{"id":2270,"date":"2008-06-18T03:14:26","date_gmt":"2008-06-18T07:14:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=2270"},"modified":"2008-06-18T03:14:26","modified_gmt":"2008-06-18T07:14:26","slug":"party-like-its-1999","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=2270","title":{"rendered":"Party Like It&#039;s 1999!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I don&#8217;t, as a rule, like pseudo-analytical notes such as this post. Historical plots implicitly assume that the anything not intrinisic to the plot is constant; and in plotting historical yields there&#8217;s an entire economy being ignored which is most emphatically not constant.<\/p>\n<p>But some people like them; I got curious; and Assiduous Readers (after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=2269\">yesterday<\/a>&#8216;s collapse) will want something cheerful to look at.<\/p>\n<p>So &#8230; without further ado, here&#8217;s a plot of yields, going back 10 years. PerpetualDiscount yields are from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?cat=15\">HIMIPref&trade; Index<\/a>; other yields are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bankofcanada.ca\/en\/rates\/bond-look.html\">courtesy of the Bank of Canada<\/a>. The graphs get cut off at the end of March, 2008, because that&#8217;s the data I have convenient for the HIMIPref&trade; indices; Long Corporates get cut off in mid-2007, because that&#8217;s when the Bank stopped getting bond data with permission to redistribute freely.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/06\/rawyields_080618a.jpg\"><\/div>\n<p>&#8230; and the Perpetual Discount Interest Equivalent Spread against Long Corporates (using a constant equivalency of 1.4x, which is fishy in the extreme):<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/06\/spread_080618a.jpg\"><\/div>\n<p>So folks &#8230; we&#8217;re bloodied but unbowed! Spreads are (roughly) near a ten year high &#8230; recall my note of yesterday that PerpetualDiscounts now have an average yield of 6.00%; interest-equivalent (at 1.4x) of 8.40%; vs. Long Corporates of just under 6.2%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I don&#8217;t, as a rule, like pseudo-analytical notes such as this post. Historical plots implicitly assume that the anything not intrinisic to the plot is constant; and in plotting historical yields there&#8217;s an entire economy &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2270","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-index-construction-and-reporting","category-spreads-to-bonds"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2270","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2270"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2270\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2270"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2270"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2270"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}