March 20, 2009

Assiduous Readers will remember I am following the Lyondell bankruptcy – the last mention was on February 24 … there’s more news today:

LyondellBasell Industries AF SCA missed an interest payment on bonds that will trigger payouts on credit-default swaps guaranteeing as much as $1.5 billion of the company’s debt.

Dealers and investors in the market will start the process of settling contracts linked to Netherlands-based LyondellBasell after it failed to pay interest on 500 million euros ($679 million) of bonds maturing in 2015, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association said in a statement today.

Traders had bought or sold a net $744 million in protection on LyondellBasell debt through credit swaps as of March 13, according to data from the Depository Trust & Clearing Corp., which runs a central registry for the market. Another $786 million of protection was bought through index contracts that include LyondellBasell among a group of 50 companies.

The net figures don’t include contracts covering a gross amount of about $16.6 billion that economically offset each other and typically wouldn’t be paid as long as there are no defaults by the firms selling the protection, DTCC data show.

Credit-default swaps on LyondellBasell, one of the world’s largest closely held chemical producers, cost 94 percent upfront and 5 percent a year, according to CMA Datavision prices at 5 p.m. in London. That means it costs 9.4 million euros in advance and 500,000 euros a year to protect 10 million euros of the company’s bonds from default for five years.

That’s a nice price for protection, eh? I wonder if anybody paid it!

Good volume and fine performance from the Fixed-Resets today, probably inspired by some portfolio reshuffling with the closing of BMO.PR.O. PerpetualDiscounts continued their recovery from their recent dip.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2723 % 839.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2723 % 1,358.2
Floater 4.71 % 5.69 % 58,415 14.38 3 1.2723 % 1,049.2
OpRet 5.26 % 4.86 % 128,732 3.90 15 0.0248 % 2,059.8
SplitShare 6.90 % 10.01 % 52,512 4.79 6 -0.3167 % 1,609.1
Interest-Bearing 6.07 % 8.99 % 34,920 0.75 1 -0.4028 % 1,935.5
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2366 % 1,498.7
Perpetual-Discount 7.21 % 7.33 % 152,809 12.13 71 0.2366 % 1,380.3
FixedReset 6.12 % 5.70 % 643,437 13.84 31 0.5914 % 1,811.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -3.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 13.05
Evaluated at bid price : 13.05
Bid-YTW : 9.36 %
SBN.PR.A SplitShare -1.84 % Asset coverage of 1.6-:1 as of March 12, according to Mulvihill.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.00
Bid-YTW : 10.01 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 20.07
Evaluated at bid price : 20.07
Bid-YTW : 7.33 %
ACO.PR.A OpRet -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 18.81
Evaluated at bid price : 18.81
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare -1.25 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 8.41 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 17.55
Evaluated at bid price : 17.55
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 20.33
Evaluated at bid price : 20.33
Bid-YTW : 6.61 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 24.12
Evaluated at bid price : 24.16
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 14.71
Evaluated at bid price : 14.71
Bid-YTW : 7.70 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
RY.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 16.91
Evaluated at bid price : 16.91
Bid-YTW : 6.75 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 19.44
Evaluated at bid price : 19.44
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
NA.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 7.25 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 12.66
Evaluated at bid price : 12.66
Bid-YTW : 9.46 %
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 19.32
Evaluated at bid price : 19.32
Bid-YTW : 7.69 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 16.41
Evaluated at bid price : 16.41
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 21.21
Evaluated at bid price : 21.21
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 19.90
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 16.98
Evaluated at bid price : 16.98
Bid-YTW : 6.86 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 12.70
Evaluated at bid price : 12.70
Bid-YTW : 9.43 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 14.91
Evaluated at bid price : 14.91
Bid-YTW : 7.62 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
BNA.PR.A SplitShare 1.72 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2010-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.60
Bid-YTW : 10.54 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 17.16
Evaluated at bid price : 17.16
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 7.78 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 7.65
Evaluated at bid price : 7.65
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 23.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 2.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 21.53
Evaluated at bid price : 21.53
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 2.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 7.70
Evaluated at bid price : 7.70
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount 3.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 550,271 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 25.10
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 145,316 RBC crossed 122,500 at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset 108,096 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 24.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 107,255 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 63,013 TD bought 11,000 from Scotia at 25.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 25.12
Evaluated at bid price : 25.17
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 61,458 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-20
Maturity Price : 25.16
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %
There were 24 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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