Readers will have noticed that the market’s extreme dependence upon a single issuer as a source of Floating Rate issues. This dependence has even led to the closing of a major fund to new investment.
So: this is where financial engineering comes in. There is very little need to actually have floating rate issues … one can have a portfolio of perpetuals and swap the income stream into floating rate, via Interest Rate Swaps. Interest rate swaps are a huge market, big enough that the Chicago Board of Trade has designed a thirty-year swap contract to complement its wildly successful 10-year contract.
Swaps in Canada are traded Over-the-Counter by the bigger banks. Essentially, one party agrees to pay a fixed rate for a definite term – this fixed rate will be very closely related to the fixed rate the bank pays on its direct obligations of similar term. In return, the counterparty agrees to pay the three-month Bankers’ Acceptance rate, reset periodically, for the same term. Obligations are netted, to minimize credit risk as far as possible.
Therefore, there is no real need to rely on BCE for floating rate preferreds! You can buy a portfolio of bank-issued perpetuals and swap the income stream into something based on the BA rate.
It’s not a perfect hedge. There’s basis risk (bank prefs might not trade the same way as bank bonds, just for starters!), there’s tax risk (if short rates go to 25% then sure, you’ve got a pre-tax hedge, but not a post-tax one!) and there’s term risk (however much I may assume it in the programming, thirty years is not equal to infinity), to name but three.
On the other hand I, for one, would much rather have a bank-floater-equivalent than a BCE floater (all else being equal), so a few risks are acceptable, as long as they are quantified and understood.
I’ve uploaded a more detailed proposal. Does anyone have, say, $50-million in perps they want to convert to floaters?
[…] 1. You should not expect to see the corporate market track Treasuries as closely as all that, especially with the financial sector feeling such stress. In the absence of a good website providing credit spread averages, have a look at the CBOT 10-year swap contract. I’ve discussed swaps on this blog before, in the context of converting perpetuals into synthetic floaters, so if you need to refresh your memory regarding swaps, that’s a good place to start. I note that the 10-year swap contract closed at 102-29 today, which CBOT’s spreadsheet converts to a fixed rate of 5.62% … but there will be settlement date adjustments to make to that figure. You can also get the Federal Reserve’s H15 statistical release which shows 5.64% as of July 24. You should mark prefs off of bonds of comparable quality, not governments. […]