{"id":11701,"date":"2010-08-02T22:11:42","date_gmt":"2010-08-03T02:11:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=11701"},"modified":"2010-08-02T22:11:42","modified_gmt":"2010-08-03T02:11:42","slug":"index-performance-july-2010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=11701","title":{"rendered":"Index Performance: July 2010"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Performance of the HIMIPref\u2122 Indices for July, 2010, was:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">Total Return<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Performance<br \/>\nJuly 2010<\/td>\n<td>Three Months<br \/>\nto<br \/>\nJuly 30, 2010<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ratchet<\/td>\n<td>+1.48%<\/td>\n<td>-3.04%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FixFloat<\/td>\n<td>+0.25% <b>**<\/b><\/td>\n<td>-2.74% <b>**<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Floater<\/td>\n<td>+0.25%<\/td>\n<td>-6.79%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>OpRet<\/td>\n<td>+0.28%<\/td>\n<td>+1.69%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>+2.33%<\/td>\n<td>+4.50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Interest<\/td>\n<td>+0.28%<b>****<\/b><\/td>\n<td>+1.69%<b>****<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PerpetualPremium<\/td>\n<td>+1.09%<b>*<\/b><\/td>\n<td>+6.29%<b>*<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+2.67%<\/td>\n<td>+9.55%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>+1.78%<\/td>\n<td>+4.71%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><b>*<\/b> <i>The last member of the PerpetualPremium index was transferred to PerpetualDiscount at the May, 2010, rebalancing; the June performance is set equal to the PerpetualDiscount index; the index was repopulate (from the PerpetualPremium index) at the June rebalancing.<\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><b>**<\/b> <i>The last member of the FixedFloater index was transferred to Scraps at the June, 2010, rebalancing; subsequent performance figures are set equal to the Floater index<\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><b>****<\/b> <i>The last member of the InterestBearing index was transferred to Scraps at the June, 2009, rebalancing; subsequent performance figures are set equal to the OperatingRetractible index<\/i><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">Passive Funds (see below for calculations)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CPD<\/td>\n<td>+1.57%<\/td>\n<td>+5.16%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>DPS.UN<\/td>\n<td>+2.05%<\/td>\n<td>+5.77%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">Index<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BMO-CM 50<\/td>\n<td>+1.87%<\/td>\n<td>+5.11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TXPR Total Return<\/td>\n<td>+1.70%<\/td>\n<td>+5.40%<\/td>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p><s>Unofficial data for TXPR indicates a total return of +1.70% for July, indicating a rather large tracking error of 55bp for CPD on the month, probably due to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=11489\">semi-annual July rebalancing<\/a>.<\/s> <i>No accounting had been made in the original post for the change to monthly distributions. This error has now been corrected. The tracking error for July is therefore 13bp &#8211; still rather large, but much smaller than the estimate that did not account for the distribution.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>The pre-tax interest equivalent spread of PerpetualDiscounts over Long Corporates (which I also refer to as the Seniority Spread) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=11672\">ended the month<\/a> at 275bp, a significant decline from the 290bp recorded at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=11372\">June month-end<\/a>. Long corporate yields increased slightly, to 5.5% from 5.45%. I would be happier with long corporates in the 6.00-6.25% range, but what do I know? The market has never shown any particular interest in my happiness.<\/p>\n<p>Charts related to the Seniority Spread and the Bozo Spread (PerpetualDiscount Current Yield less FixedReset Current Yield) are published in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefletter.com\">PrefLetter<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The trailing year returns are starting to look a bit more normal.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/relRet.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/relRet.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"relRet\" width=\"400\" height=\"333\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11702\" \/><\/a><br \/><i>Click for big<\/i><\/div>\n<p>But I suggest that eventually yields will make a difference:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/yields.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/yields.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"yields\" width=\"400\" height=\"334\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11703\" \/><\/a><br \/><i>Click for big<\/i><\/div>\n<p>Floaters have had a wild ride<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/floaters.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/floaters.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"floaters\" width=\"400\" height=\"345\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11704\" \/><\/a><br \/><i>Click for big<\/i><\/div>\n<p>FixedReset volume declined during the month after their burst of activity in April when they performed poorly. Volume may be under-reported due to the influence of Alternative Trading Systems (as discussed in the November <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefletter.com\">PrefLetter<\/a>), but I am biding my time before incorporating ATS volumes into the calculations, to see if the effect is transient or not.