June 30, 2017

Prop traders are returning to the banks:

“In the last quarter of the year or first quarter of 2018, you will find more people leaving the hedge funds to join banks to run proprietary money,” said Jason Kennedy, chief executive officer of the Kennedy Group in London, which hires for banks and hedge funds. “The banks will become more attractive in terms of jobs and pay.”

That’s due to expectations that Donald Trump will be good for bankers. In a report released June 12, the U.S. Treasury Department urged federal agencies to re-write scores of regulations that Wall Street has frequently complained about in the seven years since the passage of the Dodd-Frank Act. They include adjusting the annual stress tests that assess whether lenders can endure economic downturns, loosening some trading rules and paring back the powers of the watchdog that polices consumer finance.

Hedge funds, stung by years of underperformance and revolts from investors, are increasingly under pressure to dump their traditional 2 percent management and 20 percent performance-fee model, curtailing their ability to hire and retain talent. Louis Bacon’s Moore Capital Management, Tudor Investment Corp., Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC, Canyon Capital Advisors and Brevan Howard were among money managers who cut fees last year. More hedge funds shuttered last year than started, a trend that continued in the first quarter of 2017, according to data from Hedge Fund Research Inc.

Global yields continued to rise today:

  • •The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose three basis points to 2.30 percent. The rate climbed 16 basis points this week.
  • •Benchmark yields in the U.K. increased by one basis point to 1.26 percent and were up 23 basis points this week. German yields gained one basis point to 0.47 percent.

And so the hawks continue to beat the drum for a Canadian policy rate increase:

Statistics Canada released April gross domestic product data on Friday that showed the economy expanded at a 0.2 percent monthly pace, and grew by 3.3 percent over the past 12 months. In a separate report, the Bank of Canada released a survey of business leaders that showed the strongest outlook since 2011.

The GDP figure puts the country on pace for annualized growth of between 2.5 percent and 3 percent in the second quarter, a strong follow-up to a 3.7 percent expansion in the first quarter that was by far the fastest among Group of Seven countries. The business survey, meanwhile, will give Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz more confidence in the sustainability of the expansion as he considers a rate increase.

The data and more hawkish language is prompting a race by economists and investors to bring forward their expectations for an increase at the central bank’s rate decision July 12. Swaps trading now suggests an 84 percent chance of an increase, up from about 70 percent earlier Friday. Odds are also growing for a second round of tightening later in the year.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3374 % 2,160.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3374 % 3,965.0
Floater 3.67 % 3.67 % 70,313 18.14 3 0.3374 % 2,285.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2586 % 3,069.5
SplitShare 4.69 % 4.17 % 59,080 1.47 5 0.2586 % 3,665.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2586 % 2,860.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.31 % 3.79 % 72,329 0.09 25 -0.0126 % 2,790.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.12 % 5.08 % 90,538 15.27 12 -0.2592 % 2,999.6
FixedReset 4.37 % 4.25 % 202,615 6.46 97 0.1360 % 2,377.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.00 % 5.09 % 122,454 6.20 30 -0.0273 % 2,895.8
FloatingReset 2.65 % 3.06 % 51,657 4.32 10 -0.0321 % 2,582.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 14.31
Evaluated at bid price : 14.31
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.80
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.84
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 21.36
Evaluated at bid price : 21.68
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
BAM.PF.I FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %
PVS.PR.E SplitShare 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-07-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : -9.07 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 21.76
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 19.90
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 7.39 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.D FixedReset 338,352 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset 166,990 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.33
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset 163,640 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.03
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 59,662 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 23.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.14
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 45,705 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.74
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset 32,872 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 21.68
Evaluated at bid price : 22.12
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 16.80 – 17.50
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.4287

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.80
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %

TRP.PR.H FloatingReset Quote: 14.31 – 14.74
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3143

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 14.31
Evaluated at bid price : 14.31
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %

SLF.PR.J FloatingReset Quote: 16.08 – 16.50
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.3360

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.08
Bid-YTW : 8.60 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.90 – 24.30
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3333

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %

BMO.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 25.60 – 25.79
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1251

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %

PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Premium Quote: 24.90 – 25.05
Spot Rate : 0.1500
Average : 0.0867

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-06-30
Maturity Price : 24.51
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %

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