{"id":13931,"date":"2011-02-01T22:51:20","date_gmt":"2011-02-02T02:51:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=13931"},"modified":"2011-02-01T22:51:20","modified_gmt":"2011-02-02T02:51:20","slug":"february-1-2011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=13931","title":{"rendered":"February 1, 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mr Joseph S Tracy, Executive Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, gave a speech titled <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bis.org\/review\/r110131d.pdf\">A strategy for the 2011 economic recovery<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The Great Recession distinguished itself from earlier recessions in terms of its severity rather than its length. There was a decline in real output relative to trend of $1.1 trillion or 8 percent (Chart 1). This contraction brought the level of real output back to its level in 2006. In most recessions, consumption growth slows but remains positive. In this recession, there was an actual decline in consumption rather than just a slowdown (Chart 2). When households need to cut back on their consumption, they typically do so first with durable goods \u2013 for example, by delaying the decision to replace a car or to trade up to a nicer house. It is no surprise then that auto sales dropped significantly (Chart 3). Housing starts had been declining since late 2005, and the decline continued during the recession (Chart 4). Producers reacted quickly to the sharp decline in consumer demand, but inventories still rose sharply relative to sales (Chart 5).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/PCE_trend.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/PCE_trend.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"PCE_trend\" width=\"400\" height=\"295\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13932\" \/><\/a><br \/><i>Click for Big<\/i><\/div>\n<p>How many more <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-1351937\/Immigration-officer-fired-putting-wife-list-terrorists-stop-flying-home.html#ixzz1CjXFL800\">stories like the following<\/a> must we read before the current craze for paid government informants dies down?<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>An immigration officer tried to rid himself of his wife by adding her name to a list of terrorist suspects.<\/p>\n<p>He used his access to security databases to include his wife on a watch list of people banned from boarding flights into Britain because their presence in the country is &#8216;not conducive to the public good&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>As a result the woman was unable for three years to return from Pakistan after travelling to the county to visit family.<\/p>\n<p>The tampering went undetected until the immigration officer was selected for promotion and his wife name was found on the suspects&#8217; list during a vetting inquiry.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/2011\/02\/01\/canadian-corporate-bonds-an-expensive-proposition\/\">Interesting opinion on the Canadian bond market<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nIn order to maximize value in their bond portfolios, investors should limit exposure to Canada\u2019s corporate bond market, one of the most expensive and least diversified of its kind in the world, says Ed Devlin, executive vice president and portfolio manager at PIMCO Canada Corp.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe fundamental problem with the Canadian corporate bond market is that there is are too many investors chasing too few issuers,\u201d Mr. Devlin said in a recent note to clients.<\/p>\n<p>He noted that 59% of Canada\u2019s main corporate bond benchmark is concentrated in just 10 issuers. By comparison the percentage of the index concentrated in 10 issuers is 20% in the U.S., 26% in Great Britain and 35% in the Eurozone.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Just another reason to start marketting Maple bonds to Canadians &#8230; it will never happen. Maple issuers don&#8217;t make a point of hiring Canadian ex-regulators.<\/p>\n<p>It was a good day on the Canadian preferred share market as PerpetualDiscounts were up 18bp while FixedResets gained 4bp. The Bozo Spread (Current Yield PerpetualDiscounts less Current Yield FixedResets) is now zero!<\/p>\n<p>The market was well-behaved, with no entries at all in the Performance Highlights.<\/p>\n<table border='1'>\n<tr>\n<td colspan='8'><strong>HIMIPref&trade; Preferred Indices<br \/>These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref&trade; Indices<\/strong><br \/>Values are provisional and are finalized monthly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Mean<br \/>Current<br \/>Yield<br \/>(at bid)<\/td>\n<td>Median<br \/>YTW<\/td>\n<td>Median<br \/>Average<br \/>Trading<br \/>Value<\/td>\n<td>Median<br \/>Mod Dur<br \/>(YTW)<\/td>\n<td>Issues<\/td>\n<td>Day&#8217;s Perf.<\/td>\n<td>Index Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ratchet<\/td>\n<td>0.00 %<\/td>\n<td>0.00 %<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>0.00<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>-0.2377 %<\/td>\n<td>2,393.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FixedFloater<\/td>\n<td>4.75 %<\/td>\n<td>3.45 %<\/td>\n<td>24,754<\/td>\n<td>19.17<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>-0.8658 %<\/td>\n<td>3,584.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Floater<\/td>\n<td>2.50 %<\/td>\n<td>2.29 %<\/td>\n<td>45,970<\/td>\n<td>21.54<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>-0.2377 %<\/td>\n<td>2,584.