : 0.5442

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %

BAM.PF.G FixedReset Quote: 24.10 – 24.95
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.5808

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 23.18
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %

GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.35 – 21.99
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.4186

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.35
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %

TRP.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 25.32 – 25.85
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3291

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %

TRP.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 21.80 – 22.29
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3175

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-29
Maturity Price : 21.46
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %

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