March 11, 2014

Banner headline on Bloomberg – An FX trade didn’t work out:

A senior currency dealer at Lloyds Banking Group Plc shared details of a pending order by his firm with a trader at another company to the potential detriment of the bank, according to four people with knowledge of the matter.

The Lloyds’s dealer, Martin Chantree, alerted the other trader on Jan. 31, 2013, that his desk had received instructions from the bank’s treasury department to swap more than 300 million pounds ($499 million) for dollars and that they would continue selling regardless of price movements, said two of the people, who asked not to be identified amid a probe into alleged rigging of the currency market. The recipient of the tip worked for oil company BP Plc, the other two people said.

In the seven minutes between the communication at 10:53 a.m. and the time Lloyds began executing the order, the pound fell 16 basis points against the dollar, or 0.16 percentage point, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. As the U.K. currency tumbled, costing Lloyds an estimated $750,000, Chantree told colleagues that maybe he shouldn’t have shared the information, two of the people said.

Lloyds suspended Chantree on Feb. 3 after inquiries by Bloomberg News about his alleged communications in advance of the trade. The London-based bank, which is 33 percent owned by the U.K. government, approached the FCA after discovering messages, including the 10:53 a.m. voice communication in which Chantree detailed the size and timing of the order, two of the people said.

Between 10:53 a.m. and 11 a.m. on the day of the trade, about when Lloyds began selling, the pound-dollar exchange rate fell to 1.5790 from 1.5815, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Lloyds did internal deals of that size only six or seven times a year, two of the people said. When an order came in, some traders on the second floor of the bank’s Gresham Street headquarters in London’s financial district would place their own bets before executing the trade in a way that moved the market as much as possible, one of the people said. They were able to do this because notice was typically sent to more than one trader on the desk and Lloyds’s treasury unit didn’t scrutinize whether it got the best price, the person said. There’s no indication Chantree placed such bets that morning.

Well, sure. If you’re going to do size, you’ve got to show size. And sometimes showing size means everybody on the opposite side pulls their orders … which is consistent with what happened. Why else do you think dark pools are so popular? Trading size is more of an art than a science, and sometimes it’s art with a capital F. I will be kind and assume that Lloyds has suspended its trader only because they’re terrified of the regulators nowadays.

It seems very likely that the villain of the piece is Lloyds treasury. A market order for half a billion bucks? I will need to see a long detailed explanation before I’m convinced they’re not idiots.

Lest anybody think that I always take the traders’ side, I will say: front-running orders of this type was clearly wrong. In case of this particular type, the traders do in fact owe a fiduciary client to their institutional client … but only because the client is also their employer.

We may finally be approaching the approaching the elimination of the GSEs:

The bipartisan measure, drafted with input from President Barack Obama’s administration, would replace the U.S.-owned mortgage financiers with government bond insurance that would kick in only after private capital suffered losses of at least 10 percent, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson and Senator Mike Crapo said in a statement today. The bill would require most borrowers to make down payments of at least 5 percent.

The government would play a smaller role in the market by taking a backstop position on mortgage securities, stepping in only if private interests were wiped out by catastrophic losses. A new agency called the Federal Mortgage Insurance Corp. would charge fees to issue a government guarantee on bonds that would kick in only after private investors suffered losses of at least 10 percent.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 17bp, FixedResets off 10bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 4bp. Volatility was above average due to stellar performance from Floating Rate issues, indicating that the recently postponed global hyperinflation has now been rescheduled. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2437 % 2,440.9
FixedFloater 4.53 % 3.80 % 28,424 17.76 1 1.2566 % 3,742.5
Floater 2.97 % 3.10 % 53,774 19.41 4 1.2437 % 2,635.5
OpRet 4.64 % 0.12 % 83,169 0.22 3 0.0129 % 2,682.5
SplitShare 4.82 % 4.38 % 58,752 4.34 5 0.2237 % 3,071.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0129 % 2,452.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.63 % -1.56 % 92,007 0.08 11 0.1002 % 2,353.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.47 % 5.55 % 133,316 14.40 26 0.1674 % 2,425.5
FixedReset 4.72 % 3.55 % 230,035 6.84 77 -0.0996 % 2,501.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.06 % 3.07 % 163,086 0.21 42 0.0434 % 2,463.8
FloatingReset 2.59 % 2.59 % 193,808 7.11 5 0.0724 % 2,440.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 24.59
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 20.62
Evaluated at bid price : 20.62
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 21.58
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 17.09
Evaluated at bid price : 17.09
Bid-YTW : 3.10 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 17.13
Evaluated at bid price : 17.13
Bid-YTW : 3.10 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 3.12 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.L FixedReset 444,773 I think Jacob Securities crossed 350,600 at 25.80, but it’s not clear. TMXMoney.com agrees on the total volue, and the VWAP makes sense, but the block trade report just shows a trade and cancel at 25.80 with no replacement. Also, the price is extremely low. So who knows? RBC crossed 76,000 at 26.03, which seems like a much more credible trade.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 3.34 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 157,054 RBC crossed 33,000 at 25.34; Scotia crossed two blocks of 59,300 each, both at 25.32, eleven minutes apart.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 1.13 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 121,435 RBC crossed 97,000 at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 23.27
Evaluated at bid price : 25.39
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 107,060 RBC crossed blocks of 16,100 and 79,900, both at 20.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 87,044 Nesbitt crossed 30,000 at 21.78; RBC crossed 46,200 at 21.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.67
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 64,733 Scotia bought 31,100 from anonymous at 24.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %
There were 47 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GCS.PR.A SplitShare Quote: 25.08 – 25.46
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2618

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.08
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 22.54 – 22.82
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1723

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 22.25
Evaluated at bid price : 22.54
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %

GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.31 – 25.62
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2156

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : -12.81 %

ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.15 – 24.40
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1598

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-03-11
Maturity Price : 23.76
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 22.01 – 22.24
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1527

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %

TD.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.08 – 26.31
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1627

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-10
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.08
Bid-YTW : -3.22 %

4 Responses to “March 11, 2014”

  1. GAndreone says:

    A US based brokerage ITG Canada Corporation appears to be buying some quantity of CCS.PR.C. on March 12, 2014. Any thoughts?

  2. jiHymas says:

    Not much, only 3800 shares. It could be anything.

  3. GAndreone says:

    In an illiquid market like Canadian preferred shares, seeing 1 buyer for the majority of the daily shares of a corporation maybe significant. Perhaps using your system you maybe able to tell if they have been active more then 2 days? Certainly they purchased all of the 9000 shares for today except for an odd lot.

    They appear to cater to hedge funds. I have not seen that name before, are you familiar with them.

    Fred

  4. jiHymas says:

    I don’t track volume by brokerage – I consider it meaningless.

    It does seem as if ITG is executing a multi-day purchase of the issue in an intelligent manner, but it doesn’t mean anything. They might be getting rewarded for some research; somebody might be testing their trading algorithms; a new guy on the trading desk might be getting thrown some business as a personal favour; a Canadian shop is just mixing up their purchase orders to disguise their strategy … we’ll never know and it wouldn’t mean anything if we did.

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