July 17, 2008

There’s a story in Vanity Fair about the Bear Stearns collapse – good reading! All fluff, of course, but entertaining fluff.

Today’s factoid is the claim that US Financials have just experienced an 11-standard-deviation price move. But don’t tell Merrill!

Speaking of multiple standard deviation events … PerpetualDiscounts didn’t lose money today! The last up-day was June 24; since then, there were sixteen consecutive down days, in the course of which PerpetualDiscounts lost 8.85% of their value, with the weighted-mean dividend yield increasing from 6.01% to 6.63%. I hope that’s some kind of record … all this pain has to be worth something! We shall now wait with bated breath to see whether today’s return represents a turning of the tide or a dead cat bounce.

After the bounce, PerpetualDiscounts yield 6.56%, equivalent to 9.18% interest after the 1.4x conversion factor. Long corporates ticked up to about 6.18%, so the Pre-Tax Interest Equivalent Spread is now about 300bp.

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.33% 3.95% 39,511 0.08 1 +0.000% 1,122.4
Fixed-Floater 4.69% 4.42% 72,218 16.30 6 -0.5099% 1,082.8
Floater 4.16% 4.19% 50,364 17.05 3 -0.7498% 885.7
Op. Retract 4.99% 4.55% 150,496 3.13 17 +0.0064% 1,040.6
Split-Share 5.44% 6.66% 63,769 4.08 14 +0.5637% 1,016.4
Interest Bearing 6.13% 6.05% 43,167 3.72 3 +0.2048% 1,122.5
Perpetual-Premium 6.19% 6.19% 68,639 10.61 4 -0.5206% 973.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.50% 6.56% 236,355 13.13 67 +0.9720% 814.1
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -2.3578%  
CU.PR.A PerpetualDiscount -2.1277% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.40% based on a bid of 23.00 and a limitMaturity.
TCA.PR.X PerpetualDiscount -1.5707% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.93% based on a bid of 47.00 and a limitMaturity.
BCE.PR.G FixFloat -1.4583%  
MFC.PR.C PerpetualDiscount -1.2243% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.42% based on a bid of 17.75 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.G PerpetualDiscount -1.0864% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.46% based on a bid of 18.21 and a limitMaturity.
CL.PR.B PerpetualPremium -1.0588% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.03% based on a bid of 25.23 and a call 2011-1-30 at 25.00.
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.0556% Asset coverage of 3.2+:1 as of June 30, according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.70% based on a bid of 17.81 and a softMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.A (6.22% to 2010-9-30) and BNA.PR.B (8.49% to 2016-3-25).
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat -1.0412%  
PWF.PR.G PerpetualDiscount +1.0385% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.34% based on a bid of 23.35 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.B PerpetualDiscount +1.0609% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.71% based on a bid of 18.10 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.I PerpetualDiscount +1.1064% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.33% based on a bid of 23.76 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.J OpRet +1.1236% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.91% based on a bid of 22.50 and a softMaturity 2018-3-30 at 25.00. Compare with BAM.PR.H (6.43% to 2012-3-30), BAM.PR.I (6.16% to 2013-12-30) and BAM.PR.O (6.45% to 2013-6-30).
BNS.PR.O PerpetualDiscount +1.1349% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.07% based on a bid of 23.17 and a limitMaturity.
GWO.PR.I PerpetualDiscount +1.1730% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.60% based on a bid of 17.25 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.G PerpetualDiscount +1.2325% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.35% based on a bid of 18.07 and a limitMaturity.
NA.PR.K PerpetualDiscount +1.2742% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.35% based on a bid of 23.05 and a limitMaturity.
BNS.PR.M PerpetualDiscount +1.2958% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.29% based on a bid of 17.98 and a limitMaturity.
NA.PR.L PerpetualDiscount +1.3514% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.75% based on a bid of 18.00 and a limitMaturity.
BNS.PR.K PerpetualDiscount +1.3563% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.21% based on a bid of 19.43 and a limitMaturity.
POW.PR.D PerpetualDiscount +1.3594% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.76% based on a bid of 18.64 and a limitMaturity.
HSB.PR.D PerpetualDiscount +1.4218% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.57% based on a bid of 19.26 and a limitMaturity.
POW.PR.C PerpetualDiscount +1.4741% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.85% based on a bid of 21.34 and a limitMaturity.
