March 29, 2012

The Canada budget today continued to reward paperwork and subsidize marginal industry.

Canadian Finance MinisterJim Flaherty is aiming to boost flagging job growth and investment with C$3 billion ($3 billion) over two years for research and job subsidies.

The federal budget set aside C$1.1 billion over five years to support research and development and offered another C$500 million for venture capital.

The budget also proposed extending a 15 percent mineral exploration tax credit for another year through the end of March 2013 at a cost of about C$100 million.

The penny’s gone:

Canada is scrapping the penny, ending production of the country’s smallest unit of currency this spring.

The last one-cent coin will be minted this April, ending close to 150 years of the issuance of Canadian pennies. This unit of currency was first produced in 1858 although Canadian-based minting of the coin only began in 1908.

However, the most poignant part of the budget is this:

The budget also announced that the government would conduct a study, including consultation with taxpayers, to better understand why companies choose to hire consultants on a contingency fee basis to prepare their SR&ED claims. The result of this study will determine whether any action is required.

It’s no wonder that What-Debt? and Spend-Every-Penny are confused, seeing as how neither of them has much actual work experience, so out of the kindness of my heart, I’ll explain it to them:

Companies that do actual research do not, as a rule, have Suck-Arse Departments. Sucking government arse is a highly specialized field and requires years of brown-nosing (and, usually, a few more years in Cabinet) before proficiency is acquired. Therefore, a company interested in getting government money will hire an outside consultant. Since actually getting the money is a matter of random chance, contingency fees make more sense than anything else. Thank you. That will be $200-million, please.

If they were really interested in promoting research and development, they would create more centres of excellence in academia (by which I mean science and engineering, not sociology. Also, some may associate “Centres of Excellence” with applied research, which is not what I mean – it’s perfectly fine to fund the occasional one-man band to ‘think about smart stuff’. It pays off, in the end). They would evaluate potential hires solely on merit, rather than whether they’re Canadian or not. And they’d recruit grad students on a full ride according to the same criteria. But that’s not going to happen:

R&D is a long-acknowledged driver of economic prosperity and competitiveness, and the prevalent view is that more private investment in R&D will yield significant social benefit. A key driver to the government’s overall innovation strategy is to create new knowledge and a highly skilled workforce. The budget announced that the government will continue to support advanced research at universities and other leading research institutions by providing direct support to granting councils, genomics research, international research and infrastructure investment for Canadian universities, colleges, research hospitals and other not-for-profit research institutes across Canada.

Notice the word “continue”, and no new funding? See that bit about “highly skilled workforce”? That’s code for “undergraduates in sociology, political science, economics and business”, all the little talky-talky pseudo-disciplines.

Canadian Utilities, proud issuer of CU.PR.A, CU.PR.B and CU.PR.C, was confirmed at Pfd-2(high) by DBRS:

DBRS has today confirmed the ratings of the Commercial Paper, Unsecured Debentures and Cumulative Preferred Shares of Canadian Utilities Limited (CU or the Company) at R-1 (low), “A” and Pfd-2 (high), respectively, all with Stable trends. The ratings reflect the Company’s stable portfolio of regulated, low-risk utilities, strong cash flows from its diversified non-regulated operations and its strong financial profile.

The diversity of CU’s asset base provides stability to overall earnings and cash flow, with earnings split approximately 58/42 between CUI’s regulated operations and CU’s non-regulated businesses (including ATCO Gas Australia). DBRS notes that dividends flowing up from CUI has significantly declined over the past two years as CU continues to provide support to CUI during the build-out phase and to preserve the utility’s credit profile. The decline is offset by strong dividends coming from its regulated generation business and non-regulated operations and by CU’s significant cash balance compared with its modest debt and preferred obligations. CU is expected to issue more long-term debt/preferred shares to fund its equity requirement at CUI over the next two years, however, the Company’s non-consolidated debt to capital will remain below 20%.

CU Inc., proud issuer of CIU.PR.A, CUI.PR.B and CIU.PR.C, was confirmed at Pfd-2(high) by DBRS:

DBRS has today confirmed the ratings of the Unsecured Debentures & Medium-Term Notes, Cumulative Preferred Shares and Commercial Paper of CU Inc. (CUI or the Company) at A (high), Pfd-2 (high) and R-1 (low) respectively, all with Stable trends. The rating confirmations are based on CUI’s low business risk, which stems from the regulated nature of its operations supported by a reasonable regulatory environment, its strong portfolio of diversified regulated businesses and its strong and stable financial profile.

The Company’s business risk profile is viewed as strong, as all of its earnings are generated from regulated electricity and gas businesses, which operate under a reasonably stable regulatory framework. The Company is allowed to earn an adequate return on equity on a reasonable deemed equity ratio for all of its diversified regulated businesses. In addition, the decision of the Alberta Utilities Commission to approve significant credit relief measures to help support the CUI’s credit metrics during construction remains credit positive.

It was a down day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums losing 12bp, FixedResets down 8bp and DeemedRetractibles off 9bp. Volatility was fair. Volume was average. ENB issues figured prominently in the volume table, presumably due to the new issue.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.0836 % 2,394.7
FixedFloater 4.46 % 3.87 % 40,208 17.53 1 0.2825 % 3,496.2
Floater 3.01 % 3.02 % 44,056 19.66 3 1.0836 % 2,585.7
OpRet 4.93 % 3.06 % 45,134 1.22 6 -0.0516 % 2,496.6
SplitShare 5.28 % -3.76 % 87,844 0.71 4 0.0199 % 2,677.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0516 % 2,282.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.46 % 2.79 % 94,811 0.78 25 -0.1250 % 2,204.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.23 % 5.28 % 191,316 15.05 7 0.0953 % 2,379.1
FixedReset 5.05 % 3.20 % 193,521 2.31 68 -0.0780 % 2,377.2
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 4.03 % 209,709 2.85 46 -0.0874 % 2,292.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible -1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 22.89
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
BNA.PR.E SplitShare -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.52
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 17.57
Evaluated at bid price : 17.57
Bid-YTW : 2.98 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.H FixedReset 811,465 New issue settled today. Volume and bid price not quite right, sorry!
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 23.06
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 210,684 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 150,000 and 50,000, both at 25.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 202,290 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.96
Bid-YTW : 1.77 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 128,520 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 75,000 at 25.20 and 30,000 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 23.23
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %
RY.PR.N FixedReset 62,932 TD crossed 30,000 at 26.70; Nesbitt crossed 30,000 at 26.69.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 2.90 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 56,700 Scotia crossed 35,000 at 25.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
There were 33 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.45 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.3805

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 23.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 3.05 %

GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.00 – 24.49
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3345

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.53 – 25.84
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2181

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 3.54 %

IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.60 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3102

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.60
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %

BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.45 – 22.73
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2047

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %

FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.02 – 25.25
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1677

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-29
Maturity Price : 24.49
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %

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