{"id":1395,"date":"2007-10-31T21:39:56","date_gmt":"2007-11-01T01:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1395"},"modified":"2007-10-31T21:39:56","modified_gmt":"2007-11-01T01:39:56","slug":"october-31-2007","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=1395","title":{"rendered":"October 31, 2007"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>American GDP <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=aOp4804Kmk4g&#038;refer=home\">grew at an annualized rate of 3.9% in the third quarter<\/a>, but <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2007\/10\/31\/economists-react-gdp-growth-not-built-to-last\/\">economists were not impressed<\/a>. On a positive note, <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2007\/10\/31\/adp-numbers-show-job-market-improvement\/\">ADP Employment data<\/a> was stronger than expected, which implies that next Friday&#8217;s jobs number shouldn&#8217;t be disastrous, at any event.<\/p>\n<p>In other words: <em>we&#8217;re confused<\/em>! So what else is new?<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=aSKF.sExFjhk&#038;refer=home\">Fed cut to 4.50% today<\/a>, as expected. When the market is unanimous, the <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2007\/10\/31\/feds-track-record-in-defying-expectations\/\">Fed usually listens<\/a>. <em>Accrued Interest<\/em> looks to the future and sees the <a href=\"http:\/\/accruedint.blogspot.com\/2007\/10\/well-short-help-is-better-than-no-help.html\">potential for future cuts<\/a> measured in terms of bank rescue rather than broader inflation\/economic concerns.<\/p>\n<p>The more things change &#8230; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.soa.org\/library\/proceedings\/record-of-the-society-of-actuaries\/1990-99\/1994\/january\/RSA94V20N219.PDF\">in 1993, the US had the steepest yield curve since the Civil War<\/a>, as the Fed was busy bailing out the banks&#8217; profitability (this was in the aftermath to the S&#038;L crisis, remember). Then, in 1994, the music suddenly stopped and Orange County, among others, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ppic.org\/content\/pubs\/rb\/RB_498MBRB.pdf\">couldn&#8217;t find a chair<\/a>. It will be most interesting to see how this cycle unfolds!<\/p>\n<p>Well, thank heavens that month&#8217;s over! There have been a huge variation of the returns in the HIMIPref\u2122 indices over the past month and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.himivest.com\/malachite\/MAPFMain.php\">the fund<\/a> was unfortunate enough to have identified a broad pricing discrepency just as the panic got started. Returns this month are not a complete disaster, I hasten to add, but will have underperformed the index.<\/p>\n<p>Mind you, the yield on the fund&#8217;s holdings is now well above the index and credit quality is great &#8230; so the faster that things normalize, the happier I&#8217;ll be! Results should be published on Saturday November 3, or Sunday at the latest.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\"><strong>Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Mean Current Yield (at bid)<\/td>\n<td>Mean YTW<\/td>\n<td>Mean Average Trading Value<\/td>\n<td>Mean Mod Dur (YTW)<\/td>\n<td>Issues<\/td>\n<td>Day&#8217;s Perf.<\/td>\n<td>Index Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ratchet<\/td>\n<td>4.96%<\/td>\n<td>4.91%<\/td>\n<td>404,090<\/td>\n<td>15.52<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>0.0000%<\/td>\n<td>1,049.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fixed-Floater<\/td>\n<td>4.91%<\/td>\n<td>4.82%<\/td>\n<td>98,002<\/td>\n<td>15.84<\/td>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td>-0.0519%<\/td>\n<td>1,041.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Floater<\/td>\n<td>4.52%<\/td>\n<td>4.54%<\/td>\n<td>65,688<\/td>\n<td>16.27<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>-0.1234%<\/td>\n<td>1,039.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Op. Retract<\/td>\n<td>4.87%<\/td>\n<td>3.82%<\/td>\n<td>79,227<\/td>\n<td>3.44<\/td>\n<td>15<\/td>\n<td>+0.0956%<\/td>\n<td>1,026.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Split-Share<\/td>\n<td>5.17%<\/td>\n<td>4.99%<\/td>\n<td>86,527<\/td>\n<td>4.10<\/td>\n<td>15<\/td>\n<td>+0.3344%<\/td>\n<td>1,043.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Interest Bearing<\/td>\n<td>6.23%<\/td>\n<td>6.22%<\/td>\n<td>61,028<\/td>\n<td>3.59<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>-0.1501%<\/td>\n<td>1,062.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Premium<\/td>\n<td>5.71%<\/td>\n<td>5.60%<\/td>\n<td>104,069<\/td>\n<td>8.73<\/td>\n<td>17<\/td>\n<td>+0.2043%<\/td>\n<td>1,006.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Discount<\/td>\n<td>5.58%<\/td>\n<td>5.62%<\/td>\n<td>321,198<\/td>\n<td>14.48<\/td>\n<td>47<\/td>\n<td>+0.2649%<\/td>\n<td>905.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><strong>Major Price Changes<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Change<\/td>\n<td>Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ELF.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.5492%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.09% based on a bid of 19.70 and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#limitMaturity\">limitMaturity<\/a>.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWO.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.0363%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.85% based on a bid of 21.01 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>W.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.0482%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.85% based on a bid of 24.10 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>POW.PR.D<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.0502%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.70% based on a bid of 22.13 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BMO.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualPremium (for now!)<\/td>\n<td>+1.0850%<\/td>\n<td>Ex-Dividend today. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.22% based on a bid of 24.94 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.1759%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.62% based on a bid of 21.51 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FTU.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>+1.1964%<\/td>\n<td>Asset coverage of just under 2.0:1 according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.financial15.com\/us_split\/valuations.html\">the Company<\/a>. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.93% based on a bid of 10.15 and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#hardMaturity\">hardMaturity<\/a> 2012-12-1 at 10.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.E<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.4602%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.66% based on a bid of 20.15 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BNA.PR.C<\/td>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>+1.6900%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.47% based on a bid of 21.06 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NA.PR.K<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualPremium<\/td>\n<td>+1.7066%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.80% based on a bid of 25.03 and a call 2012-6-14 at 25.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><strong>Volume Highlights<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Volume<\/td>\n<td>Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWO.PR.X<\/td>\n<td>OpRet<\/td>\n<td>100,629<\/td>\n<td>Desjardins crossed 30,000 at 26.61, then another 70,000 at 26.65. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.76% based on a bid of 26.50 and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#softMaturity\">softMaturity<\/a> 2013-9-29 at 25.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWO.PR.I<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>95,846<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.71% based on a bid of 19.95 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ELF.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>85,590<\/td>\n<td>Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 20.00, then Scotia crossed 50,000 at the same price. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.09% based on a bid of 19.70 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>82,000<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.57% based on a bid of 20.36 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BMO.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>70,040<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.41% based on a bid of 20.85 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>There were thirty other index-included $25.00-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.\n<\/p>\n<p><!--f0ac27b41035f54959ce45bdb989d55b--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>American GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.9% in the third quarter, but economists were not impressed. On a positive note, ADP Employment data was stronger than expected, which implies that next Friday&#8217;s jobs &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-action"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1395"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1395\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}