{"id":4316,"date":"2008-12-04T15:46:46","date_gmt":"2008-12-04T19:46:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=4316"},"modified":"2008-12-04T15:46:46","modified_gmt":"2008-12-04T19:46:46","slug":"na-capitalization-4q08","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=4316","title":{"rendered":"NA Capitalization: 4Q08"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NA <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/bnc\/files\/bnc10148\/en\/2\/e_ri_popup_resultats_dernier-trimestre.html\">has released<\/a> its <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/bnc\/files\/bncpdf\/en\/2\/e_ri_u13L7tsruQAx.pdf\">Fourth Quarter 2008 Report<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/bnc\/files\/bncpdf\/en\/2\/e_ri_ageVhf2YJOVp.pdf\">Supplementary Package<\/a>, so it&#8217;s time to recalculate how much room they have to issue new preferred shares &#8211; assuming they want to!<\/p>\n<p>Step One is to analyze their Tier 1 Capital, reproducing the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=1520\">prior format<\/a>:<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">NA Capital Structure<br \/>\nOctober, 2007<br \/>\n&#038; October, 2008<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>4Q07<\/td>\n<td>4Q08<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Total Tier 1 Capital<\/td>\n<td>4,442<\/td>\n<td>5,480<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Common Shareholders&#8217; Equity<\/td>\n<td>95.0%<\/td>\n<td>86.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Preferred Shares<\/td>\n<td>9.0%<\/td>\n<td>14.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Innovative Tier 1 Capital Instruments<\/td>\n<td>11.4%<\/td>\n<td>15.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Non-Controlling Interests in Subsidiaries<\/td>\n<td>0.4%<\/td>\n<td>0.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Goodwill<\/td>\n<td>-15.8%<\/td>\n<td>-13.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Miscellaneous<\/td>\n<td>NA<\/td>\n<td>-2.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\"><i>Shareholders&#8217; equity includes &#8216;Foreign Currency Translation Adjustment&#8217;<\/i><br \/><i>&#8216;Miscellaneous&#8217; includes &#8216;unrealized gain of available for sale equity securities&#8217; and &#8216;securitization related deductions&#8217;<\/i><\/td>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Next, the issuance capacity (from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=561\">Part 3 of the introductory series<\/a>):<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">NA<br \/>\nTier 1 Issuance Capacity<br \/>\nOctober 2007<br \/>\n&#038; October 2008<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>4Q07<\/td>\n<td>4Q08<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Equity Capital<\/td>\n<td>(A)<\/td>\n<td>3,534<\/td>\n<td>3,878<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Non-Equity Tier 1 Limit<\/td>\n<td>(B=A\/3), 4Q07<br \/>(B=0.666*A), 4Q08<\/td>\n<td>1,178<\/td>\n<td>2,585<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Innovative Tier 1 Capital<\/td>\n<td>(C)<\/td>\n<td>508<\/td>\n<td>828<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Preferred Limit<\/td>\n<td>(D=B-C)<\/td>\n<td>670<\/td>\n<td>1,757<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Preferred Actual<\/td>\n<td>(E)<\/td>\n<td>400<\/td>\n<td>774<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>New Issuance Capacity<\/td>\n<td>(F=D-E)<\/td>\n<td>270<\/td>\n<td>983<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"> <em>Items A, C &#038; E are taken from the table<br \/>\n&#8220;Risk Adjusted Capital Ratiosl&#8221;<br \/>\nof the supplementary information;<br \/>\nNote that Item A includes everything except preferred shares and innovative capital instruments<\/em><br \/><em><br \/>\nItem B is as per OSFI Guidelines; the limit was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=3900\">recently increased<\/a>.<br \/>Items D &#038; F are my calculations<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>and the all important Risk-Weighted Asset Ratios!<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">NA<br \/>\nRisk-Weighted Asset Ratios<br \/>\nOctober 2007<br \/>\n&#038; October 2008<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>Note<\/td>\n<td>2007<\/td>\n<td>4Q08<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Equity Capital<\/td>\n<td>A<\/td>\n<td>3,534<\/td>\n<td>3,878<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Risk-Weighted Assets<\/td>\n<td>B<\/td>\n<td>49,336<\/td>\n<td>58,069<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Equity\/RWA<\/td>\n<td>C=A\/B<\/td>\n<td>7.16%<\/td>\n<td>6.67%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tier 1 Ratio<\/td>\n<td>D<\/td>\n<td>9.0% <\/td>\n<td>9.4% <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Capital Ratio<\/td>\n<td>E<\/td>\n<td>12.4%<\/td>\n<td>13.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Assets to Capital Multiple<\/td>\n<td>F<\/td>\n<td>18.6x<\/td>\n<td>16.7x<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"> <em>A is taken from the table &#8220;Issuance Capacity&#8221;, above<br \/>\nB, D &#038; E are taken from RY&#8217;s Supplementary Report<br \/>\nC is my calculation<br \/>\nF is taken from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.osfi-bsif.gc.ca\/osfi\/index_e.aspx?ArticleID=554\">OSFI site<\/a> for 4Q07. The 4Q08 figure is approximated by subtracting goodwill of 740 from total assets of 129,332 to obtain adjusted assets of 128,592 and dividing by 7,679 total capital.<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>National Bank does not disclose its Assets-to-Capital Multiple. Their Report to Shareholders simply states (Note 4):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In addition to regulatory capital ratios, banks are expected to meet an assets-to-capital multiple test. The assets-to-capital multiple is calculated by dividing a bank\u2019s total assets, including specified off-balance sheet items, by its total capital. Under this test, total assets should not be greater than 23 times the total capital. The Bank met the assets-to-capital multiple test in the third quarter of 2008.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>They&#8217;re reducing their leverage a little, but not by enough. Equity\/RWA is now less than 7% (they report 6.43% on page 3 of the supplementary data; it&#8217;s not clear how that is calculated) &#8230; if they want to eliminated the (low) discount on their Pfd-1(low) preferred shares, they have to issue some equity. Which is not to say that their prefs are unduly risky, of course &#8230; but it does mean they have greater credit risk than their better capitalized competitors.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NA has released its Fourth Quarter 2008 Report and Supplementary Package, so it&#8217;s time to recalculate how much room they have to issue new preferred shares &#8211; assuming they want to! Step One is to &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-regulatory-capital"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4316","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4316"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4316\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}