January 23, 2012

There’s a story about Credit Suisse’s toxic asset bonuses:

The toxic-asset bonuses given to senior Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN) bankers at the depths of the 2008 financial crisis are turning out to be almost as good as gold.

Credit Suisse employees who got $5.05 billion of junk-grade loans and commercial-mortgage-backed bonds in late 2008 as part of annual bonuses have reaped gains of 75 percent on the payouts since the end of that year through Nov. 30, people with knowledge of the results said. Gold futures returned 98 percent in the period, while Credit Suisse’s shares declined 23 percent.

The gains, which also beat the 4.8 percent return of two- year Treasuries, show how the rebound in debt markets from the lows of 2008 has sweetened the Zurich-based bank’s executive bonuses compared with the cash and stock bonuses rivals paid.

Assiduous Readers with extremely good memories will remember that on December 18, 2008 I wrote:

If I am correct – with the support of the BoE – and bank assets have, in general, been written down to far below fundamental value, this is a clever way for the executives to (a) earn brownie points, and (b) give themselves enormous bonuses.

It was reported that this pool was up 17% on August 7, 2009.

Bloomberg brings to my attention an interesting survey on global real-estate prices titled 8th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey: 2012:

The five least affordable major metropolitan markets remained the same in 2011. Hong Kong, Vancouver and Sydney continued to be the most unaffordable major markets. However Vancouver displaced Sydney as the second most unaffordable market. Hong Kong ranked as the least affordable major market (81st)8, with a median multiple of 12.6. Vancouver ranked second least affordable (80th), with a Median Multiple of 10.6. Sydney ranked third most unaffordable, with a Median Multiple of 9.2 (79th). Melbourne ranked 78th, with a Median Multiple of 8.4. Plymouth & Devon was also above 7.0 (78th ), with a Median Multiple of 7.4. The 5 major metropolitan areas with a Median Multiple above 7.0 is an improvement from last year’s 8 (Table 4).

The Median Multiple is the Median House Price divided by Median Household Income. For Toronto, this is $406,400 / $73,600.


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I’m not certain that I like this measure of “Affordability” and also not certain that I like the term “Affordability” at all. After all, if houses were genuinely unaffordable, then nobody would be able to buy them and the price would come down. I would be interested in a measure that took into account income inequality; if we were to say, as a rule of thumb, that a house should cost three times household income, then what percentage of the population can afford to buy a house? e.g., if the median house in Toronto costs $406,400 then we can say that you need household income of $135,500 to buy one – so what percentage of the Toronto population has household income in excess of $135,500?

It was a strong day for the Canadian preferred share market with PerpetualDiscounts up 22bp, FixedResets gaining 18bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 27bp. All entries on the Performance Highlights table were winners, with a marked preponderance of SLF DeemedRetractibles. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9947 % 2,367.0
FixedFloater 4.70 % 4.07 % 41,667 17.27 1 0.4975 % 3,315.7
Floater 2.82 % 3.01 % 67,153 19.71 3 0.9947 % 2,555.7
OpRet 4.94 % 1.43 % 64,650 1.31 7 -0.0601 % 2,502.6
SplitShare 5.34 % 0.71 % 68,522 0.88 4 0.0453 % 2,620.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0601 % 2,288.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.41 % -9.62 % 86,276 0.09 23 -0.0068 % 2,212.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.03 % 4.98 % 161,351 15.51 7 0.2249 % 2,406.7
FixedReset 5.03 % 2.81 % 207,671 2.35 65 0.1803 % 2,382.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.89 % 3.47 % 190,031 1.29 46 0.2703 % 2,306.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 1.01 % Recovery from Friday’s Moronification.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.32
Bid-YTW : 2.88 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.81
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 1.58 % Recovery from Friday’s Moronification.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.03
Bid-YTW : 2.74 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-01-23
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 2.52 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 2.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.81
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 3.84 % Recovery from Friday’s Moronification.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.33
Bid-YTW : 2.38 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 270,265 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-01-23
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 131,831 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 88,300 and 34,000, both at 28.02. We haven’t seen a 28-handle in a while!
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.98
Bid-YTW : 0.51 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 91,472 Nesbitt crossed 84,200 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.16
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 63,412 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 39,600 and 12,700, both at 24.77.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-01-23
Maturity Price : 24.30
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 58,612 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 30,000 and 15,000 at 26.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 58,517 RBC crossed 46,800 at 27.02. The seller may well be the guy who bought 42,600 at 26.61 on Friday during the Extended Moron Session … if so, call it profit of almost $20-grand, not a bad day’s work.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.03
Bid-YTW : 2.74 %
There were 43 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNA.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 24.10 – 24.60
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3448

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %

BAM.PR.I OpRet Quote: 25.60 – 25.99
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2768

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-02-22
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : -7.05 %

BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 26.81 – 27.10
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1929

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.81
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %

RY.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 26.53 – 26.72
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1197

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.53
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.85 – 26.18
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2667

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : 2.01 %

GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.01 – 24.19
Spot Rate : 0.1800
Average : 0.1211

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %

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