{"id":3501,"date":"2008-10-21T20:12:57","date_gmt":"2008-10-22T00:12:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=3501"},"modified":"2008-10-21T20:12:57","modified_gmt":"2008-10-22T00:12:57","slug":"october-21-2008","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=3501","title":{"rendered":"October 21, 2008"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The situation in the States just keeps getting more bizarre &#8230; there are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=aWbpQ3OFsQc4&#038;refer=home\">major problems in the commercial paper market<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The Federal Reserve will provide up to $540 billion in loans to help relieve pressure on money- market mutual funds beset by redemptions.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Short-term debt markets have been under considerable strain in recent weeks&#8221; as it got tougher for funds to meet withdrawal requests, the Fed said in a statement in Washington. About $500 billion has flowed out of prime money-market funds since August, a Fed official said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Assiduous Readers will remember my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1674\">proposal to have banks consolidate their branded MMFs for capital purposes<\/a> &#8230; I thought that was pretty radical, but I&#8217;m beginning to wonder if it&#8217;s enough. If MMFs are sensitive to runs AND these runs have a major economic effect &#8230; perhaps its time to start regulating them as banks.<\/p>\n<p>Whack-a-Mole financial problems continue &#8230; this time with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theaustralian.news.com.au\/business\/story\/0,28124,24531049-643,00.html\">Australian mortgage funds<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The East Coast Mortgage Trust, Northern Investment Trust Fund and the Richmond Mortgage Fund &#8212; holding a combined $660 million &#8212; all froze redemptions yesterday as spooked investors attempted to liquidate holdings.<\/p>\n<p>The latest freezes followed an announcement yesterday by the giant Challenger Howard Mortgage Fund that it had frozen $2.8 billion of funds, claiming the federal Government&#8217;s pledge to guarantee bank deposits had exacerbated a run on redemptions.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>There has been a lot of chatter lately alleging Fannie &#038; Freddie caused the sub-prime argument. Menzie Chinn of <i>Econbrowser<\/i> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.econbrowser.com\/archives\/2008\/10\/cra_fannie_and.html\">rebuts the charge<\/a> and provides an interesting graph:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.econbrowser.com\/archives\/2008\/10\/ffcrajazz2.png\"><\/div>\n<p>The graph is taken from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/gfsr\/2008\/02\/index.htm\">the IMF Global Financial Stability Report, October 2008<\/a> &#8230; which I may get around to reading soon!<\/p>\n<p><i>Accrued Interest<\/i> continues his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=2198\">push for exchange traded CDSs<\/a> in a post titled <a href=\"http:\/\/accruedint.blogspot.com\/2008\/10\/cds-could-be-fair-and-simple.html\">CDS could be fair and simple<\/a>, but implicitly supports a decoupling of the CDS and cash markets:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Third, in the event of default, the seller of the contract pays the buyer 60 cents on the dollar. No actual bonds change hands.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>This type of CDS is known as a &#8220;recovery lock&#8221; and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=2812\">have been discussed on PrefBlog<\/a>. The instrument has caused <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=2915\">huge problems in connection with the Fannie\/Freddie technical default<\/a>. I cannot support any plan that allows &#8211; not just allows, idealizes! &#8211; the decoupling of cash and derivative markets.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, there&#8217;s a <a href=\"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/content\/article\/2008\/10\/20\/AR2008102003110.html?hpid=topnews\">turf-war<\/a> going on about who gets to regulate CDSs (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2008\/10\/links-102108.html\">hat tip: Naked Capitalism<\/a>): the Fed, the CFTC or the SEC? More jobs for more regulators to tick off more boxes on more forms! Yay!<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand (<a href=\"http:\/\/dealbreaker.com\/2008\/10\/write-offs-102108.php\">hat tip: Dealbreaker<\/a>), Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/story\/10443559\/1\/credit-default-swaps-bad-enough-to-ban.html\">just wants to ban them<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Sen. Tom Harkin (D., Iowa), chairman of the Senate Agriculture Committee, which regulates derivatives and so has a claim to authority over credit default swaps, has repeatedly questioned whether the $60 trillion industry should be outlawed.<br \/><b>&#8230;<\/b><br \/>&#8220;They&#8217;ve been touted as reducing risk, but as we have seen, it has actually increased the risk, the systemic risk, of the whole society,&#8221; Harkin said during an Oct. 14 hearing exploring the need for greater regulation of the derivatives.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>On a brighter note, there is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/ousiv\/idUSTRE49K0W120081021\">speculation that settlement of CDSs on Lehman has had no effect<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Technical difficulties prevent me from publishing the three regular tables today. I will update this post tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p><b>Update, 2008-10-23<\/b>: Tomorrow, indeed! And only one of the tables! Boy, the things you have to put up with in a free blog, eh?<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\"><strong>Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30.<br \/>The <i>Fixed-Reset<\/i> index was added effective 2008-9-5 at that day&#8217;s closing value of 1,119.4 for the <i>Fixed-Floater<\/i> index.<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Index<\/td>\n<td>Mean Current Yield (at bid)<\/td>\n<td>Mean YTW<\/td>\n<td>Mean Average Trading Value<\/td>\n<td>Mean Mod Dur (YTW)<\/td>\n<td>Issues<\/td>\n<td>Day&#8217;s Perf.<\/td>\n<td>Index Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ratchet<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fixed-Floater<\/td>\n<td>5.39%<\/td>\n<td>5.61%<\/td>\n<td>70,921<\/td>\n<td>14.75<\/td>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<td>-0.2258%<\/td>\n<td>959.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Floater<\/td>\n<td>6.61%<\/td>\n<td>6.69%<\/td>\n<td>44,965<\/td>\n<td>12.93<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td>+0.3587%<\/td>\n<td>550.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Op. Retract<\/td>\n<td>5.31%<\/td>\n<td>6.06%<\/td>\n<td>124,480<\/td>\n<td>4.05<\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<td>+0.6078%<\/td>\n<td>994.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Split-Share<\/td>\n<td>6.10%<\/td>\n<td>9.77%<\/td>\n<td>58,714<\/td>\n<td>4.03<\/td>\n<td>12<\/td>\n<td>+1.6114%<\/td>\n<td>958.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Interest Bearing<\/td>\n<td>7.49%<\/td>\n<td>12.52%<\/td>\n<td>55,054<\/td>\n<td>3.47<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>+0.0455%<\/td>\n<td>934.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Premium<\/td>\n<td>6.72%<\/td>\n<td>6.79%<\/td>\n<td>49,406<\/td>\n<td>12.77<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>+0.6494%<\/td>\n<td>923.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Perpetual-Discount<\/td>\n<td>6.68%<\/td>\n<td>6.75%<\/td>\n<td>174,648<\/td>\n<td>12.89<\/td>\n<td>70<\/td>\n<td>+0.2926%<\/td>\n<td>809.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Fixed-Reset<\/td>\n<td>5.22%<\/td>\n<td>5.04%<\/td>\n<td>886,644<\/td>\n<td>15.32<\/td>\n<td>10<\/td>\n<td>+0.0686%<\/td>\n<td>1,100.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The situation in the States just keeps getting more bizarre &#8230; there are major problems in the commercial paper market: The Federal Reserve will provide up to $540 billion in loans to help relieve pressure &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-action"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3501","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3501"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3501\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3501"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3501"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3501"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}