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/volume.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/volume.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"volume\" width=\"400\" height=\"330\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11706\" \/><\/a><br \/><i>Click for big<\/i><\/div>\n<p>Compositions of the passive funds were discussed in the September, 2009, edition of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefletter.com\">PrefLetter<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Claymore has published <a href=\"http:\/\/www.claymoreinvestments.ca\/etf\/fund\/cpd\/history\">NAV and distribution data<\/a> (problems with the page in IE8 can be kludged by using compatibility view) for its exchange traded fund (CPD) and I have derived the following table:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">CPD Return, 1- &#038; 3-month, to July, 2010<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Date<\/td>\n<td>NAV<\/td>\n<td>Distribution<\/td>\n<td>Return for Sub-Period<\/td>\n<td>Monthly Return<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>April 30<\/td>\n<td>16.11<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>May 31<\/td>\n<td>16.26<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>+0.93%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>June 25<\/td>\n<td>16.47<\/td>\n<td>0.21<\/td>\n<td>+2.58%<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">+2.58%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>June 30, 2010<\/td>\n<td>16.47<\/td>\n<td>0.00<\/td>\n<td>0.00%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>July 27<\/td>\n<td>16.62<\/td>\n<td>0.069<\/td>\n<td>+1.33%<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">+1.57%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>July 30, 2010<\/td>\n<td>16.66<\/td>\n<td>0.00<\/td>\n<td>0.24%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><strong>Quarterly Return<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>+5.16%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Claymore <a href=\"http:\/\/www.claymoreinvestments.ca\/etf\/fund\/cpd\">currently holds $462,433,680<\/a> (advisor &#038; common combined) in CPD assets, up about $18-million from the $444,847,391 reported last month and up about $88-million from the $373,729,364 reported at year-end. The monthly increase in AUM of about 3.95% is larger than the total return of +1.15%, implying that the ETF experienced net subscriptions in July.<\/p>\n<p>The DPS.UN NAV for July 28 <a href=\"http:\/\/sentry.ca\/en\/pricesperformance\/dailyprices.html\">has been published<\/a> so we may calculate the approximate July returns.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">DPS.UN NAV Return, July-ish 2010<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Date<\/td>\n<td>NAV<\/td>\n<td>Distribution<\/td>\n<td>Return for sub-period<\/td>\n<td>Return for period<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>June 30, 2010<\/td>\n<td>19.85<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>July 28, 2010<\/td>\n<td>20.21<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>+1.81%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">Estimated July Ending Stub<\/td>\n<td>+0.24% <b>**<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><strong>Estimated July Return<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>+2.05% <strong>***<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\"><em><b>**<\/b>CPD had a NAVPU of 16.62 on July 28 and 16.66 on July 30, hence the total return for the period for CPD was +0.24%. The return for DPS.UN in this period is presumed to be equal.<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\"><em><b>***<\/b> The estimated July return for DPS.UN&#8217;s NAV is therefore the product of two period returns, +1.81% and +0.24% to arrive at an estimate for the calendar month of +2.05%<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Now, to see the DPS.UN quarterly NAV approximate return, we refer to the calculations for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=11038\">May<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=11390\">June<\/a>:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">DPS.UN NAV Returns, three-month-ish to end-July-ish, 2010<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>May-ish<\/td>\n<td>+0.22%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>June-ish<\/td>\n<td>+3.42%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>July-ish<\/td>\n<td>+2.05%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Three-months-ish<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>+5.77%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Performance of the HIMIPref\u2122 Indices for July, 2010, was: Total Return Index Performance July 2010 Three Months to July 30, 2010 Ratchet +1.48% -3.04% FixFloat +0.25% ** -2.74% ** Floater +0.25% -6.79% OpRet +0.28% +1.69% &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11701","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-index-construction-and-reporting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11701","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11701"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11701\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11701"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11701"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11701"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}