FBS.PR.B SplitShare +1.4878% Asset coverage of 1.5+:1 as of July 10, according to TD Securities. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.42% based on a bid of 9.55 and a hardMaturity 2011-12-15.
CM.PR.J PerpetualDiscount +1.6026% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.14% based on a bid of 15.85 and a limitMaturity.
BMO.PR.J PerpetualDiscount +1.6468% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.40% based on a bid of 17.90 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.A PerpetualDiscount +1.6657% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.19% based on a bid of 18.31 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.F PerpetualDiscount +1.7205% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.76% based on a bid of 19.51 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.A PerpetualDiscount +1.7514% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.67% based on a bid of 18.01 and a limitMaturity.
ELF.PR.F PerpetualDiscount +1.7816% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.55% based on a bid of 17.71 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.E PerpetualDiscount +1.9608% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.30% based on a bid of 18.20 and a limitMaturity.
GWO.PR.G PerpetualDiscount +2.0291% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.71% based on a bid of 19.61 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.B PerpetualDiscount +2.1053% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.17% based on a bid of 19.40 and a limitMaturity.
MFC.PR.B PerpetualDiscount +2.1108% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.09% based on a bid of 19.35 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.P PerpetualDiscount +2.6963% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.06% based on a bid of 21.71 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.W PerpetualDiscount +2.7835% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.26% based on a bid of 19.94 and a limitMaturity.
DFN.PR.A SplitShare +2.9928% Asset coverage of 2.1+:1 as of July 15 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.36% based on a bid of 9.98 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1.
PWF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount +3.0241% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.88% based on a bid of 20.10 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.E PerpetualDiscount +3.1450% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.28% based on a bid of 19.35 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.F PerpetualDiscount +3.1501% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.30% based on a bid of 18.01 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.D PerpetualDiscount +3.2934% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.52% based on a bid of 17.25 and a limitMaturity.
SBC.PR.A SplitShare +3.6269% Asset coverage of 1.9+:1 as of July 10, according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.29% based on a bid of 10.00 and a hardMaturity 2012-11-30 at 10.00.
POW.PR.B PerpetualDiscount +4.0462% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.81% based on a bid of 19.80 and a limitMaturity.
ELF.PR.G PerpetualDiscount +4.9020% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.47% based on a bid of 16.05 and a limitMaturity.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
CM.PR.A OpRet 419,550 Nesbit crossed 25,000 at 25.76 and 375,000 at 25.75. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 2.00% based on a bid of 25.76 and a call 2008-11-30 at 25.75.
BNS.PR.L PerpetualDiscount 56,682 Nesbitt crossed 35,000 at 18.00. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.31% based on a bid of 17.93 and a limitMaturity.
NA.PR.K PerpetualDiscount 55,400 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 23.05. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.35% based on a bid of 23.05 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.N OpRet 52,750 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.90. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.90% based on a bid of 25.85 and a softMaturity 2014-1-30 at 25.00.
CM.PR.J PerpetualDiscount 44,990 RBC bought 14,500 from Nesbitt at 15.75. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.14% based on a bid of 15.85 and a limitMaturity.

There were twenty-eight other index-included $25-pv-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

2 Responses to “July 17, 2008”

  1. […] As reported on July 17, it has been claimed that US Financials recently experienced an eleven-standard-deviation price […]

  2. […] to mutterings that the firm’s collapse was a confidence game. This was last discussed on July 17. The Internuts’ position to date has been that BSC was a stupid firm, leveraged up to the […]

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