{"id":801,"date":"2007-04-25T23:29:44","date_gmt":"2007-04-26T03:29:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=801"},"modified":"2007-04-25T23:29:44","modified_gmt":"2007-04-26T03:29:44","slug":"clprb-ytw-returns-to-positive-territory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/?p=801","title":{"rendered":"CL.PR.B : YTW Returns to Positive Territory!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Readers will remember that I have been fascinated by CL.PR.B and its <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=455\">negative yield-to-worst<\/a> for some time. Apart from very particular portfolio-management factors, there hasn&#8217;t seemed to be much rationale for holding it, other than a hope that it would continue to pay an annual dividend of 1.5625 forever.<\/p>\n<p>The chance of this has never seemed too large to me, given that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.canadalife.com\/\">CL (Canada Life)<\/a> is part of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.greatwestlifeco.com\/english\/index.html\">GWO (Great-West)<\/a> group of companies which is in turn controlled by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.powerfinancial.com\/\">PWF (Power Financial)<\/a> &#8230; a conglomerate that has something of a reputation for knowing how many beans make five.<\/p>\n<p>Even four months after I expected them to be redeemed, I am still a little confused, since paying 1.5625 on a perp when new perps are paying 1.125 &#8211; and I can&#8217;t see a GWO issue having to pay more that 1.30, no matter how sick the Street is of seeing the name &#8211; doesn&#8217;t make a lot of sense to me. However, as I have mentioned numerous times, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?p=543\">purchase of Putnam<\/a> still needs to be financed and maybe they&#8217;re just delaying a little until they&#8217;ve got all that stuff squared away.<\/p>\n<p>Today, however, the bid broke down and while the trading range was 26.31-42 (on volume of 1,950 shares), the closing quotation was 26.09-40, 5&#215;25. So, in celebration, I&#8217;ve uploaded a few graphs:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/04\/CLPRB_YTW_070425.pdf\">graph<\/a> of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#yieldToWorst\">Yield-to-Worst<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/04\/CLPRB_YTWMD_070425.pdf\">graph<\/a> of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#ytwModifiedDuration\">ytwModifiedDuration<\/a> (this one is fun!)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/04\/CLPRB_YTWPMD_070425.pdf\">graph<\/a> of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#pseudoModifiedDurationWorstBid\">pseudoModifiedDurationWorstBid<\/a> (this illustrates why I like <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#pseudoModifiedDuration\">pseudoModifiedDuration<\/a> more than <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#modifiedDuration\">modifiedDuration<\/a> for analytical purposes)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2007\/04\/CLPRB_FBP_070425.pdf\">graph<\/a> of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefshares.com\/glossary.html#flatBidPrice\">Flat Bid Price<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The recent decline in price of CL.PR.B (and consequent increase in yieldToWorst) has had a salutary effect on the calculated mean-average-YTW of the PerpetualPremium index, which now has no members with a negative Yield-to-Worst and consequently a more meaningful mean. Problems with computing the mean\u00a0&#8211; even less meaningful when negatives are included than it is with all positive numbers\u00a0&#8211; has led me to use the median for the official <a href=\"http:\/\/www.prefblog.com\/?cat=15\">HIMI Preferred Indices<\/a> &#8230; and don&#8217;t worry, guys, I&#8217;m having scheduling problems at the moment, but will return to those computations in the near future. Unless a piano falls on my head.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Readers will remember that I have been fascinated by CL.PR.B and its negative yield-to-worst for some time. Apart from very particular portfolio-management factors, there hasn&#8217;t seemed to be much rationale for holding it, other than &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-801","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-issue-comments"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/801","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=801"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/801\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prefblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}