{"id":1625,"date":"2007-12-20T22:53:29","date_gmt":"2007-12-21T02:53:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1625"},"modified":"2007-12-20T22:53:29","modified_gmt":"2007-12-21T02:53:29","slug":"december-20-2007","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=1625","title":{"rendered":"December 20, 2007"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m sorry. I had witty &#038; trenchant analysis planned, the secrets of the universe unveiled and was even going to tell you what the price of oil will be exactly one year hence &#8230; but now I&#8217;ve run out of time. So all you&#8217;re going to get is the links:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2007\/12\/yet-more-trouble-for-bear.html\">Yet More Trouble for Bear?<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2007\/12\/19\/lacker-fed-auctions-effect-unclear\/\">Lacker: Fed Auction&#8217;s Effect Unclear<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cepr.org\/pubs\/PolicyInsights\/PolicyInsight18.pdf\">CEPR Policy Insight #18<\/a> (there will be a separate post devoted to this one &#8230; tomorrow?)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=ahJS.RmS5aMs&#038;refer=home\">MBIA Tumbles on $8.1 Billion of CDOs, Fitch Warning<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2007\/12\/so-how-did-morgan-stanley-lose-that-94.html\">So How Did Morgan Stanley Lose That $9.4 \u00a0Billion<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.voxeu.com\/index.php?q=node\/830\">Lessons from the North Atlantic Financial Crisis<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=aSFPRpT9zWIg&#038;refer=home\">SunTrust Injects $1.4 Billion to Protect Money Funds<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=ae3wruPMClNA&#038;refer=home\">Merrill&#8217;s Writedowns to Top $8 Billion, Analysts Say<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/rs.rgemonitor.com\/blog\/setser\/233470\">The alliance between China&#8217;s (nominally) communist government and Wall Street deepens &#8230; <\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2007\/12\/19\/a-proposal-for-reviving-the-credit-markets\/\">A Proposal for Reviving the Credit Markets<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/economics\/2007\/12\/19\/experts-weigh-in-on-merits-of-fiscal-stimulus\/\">Experts Weigh in on Merits of Fiscal Stimulus<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Whoosh! There&#8217;s a day and a half, for anybody keeping track! Preferreds were down again on the day, on heavy volume. The CIBC issues were extremely badly hurt, presumably on news of their subprime\/ACA problems discussed <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1620\">yesterday<\/a>, which may have been exacerbated by tax loss selling.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s some interesting timing issues with the CIBC issues &#8230; the last day for tax-loss selling is December 24, and that is their ex-date for the current dividend &#8230; tomorrow, December 21, is their last cum-date. So &#8230; if you have such an issue you really want to sell, when do you sell it? Decisions, decisions &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Remember the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1564\">discussion of Weston yield spreads<\/a> that included a note that the CM.PR.? issues were trading with a yield spread of 11bp? That&#8217;s way, way, way out of date now. Looking solely at the bid-YTW of their PerpetualDiscount issues, I make the high yield 6.30% (CM.PR.I) and the low yield 5.91% (CM.PR.D)<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\"><strong>Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Mean Current Yield (at bid)<\/td>\n<td>Mean YTW<\/td>\n<td>Mean Average Trading Value<\/td>\n<td>Mean Mod Dur (YTW)<\/td>\n<td>Issues<\/td>\n<td>Day&#8217;s Perf.<\/td>\n<td>Index Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ratchet<\/td>\n<td>5.13%<\/td>\n<td>5.13%<\/td>\n<td>83,476<\/td>\n<td>15.22<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td>+0.4326%<\/td>\n<td>1,051.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fixed-Floater<\/td>\n<td>4.87%<\/td>\n<td>5.07%<\/td>\n<td>95,550<\/td>\n<td>15.38<\/td>\n<td>8<\/td>\n<td>-0.1635%<\/td>\n<td>1,024.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Floater<\/td>\n<td>6.10%<\/td>\n<td>6.12%<\/td>\n<td>131,032<\/td>\n<td>13.74<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td>+1.0329%<\/td>\n<td>790.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Op. Retract<\/td>\n<td>4.88%<\/td>\n<td>3.06%<\/td>\n<td>86,884<\/td>\n<td>3.29<\/td>\n<td>16<\/td>\n<td>+0.2399%<\/td>\n<td>1,034.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Split-Share<\/td>\n<td>5.31%<\/td>\n<td>5.43%<\/td>\n<td>111,961<\/td>\n<td>4.31<\/td>\n<td>15<\/td>\n<td>+0.1808%<\/td>\n<td>1,027.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Interest Bearing<\/td>\n<td>6.36%<\/td>\n<td>6.92%<\/td>\n<td>67,495<\/td>\n<td>3.66<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>-0.2503%<\/td>\n<td>1,051.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Premium<\/td>\n<td>5.86%<\/td>\n<td>5.63%<\/td>\n<td>86,708<\/td>\n<td>6.94<\/td>\n<td>11<\/td>\n<td>-0.5641%<\/td>\n<td>1,007.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Discount<\/td>\n<td>5.61%<\/td>\n<td>5.66%<\/td>\n<td>395,551<\/td>\n<td>14.39<\/td>\n<td>55<\/td>\n<td>-0.6695%<\/td>\n<td>907.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><strong>Major Price Changes<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Change<\/td>\n<td>Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BAM.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>FixFloat<\/td>\n<td>-4.9974%<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.I<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-4.8573%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.30% based on a bid of 19.00 and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#limitMaturity\">limitMaturity<\/a>.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-4.6967%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.27% based on a bid of 19.48 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-4.4388%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.11% based on a bid of 18.73 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-3.3755%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.99% based on a bid of 22.90 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.P<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-3.3531%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.11% based on a bid of 22.77 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.E<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-3.2635%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.92% based on a bid of 24.01 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CIU.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-2.8708%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.73% based on a bid of 20.30 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CU.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualPremium<\/td>\n<td>-2.4951%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.85% based on a bid of 25.01 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>W.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-2.1277%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.20% based on a bid of 23.00 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>W.PR.H<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.9531%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.18% based on a bid of 22.59 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWO.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.6949%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.62% based on a bid of 23.20 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BMO.