October 19, 2018

The market weakened in the afternoon and collapsed in the last half hour:

txpr_181019
Click for Big
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.4829 % 3,113.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.4829 % 5,713.5
Floater 3.49 % 3.68 % 39,207 18.12 4 -2.4829 % 3,292.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0079 % 3,228.4
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.77 % 50,885 4.71 5 0.0079 % 3,855.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0079 % 3,008.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.63 % 1.02 % 77,407 0.20 12 0.1735 % 2,907.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.58 % 5.72 % 75,431 14.32 21 -0.5041 % 2,937.3
FixedReset Disc 4.23 % 5.14 % 146,362 15.37 45 -0.5747 % 2,573.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.37 % 6.79 % 65,348 5.23 27 -1.2594 % 2,880.8
FloatingReset 3.61 % 3.76 % 42,853 5.54 4 -0.4999 % 2,832.0
FixedReset Prem 4.90 % 4.30 % 257,412 3.06 34 -0.4460 % 2,553.7
FixedReset Bank Non 3.12 % 3.61 % 74,521 0.34 8 -0.0815 % 2,573.5
FixedReset Ins Non 4.45 % 5.84 % 116,420 5.37 22 -0.8418 % 2,517.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -11.59 % A nonsensical quote brought to you courtesy of Nonsense Central. The issue traded 22,017 shares today in a range of 20.50-21.69 before the Exchange started selling the “closing” quotation of 19.00-21.35.

There were a number of trades in the extended session at the day’s low of 20.50. Almost all the selling was done by Royal Bank.

I have not checked whether the lamentable state of the quote is due to inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange reporting or inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange supervision of market-makers.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 10.18 %

TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem -3.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 24.14
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -3.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.77
Bid-YTW : 8.98 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -3.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.94
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
IFC.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -2.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.64
Bid-YTW : 7.19 %
BAM.PF.H FixedReset Prem -2.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.83
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -2.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 17.64
Evaluated at bid price : 17.64
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %
BAM.PR.C Floater -2.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -2.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.45
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc -2.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 23.02
Evaluated at bid price : 23.52
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.59
Bid-YTW : 9.47 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -2.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.58
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.26
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc -2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 21.88
Evaluated at bid price : 22.41
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.90
Bid-YTW : 8.25 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.44
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 17.34
Evaluated at bid price : 17.34
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
PWF.PR.A Floater -1.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 21.39
Evaluated at bid price : 21.39
Bid-YTW : 3.05 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non -1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.63
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 20.02
Evaluated at bid price : 20.02
Bid-YTW : 6.00 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 8.70 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 8.97 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 6.61 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 21.66
Evaluated at bid price : 22.08
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 5.83 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.94
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.36
Evaluated at bid price : 22.83
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.33
Evaluated at bid price : 23.15
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
BAM.PF.J FixedReset Prem -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.11
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 5.20 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.34
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 21.51
Evaluated at bid price : 21.51
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 20.07
Evaluated at bid price : 20.07
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.09
Bid-YTW : 8.72 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.19
Bid-YTW : 8.63 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 23.59
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.12
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.63
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 9.39 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset Prem -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 3.41 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.37
Bid-YTW : 7.93 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.99
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
IFC.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.24
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 17.57
Evaluated at bid price : 17.57
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Premium 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 24.59
Evaluated at bid price : 24.84
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 3.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Prem 317,002 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-11-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Prem 254,052 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 246,669 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 8.00 %
RY.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 241,723 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-11-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 0.52 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Premium 220,648 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 204,099 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.16
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Prem 196,934 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 25.03
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 165,702 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 141,656 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 138,575 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 23.53
Evaluated at bid price : 23.91
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 136,626 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 23.59
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Prem 136,436 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
There were 76 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 19.00 – 21.35
Spot Rate : 2.3500
Average : 1.2919

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 10.18 %

TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.14 – 25.14
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.6159

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 24.14
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %

BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.26 – 23.99
Spot Rate : 0.7300
Average : 0.4029

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.68
Evaluated at bid price : 23.26
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %

TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.29 – 23.97
Spot Rate : 0.6800
Average : 0.3795

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 22.68
Evaluated at bid price : 23.29
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %

BAM.PF.H FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.83 – 25.59
Spot Rate : 0.7600
Average : 0.4628

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.83
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %

PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.30 – 22.94
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.3673

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-19
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %

3 Responses to “October 19, 2018”

  1. prefman says:

    So GOC-5 was steady around 2.4% & TSX overall was up. Any speculation for the reason for the decline in pref shares?

  2. jiHymas says:

    Any speculation for the reason for the decline in pref shares?

    Nope! It’s a mystery to me … major market moves are almost always a mystery to me and I envy the talking heads on television who can pick something out of the huge mass od data and say in a deep, confident voice ‘The markets were down today because the price of eggs in Spain indicate an impending surge in inflation’. Or sometimes they say ‘Profit taking!’.

    The illiquidity of the preferred share market exacerbates my confusion. One big player, clumsily and lazily altering his portfolio allocation by a handful of percentage points, can have an enormous short-term effect.

  3. Nestor says:

    if you want a random answer… someone looked at a chart of the prefs, drew a line across certain price levels, they broke below, never recovered and the selling piled on.

    if you look at (example) slf.pr.b, and pull up a 5 year chart. there is “support” at $22 from late 2016. it kind of gets there, and pops. this last time, in 2018, the pop was really weak. horrible in fact. and over the last few weeks, we got to $22.. did NOT manage to hold.. and someone just bailed.

    you can look at a lot of the pref shares that are similar. gwo.i, mfc.b, pwf.s… it’s the same sort of idea… just a random answer.

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