September 30, 2009

I’ve been wondering when there would be some more news on CIT! Here’s a rumour:

Citigroup Inc. and Barclays Capital are offering to provide financing to CIT Group Inc., the commercial lender that’s struggling to avert bankruptcy, according to people familiar with the situation.

The 101-year-old company’s bondholders are also seeking to provide about $2 billion in loans as a restructuring deadline approaches tomorrow, said the people, who declined to be identified because the negotiations are private. New York-based CIT may choose other options, the people said.

CIT said in July it may seek court protection from creditors after Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Peek failed to win a second government bailout and had to turn to bondholders for $3 billion in rescue financing. The company said in an Aug. 17 regulatory filing that it has to come up with a plan “acceptable” to the majority of a bondholder steering committee that provided it with the emergency cash by Oct. 1.

More rumours:

CIT Group Inc., the 101-year-old commercial lender, is planning to start a debt exchange offer that will include a so-called pre-packaged bankruptcy option, a person familiar with the matter said.

The company plans to start a voluntary swap “within days,” said the person, who declined to be identified because talks are private. At the same time, New York-based CIT proposes that debt holders vote on a pre-packaged bankruptcy plan in case the exchange fails, the person said.

The preferred share market closed the month on a sour note, with PerpetualDiscounts down 13bp and FixedResets losing 7bp. Index figures are still unofficial, but I make PerpetualDiscounts down 1.20% total return for the month and FixedResets up 0.21%. Volume was good on the day, led by the TRP new issue and dominated by other FixedResets.

PerpetualDiscounts closed yielding 5.80%, equivalent to 8.12% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates now yield a smidgen under 6.0%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 215 bp, a widening of 10bp from the 205bp reported September 23 and at the high end of “Credit Crunch Normal”.

Congratulations to Assiduous Reader beluga, who won yesterday‘s over/under contest on the TRP new issue volume!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9401 % 1,524.6
FixedFloater 5.78 % 4.02 % 50,922 18.56 1 -0.1062 % 2,657.7
Floater 2.40 % 2.05 % 36,609 22.32 4 0.9401 % 1,904.6
OpRet 4.87 % -6.23 % 131,619 0.09 15 -0.0128 % 2,285.0
SplitShare 6.39 % 6.58 % 792,219 4.00 2 -0.1980 % 2,069.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0128 % 2,089.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.79 % 5.70 % 149,116 13.70 12 -0.0331 % 1,873.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.77 % 5.80 % 205,631 14.21 59 -0.1349 % 1,790.7
FixedReset 5.48 % 4.11 % 453,721 4.09 41 -0.0711 % 2,108.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 18.63
Evaluated at bid price : 18.63
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 5.87 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
TRI.PR.B Floater 2.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 19.60
Evaluated at bid price : 19.60
Bid-YTW : 2.00 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 896,387 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 24.93
Evaluated at bid price : 24.98
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset 69,600 RBC crossed 45,000 at 27.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.39
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 59,930 Scotia bought 12,500 from Merrill at 25.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 23.45
Evaluated at bid price : 25.83
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 58,886 Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 27.51.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.50
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 52,385 Nesbitt crossed 38,700 at 22.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-09-30
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 49,980 Nesbitt bought 10,000 from Blackmont at 25.69.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
There were 51 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

3 Responses to “September 30, 2009”

  1. […] in the September 30 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 5.77% index yield on September 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.3462 * 0.0591 = 0.7297, an increase […]

  2. […] (which I also refer to as the Seniority Spread) closed the month at 250bp compared to the September 30 value of […]

  3. […] spread of PerpetualDiscounts over Long Corporates increased to 250bp on October 30 from 215bp on September 30, indicating at the very least that the broader bond market does not share any concerns preferred […]

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