{"id":1531,"date":"2007-11-29T14:53:35","date_gmt":"2007-11-29T18:53:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1531"},"modified":"2007-11-29T14:53:35","modified_gmt":"2007-11-29T18:53:35","slug":"na-tier-1-capital-october-2007","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=1531","title":{"rendered":"NA Tier 1 Capital : October 2007"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>National Bank has released its <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/bnc\/files\/bncpdf\/en\/2\/e_ri_Q407REPSHARE.pdf\">Fourth Quarter, 2007, Report<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/bnc\/files\/bncpdf\/en\/2\/e_ri_SFIQ407.pdf\">Supplementary Information<\/a>; I will analyze this in the same format as was has been recently done for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1520\">BMO<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1530\">TD<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Step One is to analyze their Tier 1 Capital, reproducing the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=558\">summary produced last year<\/a> (although NA was not included in last year&#8217;s round-up):<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">NA\u00a0Capital Structure<br \/>\nOctober, 2007<br \/>\n&#038; October 2006<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>2007<\/td>\n<td>2006<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Total Tier 1 Capital<\/td>\n<td>4,442<\/td>\n<td>4,674<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Common Shareholders&#8217; Equity<\/td>\n<td>95.0%<\/td>\n<td>93.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Preferred Shares<\/td>\n<td>9.0%<\/td>\n<td>8.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Innovative Tier 1 Capital Instruments<\/td>\n<td>11.4%<\/td>\n<td>12.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Non-Controlling Interests in Subsidiaries<\/td>\n<td>0.4%<\/td>\n<td>0.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Goodwill<\/td>\n<td>-15.8%<\/td>\n<td>-14.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Next, the issuance capacity (from\u00a0Part 3 of last year&#8217;s series):<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">NA<br \/>\nTier 1 Issuance Capacity<br \/>\nOctober 2007<br \/>\n&#038; October 2006<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>2007<\/td>\n<td>2006<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Equity Capital<\/td>\n<td>(A)<\/td>\n<td>3,534<\/td>\n<td>3,712<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Non-Equity Tier 1 Limit<\/td>\n<td>(B=A\/3)<\/td>\n<td>1,178<\/td>\n<td>1,237<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Innovative Tier 1 Capital<\/td>\n<td>(C)<\/td>\n<td>508<\/td>\n<td>562<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Preferred Limit<\/td>\n<td>(D=B-C)<\/td>\n<td>670<\/td>\n<td>675<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Preferred Y\/E Actual<\/td>\n<td>(E)<\/td>\n<td>400<\/td>\n<td>400<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Post Y\/E Issuance<\/td>\n<td>(F)<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>New Issuance Capacity<\/td>\n<td>(G=D-E-F)<\/td>\n<td>270<\/td>\n<td>275<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><em>Items A, C &#038; E are taken from the table<br \/>\n&#8220;Risk-Adjusted Capital Ratios&#8221;<br \/>\nof the supplementary information;<br \/>\nNote that Item A includes Goodwill, non-controlling interest<br \/>\nand trading positions (SEE UPDATE, BELOW)<br \/>\n<\/em><em>Item B is as per OSFI Guidelines<br \/>\n<\/em><em><em>Items D, F &#038; G are my calculations<\/em><\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>We can now show the all important Risk-Weighted Asset Ratios!<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">NA<br \/>\nRisk-Weighted Asset Ratios<br \/>\nOctober 2007<br \/>\n&#038; October 2007<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>Note<\/td>\n<td>2007<\/td>\n<td>2006<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Equity Capital<\/td>\n<td>A<\/td>\n<td>3,534<\/td>\n<td>3,712<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Risk-Weighted Assets<\/td>\n<td>B<\/td>\n<td>49,336<\/td>\n<td>47,298<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Equity\/RWA<\/td>\n<td>C=A\/B<\/td>\n<td>7.16%<\/td>\n<td>7.85%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tier 1 Ratio<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>9.0%<\/td>\n<td>9.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Capital Ratio<\/td>\n<td>E<\/td>\n<td>12.4%<\/td>\n<td>14.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><em>A is taken from the table &#8220;Issuance Capacity&#8221;, above<br \/>\nB, D &#038; E are taken from\u00a0the Supplementary Report<br \/>\nC is my calculation.<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Note that, as with BMO and TD, the Equity\/RWA ratio and Tier 1 Ratio have both deteriorated over the year, but for NA the\u00a0Total Capital Ratio has\u00a0also declined. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1491\">Subordinated Debt<\/a>\u00a0outstanding has declined over the past year.<\/p>\n<p>It is disappointing to see the deterioration in the Equity\/RWA ratio over the year &#8211; I consider this to be a measure of the safety of the preferred shares, as it is the &#8220;total risk&#8221; of the bank&#8217;s assets (as defined by the regulators) divided by the value of capital junior to preferreds (which therefore takes the first loss). It is by no means anything to lose a lot of sleep over, as it still remains strong &#8211; the preferreds are better protected than the sub-debt of a lot of global banks &#8211; but &#8230; geez, the direction&#8217;s wrong!<\/p>\n<p>I won&#8217;t discuss the annual results to any great extent &#8211; there will be innumerable reports over the next few months released by analysts with a great deal more time to spend on the matter than I have.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update<\/strong>: An Assiduous Reader\u00a0pointed out, with great charm and delicacy, that\u00a0I am a bonehead. My initial attempt to calculate &#8220;Equity Capital&#8221; in the &#8220;Issuance Capacity&#8221; table was incorrect, as I did not include non-controlling interest in my first go-round. This adjustment has now been made.\u00a0The source data are in the table &#8220;Risk-Adjusted Capital Ratios&#8221;, page 16 of the Supplementary.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">NA<br \/>\nEquity Capital Calculation<br \/>\n2006<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Source Description<\/td>\n<td>Source Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Common Shareholders&#8217; Equity<\/td>\n<td>4,388<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Non-Controlling Interest<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>9<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Less: Goodwill<\/td>\n<td>683<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Less: Trading in short positions of own shares (gross)<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PrefBlog Calculated Total<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>3,712<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>and<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">NA<br \/>\nEquity Capital Calculation<br \/>\n2007<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Source Description<\/td>\n<td>Source Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Common Shareholders&#8217; Equity<\/td>\n<td>4,220<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Non-Controlling Interest<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>18<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Less: Goodwill<\/td>\n<td>703<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Less: Trading in short positions of own shares (gross)<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>PrefBlog Calculated Total<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>3,534<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>National Bank has released its Fourth Quarter, 2007, Report and Supplementary Information; I will analyze this in the same format as was has been recently done for BMO and TD. Step One is to analyze &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-regulatory-capital"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1531\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}