January 22, 2013

Amy Butte, former chief financial officer of the New York Stock Exchange, writes an interesting piece on stock market technical complexity:

And why should the markets not be surprised by the latest evidence of trading running amok, such as the announcement earlier this month by BATS Global Markets Inc. that it made repeated, though minor, money-losing errors executing customer-trade orders? This isn’t all that shocking after Knight Capital Group Inc. (KCG)’s erroneous trades almost bankrupted the company, and Nasdaq OMX Group Inc.’s mishandling of Facebook Inc.’s initial public offering undermined the trust that investors have in the IPO process.

The equation is really quite simple. Increased complexity, client concentration and demands for efficiency have led to something less than near-perfect reliability. Unless the industry is prepared to alter those inputs, we shouldn’t be surprised to see glitches, violations and breakdowns soar in the years ahead.

I remember the first software company I worked with. It had limited version control and just kept adding modules and features without a stable code base. The system, as it got bigger, eventually crashed.

Complexity also applies to oversight. Each new equity-order type requires new training of regulators and new systems to monitor trading. The proliferation of order types, each designed to fulfill unique investment strategies, introduces additional rules and procedures.

I wonder if she was talking about dBase? From what I understand, the programme was the poster-child for ‘spaghetti code’ by the time it fell from dominance.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums off 2bp, FixedResets up 17bp and DeemedRetractibles down 4bp. Volatility was average. Volume was very extremely huge.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2230 % 2,519.6
FixedFloater 4.27 % 3.58 % 27,640 18.20 1 0.7699 % 3,809.1
Floater 2.76 % 2.97 % 67,238 19.79 4 -0.2230 % 2,720.5
OpRet 4.63 % -1.42 % 54,169 0.36 4 -0.1907 % 2,593.5
SplitShare 4.58 % 4.53 % 43,704 4.31 2 -0.0796 % 2,907.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1907 % 2,371.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 0.07 % 77,476 0.11 30 -0.0153 % 2,347.3
Perpetual-Discount 4.84 % 4.87 % 135,760 15.68 4 0.0101 % 2,650.3
FixedReset 4.91 % 2.78 % 232,626 3.58 78 0.1701 % 2,483.7
Deemed-Retractible 4.88 % 3.09 % 122,656 0.34 45 -0.0375 % 2,427.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRI.PR.B Floater -2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-01-22
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 2.27 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-12-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.71
Bid-YTW : 2.67 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.85
Bid-YTW : 2.36 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.G FixedReset 129,760 Nesbitt crossed 33,000 at 26.25. RBC crossed 85,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.27
Bid-YTW : 2.05 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 101,302 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 24.70 and 29,600 at 24.72.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 3.01 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 59,514 Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 26.45; National crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-01-22
Maturity Price : 23.72
Evaluated at bid price : 26.43
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 57,245 Scotia bought 14,000 from GMP at 25.19; Nesbitt sold 11,000 to TD and 10,900 to Scotia at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-01-22
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 25.17
Bid-YTW : 3.39 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 54,768 Scotia crossed 40,000 at 25.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.23
Bid-YTW : 3.12 %
NA.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 52,953 Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 25.50 and 22,800 at 25.53.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-02-21
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : -0.48 %
There were 76 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 26.71 – 27.08
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2512

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.71
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %

GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.21 – 25.48
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1686

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %

MFC.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 26.41 – 26.71
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1987

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %

PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.49 – 26.85
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2654

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.49
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 27.01 – 27.27
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1890

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.01
Bid-YTW : 3.53 %

MFC.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 26.52 – 26.80
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2142

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.52
Bid-YTW : 3.16 %

One Response to “January 22, 2013”

  1. […] mentioned complexity of computer systems on January 22 – here’s another example: Computer Sciences Corp. (CSC)’s performance on a failed $1 […]

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