June 19, 2012

The insurance companies have figured out a new way to sell annuities:

General Motors Co. (GM)’s deal to cut pension obligations by $26 billion and shift plans to Prudential Financial Inc. (PRU) is poised to fuel more transfers as U.S. firms face a retirement-funding shortfall the size of Greece’s debt.

MetLife Inc. (MET) and Prudential are among insurers that expect the GM deal to encourage more corporations to offload plans. Pension liabilities exceed assets by more than $435 billion, according to a Bloomberg review of data disclosed by firms in the Russell 1000 Index of large U.S. companies. Greece, facing demands for austerity measures in exchange for rescue funds, had total debt of about $450 billion at the end of 2011.

Employers who endured two stock-market crashes in a decade and 10-year Treasury yields near a record low may be tempted to follow GM’s lead by paying insurers to take the risk that market returns are inadequate or that beneficiaries live longer than expected. Transferring the obligations can reduce swings in earnings tied to securities and relieve companies of the need to manage large pools of money.

There’s a very revealing quote out about High Frequency Trading:

The advocates argue that “ ‘It’s the way of the world, people who are in denial are Luddites,’ that whole school of thought,” [, chief executive officer of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada ] Ms. Wolburgh Jenah says. “Then there’s the school of thought that is ‘We don’t understand the markets any more, this new breed of participant has come in and taken over.’ ”

The wickle boys don’t like the idea that they might have to learn something new, or the young and the hungry will eat their lunch. Boo Hoo Hoo. See the February 8 post for more mockery of the incompetent.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums down 3bp, FixedResets winning 17bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 10bp. Volatility was minor. Volume was low, but with a few issues showing very good volume.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3208 % 2,296.6
FixedFloater 4.44 % 3.82 % 21,321 17.63 1 0.5164 % 3,552.9
Floater 3.17 % 3.17 % 72,336 19.30 3 -0.3208 % 2,479.7
OpRet 4.81 % 2.50 % 37,344 1.01 5 0.0310 % 2,507.9
SplitShare 5.28 % -7.34 % 44,214 0.50 4 0.1797 % 2,710.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0310 % 2,293.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.42 % 3.63 % 89,267 0.56 27 -0.0261 % 2,231.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.05 % 5.10 % 118,370 15.32 7 0.1900 % 2,445.5
FixedReset 5.04 % 3.15 % 204,283 7.84 71 0.1719 % 2,394.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.01 % 3.95 % 159,032 2.66 45 0.1023 % 2,306.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.40
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.29
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.R FixedReset 279,691 National crossed 273,200 at 26.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.34
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 231,790 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-19
Maturity Price : 24.65
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 156,976 Desjardins crossed blocks of 50,000 shares, 25,000 and 42,500, all at 25.63. National crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 108,150 RBC crossed two blocks of 25,000 each, both at 25.57. Desjardins crossed 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.57
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %
RY.PR.N FixedReset 71,560 RBC crossed 69,400 at 26.36.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.32
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 56,170 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 26.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.73
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
W.PR.H Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.90 – 28.13
Spot Rate : 2.2300
Average : 1.2304

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 0.91 %

TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 51.40 – 52.00
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.3662

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.40
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %

BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 26.45 – 26.88
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3066

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.45
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.46 – 25.79
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2340

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-19
Maturity Price : 23.54
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 2.62 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.57 – 25.77
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1398

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-19
Maturity Price : 23.65
Evaluated at bid price : 25.57
Bid-YTW : 3.05 %

BNS.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 25.56 – 25.71
Spot Rate : 0.1500
Average : 0.0987

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 2.97 %

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