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.6585%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.64% based on a bid of 20.16 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PWF.PR.L<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.6463%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.55% based on a bid of 23.30 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CM.PR.D<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualPremium (for now!)<\/td>\n<td>-1.5538%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.91% based on a bid of 24.71 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BSD.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>InterestBearing<\/td>\n<td>-1.5301%<\/td>\n<td>Asset coverage of 1.6+:1 as of December 14, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.brookfieldfunds.com\/funds\/rising\/nav.htm\">the company<\/a>. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.89% (mostly as interest) based on a bid of 9.01 and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#hardMaturity\">hardMaturity<\/a> 2015-3-31 at 10.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RY.PR.G<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.3333%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.49% based on a bid of 20.72 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.C<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.2566%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.47% based on a bid of 20.43 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PWF.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>OpRet<\/td>\n<td>-1.2039%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.50% based on a bid of 25.44 and a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#softMaturity\">softMaturity<\/a> 2013-7-30 at 25.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CL.PR.B<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualPremium<\/td>\n<td>-1.1534%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.20% based on a bid of 25.71 and a call 2009-1-30 at 25.50 OR a call 2010-1-30 at 25.25.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RY.PR.D<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.1374%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.46% based on a bid of 20.86 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BNA.PR.C<\/td>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>-1.0183%<\/td>\n<td>Asset coverage of 3.7+:1 as of November 30 according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bnnsplit.com\/investor_nav.htm\">the company<\/a>. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.65% based on a bid of 17.65 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.A (5.99% to 2010-9-30) and BNA.PR.B (7.49% to 2016-3-25).<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RY.PR.E<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>-1.0422%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.45% based on a bid of 20.89 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WFS.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>+1.0091%<\/td>\n<td>Asset coverage of just under 2.0:1 as of December 13 according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mulvihill.com\/sp_nav.cfm\">Mulvihill<\/a>. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.20% based on a bid of 10.01 and a hardMaturity 2011-6-30 at 10.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>POW.PR.B<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.0947%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.57% based on a bid of 24.01 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SBN.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>+1.1000%<\/td>\n<td>Asset coverage of 2.3+:1 as of December 13, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mulvihill.com\/sp_nav.cfm\">Mulvihill<\/a>. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.08% based on a bid of 10.11 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.B<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.1682%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.55% based on a bid of 21.65 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PWF.PR.F<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.3356%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.48% based on a bid of 24.28 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWO.PR.I<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.3426%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.55% based on a bid of 20.38 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BAM.PR.K<\/td>\n<td>Floater<\/td>\n<td>+1.7585%<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IAG.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>+1.9250%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.60% based on a bid of 20.65 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>LBS.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>SplitShare<\/td>\n<td>+1.9901%<\/td>\n<td>Asset coverage of 2.4+:1 as of December 13 according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bromptongroup.com\/funds\/lbs\/overview\/\">Brompton<\/a>. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.98% based on a bid of 10.25 and a hardMaturity 2013-11-29 at 10.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BAM.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>OpRet<\/td>\n<td>+2.0494%<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.73% based on a bid of 24.40 and a softMaturity 2018-3-30 at 25.00.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><strong>Volume Highlights<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Issue<\/td>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Volume<\/td>\n<td>Notes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IQW.PR.C<\/td>\n<td>Scraps (would be OpRet, but there are credit concerns)<\/td>\n<td>419,634<\/td>\n<td>In default.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IQW.PR.D<\/td>\n<td>Scraps (would be PerpetualDiscount, but there are credit concerns)<\/td>\n<td>198,225<\/td>\n<td>In default.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.C<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>126,630<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.47% based on a bid of 20.43 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.A<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>99,502<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.60% based on a bid of 21.30 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BMO.PR.J<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>90,390<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.64% based on a bid of 20.16 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SLF.PR.E<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>88,340<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.48% based on a bid of 20.63 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BAM.PR.M<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>79,080<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.75% based on a bid of 17.69 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BNS.PR.M<\/td>\n<td>PerpetualDiscount<\/td>\n<td>76,164<\/td>\n<td>Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.36% based on a bid of 21.32 and a limitMaturity.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>There were fifty-two other index-included $25.00-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.\n<\/p>\n<p><!--b77f8d57bb3362f74a1aeb1d4483b043--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m sorry. I had witty &#038; trenchant analysis planned, the secrets of the universe unveiled and was even going to tell you what the price of oil will be exactly one year hence &#8230; but &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-action"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1625\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}