{"id":1409,"date":"2007-11-01T21:15:49","date_gmt":"2007-11-02T01:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1409"},"modified":"2007-11-01T21:15:49","modified_gmt":"2007-11-02T01:15:49","slug":"tdprp-avoids-opening-day-debacle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=1409","title":{"rendered":"TD.PR.P Avoids Opening Day Debacle"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Against all odds, the new TD issues, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1278\">announced October 9<\/a>, managed to make it through its first trading day without embarrassment. From the <a href=\"http:\/\/micro.newswire.ca\/release.cgi?rkey=1511019792&#038;view=62342-0&#038;Start=0\">press release<\/a> announcing closing, it does not appear that the underwriters&#8217; greenshoe option was exercised.<\/p>\n<p>It closed at 24.60-70, 7&#215;10, on volume of 75,785 shares.<\/p>\n<p>It may be compared with the other two recent new issues:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">Recent New Issues<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Quote, 11\/1<\/td>\n<td>Pre-Tax<br \/>\nbid-YTW<\/td>\n<td>Fair Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TD.PR.P<\/td>\n<td>24.60-70<\/td>\n<td>\u00a05.36%<\/td>\n<td>\u00a023.93<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1313\">BNS.PR.N<\/a><\/td>\n<td>24.55-57<\/td>\n<td>\u00a05.39%<\/td>\n<td>\u00a024.01<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1284\">BMO.PR.K<\/a><\/td>\n<td>24.25-29<\/td>\n<td>\u00a05.46%<\/td>\n<td>\u00a024.04<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>So I don&#8217;t get it. Comparing to\u00a0the most recent (and much lower coupon) issues for each issuer:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">Penultimate\u00a0Issues<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Quote, 11\/1<\/td>\n<td>Pre-Tax<br \/>\nbid-YTW<\/td>\n<td>Fair Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TD.PR.O<\/td>\n<td>22.30-35\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a05.47%<\/td>\n<td>22.73\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BNS.PR.M<\/td>\n<td>20.95-18\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a05.41%<\/td>\n<td>21.42\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BMO.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>20.75-85\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a05.43%<\/td>\n<td>21.28\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Yields are basically comparable, although the TD issue looks expensive even on this basis. So:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If yields go\u00a0up and prices go down, old &#038; new will return\u00a0about the same.<\/li>\n<li>If yields are unchanged, old\u00a0and new will return about the same.<\/li>\n<li>If yields go down, the new issues will\u00a0get called away just as things\u00a0start to get fun, while the old issues will rack up big gains.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Doesn&#8217;t anybody do scenario analysis any more?<\/p>\n<p>The issue has been added to the HIMIPref\u2122 database with the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#securityCode\">securityCode<\/a> A49008, replacing the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#preIssue\">preIssue<\/a> code of P75006. A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#reorgDataEntry\">reorgDataEntry<\/a> reflects the change.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Against all odds, the new TD issues, announced October 9, managed to make it through its first trading day without embarrassment. From the press release announcing closing, it does not appear that the underwriters&#8217; greenshoe &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-issue-comments"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1409\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}