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>OpRet<\/td>\n<td>4.82 %<\/td>\n<td>3.44 %<\/td>\n<td>69,738<\/td>\n<td>2.26<\/td>\n<td>8<\/td>\n<td>-0.0723 %<\/td>\n<td>2,387.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>5.28 %<\/td>\n<td>1.41 %<\/td>\n<td>364,948<\/td>\n<td>0.85<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>0.2900 %<\/td>\n<td>2,472.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Interest-Bearing<\/td>\n<td>0.00 %<\/td>\n<td>0.00 %<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>0.00<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>-0.0723 %<\/td>\n<td>2,183.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Premium<\/td>\n<td>5.63 %<\/td>\n<td>5.26 %<\/td>\n<td>142,230<\/td>\n<td>5.14<\/td>\n<td>26<\/td>\n<td>0.0242 %<\/td>\n<td>2,036.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Discount<\/td>\n<td>5.26 %<\/td>\n<td>5.27 %<\/td>\n<td>275,331<\/td>\n<td>15.03<\/td>\n<td>51<\/td>\n<td>0.1823 %<\/td>\n<td>2,093.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>5.26 %<\/td>\n<td>3.58 %<\/td>\n<td>288,505<\/td>\n<td>3.01<\/td>\n<td>52<\/td>\n<td>0.0427 %<\/td>\n<td>2,270.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table border='1'>\n<tr>\n<td colspan='4'><strong>Performance Highlights<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Change<\/td>\n<td>Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan='4'>No individual gains or losses exceeding 1%!<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table border='1'>\n<tr>\n<td colspan='4'><strong>Volume Highlights<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Shares<br \/>Traded<\/td>\n<td>Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.I<\/td>\n<td>Perpetual-Discount<\/td>\n<td>89,824<\/td>\n<td>Desjardins crossed 15,000 at 23.61 and 25,000 at 23.65. TD crossed 10,000 at 23.65 and finally Desjardins crossed another 10,200 at 23.67.<br \/>\nYTW SCENARIO<br \/>\nMaturity Type   : Limit Maturity<br \/>\nMaturity Date\t: 2041-02-01<br \/>\nMaturity Price  : 23.41<br \/>\nEvaluated at bid price : 23.63<br \/>\nBid-YTW : 4.99 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.F<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>76,530<\/td>\n<td>Nesbitt crossed 75,000 at 27.10.<br \/>\nYTW SCENARIO<br \/>\nMaturity Type   : Call<br \/>\nMaturity Date\t: 2014-07-30<br \/>\nMaturity Price  : 25.00<br \/>\nEvaluated at bid price : 27.10<br \/>\nBid-YTW : 3.63 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RY.PR.Y<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>54,175<\/td>\n<td>Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 27.25.<br \/>\nYTW SCENARIO<br \/>\nMaturity Type   : Call<br \/>\nMaturity Date\t: 2014-12-24<br \/>\nMaturity Price  : 25.00<br \/>\nEvaluated at bid price : 27.25<br \/>\nBid-YTW : 3.56 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWO.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>53,829<\/td>\n<td>Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.90.<br \/>\nYTW SCENARIO<br \/>\nMaturity Type   : Call<br \/>\nMaturity Date\t: 2014-01-30<br \/>\nMaturity Price  : 25.00<br \/>\nEvaluated at bid price : 26.85<br \/>\nBid-YTW : 3.55 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.L<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>52,130<\/td>\n<td>RBC crossed 50,000 at 27.54.<br \/>\nYTW SCENARIO<br \/>\nMaturity Type   : Call<br \/>\nMaturity Date\t: 2014-05-30<br \/>\nMaturity Price  : 25.00<br \/>\nEvaluated at bid price : 27.42<br \/>\nBid-YTW : 3.47 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RY.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>Perpetual-Premium<\/td>\n<td>48,100<\/td>\n<td>RBC crossed 44,100 at 26.30.<br \/>\nYTW SCENARIO<br \/>\nMaturity Type   : Call<br \/>\nMaturity Date\t: 2017-06-23<br \/>\nMaturity Price  : 25.00<br \/>\nEvaluated at bid price : 26.26<br \/>\nBid-YTW : 4.70 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan='4'>There were 49 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<table border='1'>\n<tr>\n<td colspan='3'><strong>Wide Spread Highlights<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Quote Data and Yield Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>Quote: 25.50 &#8211; 26.25<br \/>\nSpot Rate  :  0.7500<br \/>\nAverage  :  0.4409\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BNS.PR.T<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>Quote: 27.06 &#8211; 27.40<br \/>\nSpot Rate  :  0.3400<br \/>\nAverage  :  0.2512\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ELF.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>Perpetual-Discount<\/td>\n<td>Quote: 20.10 &#8211; 20.47<br \/>\nSpot Rate  :  0.3700<br \/>\nAverage  :  0.2824\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BNS.PR.Y<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>Quote: 25.02 &#8211; 25.25<br \/>\nSpot Rate  :  0.2300<br \/>\nAverage  :  0.1502\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FTS.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>Quote: 25.55 &#8211; 25.99<br \/>\nSpot Rate  :  0.4400<br \/>\nAverage  :  0.3703\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.K<\/td>\n<td>FixedReset<\/td>\n<td>Quote: 26.60 &#8211; 26.91<br \/>\nSpot Rate  :  0.3100<br \/>\nAverage  :  0.2419\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mr Joseph S Tracy, Executive Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, gave a speech titled A strategy for the 2011 economic recovery: The Great Recession distinguished itself from earlier recessions in &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-action"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13931"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13931\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}