April 20, 2017

So, what the Liberal government of Ontario has done for electricity, they are now doing for housing:

Ontario’s Fair Housing Plan introduces a comprehensive package of measures to help more people find affordable homes, increase supply, protect buyers and renters and bring stability to the real estate market.

The roots of the housing price boom are:

  • low interest rates
  • an explosion of CMHC guarantees, and
  • unsatisfactory stock market returns

I don’t see anything in the plan that addresses any of that.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4083 % 2,147.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4083 % 3,940.1
Floater 3.55 % 3.65 % 44,980 18.19 4 -0.4083 % 2,270.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1304 % 3,023.7
SplitShare 4.94 % 4.15 % 54,223 0.62 6 -0.1304 % 3,610.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1304 % 2,817.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.28 % -6.10 % 74,238 0.09 23 0.1816 % 2,787.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.08 % 5.07 % 108,450 15.33 13 -0.0032 % 2,997.3
FixedReset 4.38 % 3.96 % 235,704 6.64 94 0.1465 % 2,360.8
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 4.49 % 144,737 0.10 31 0.1426 % 2,892.5
FloatingReset 2.55 % 3.11 % 56,094 4.51 9 0.2146 % 2,540.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.T FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 22.76
Evaluated at bid price : 23.13
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 19.11
Evaluated at bid price : 19.11
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.98
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 360,183 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.83
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset 150,378 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 22.55
Evaluated at bid price : 23.24
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 102,113 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 16.99
Evaluated at bid price : 16.99
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset 62,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 22.42
Evaluated at bid price : 23.08
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 56,850 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 45,769 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 4.26 %
There were 40 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
EML.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 26.62 – 27.09
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3239

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.62
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %

PWF.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 23.13 – 23.43
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1998

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 22.76
Evaluated at bid price : 23.13
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %

BNS.PR.Z FixedReset Quote: 22.12 – 22.45
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2339

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.12
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %

TRP.PR.H FloatingReset Quote: 13.87 – 14.14
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1913

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-20
Maturity Price : 13.87
Evaluated at bid price : 13.87
Bid-YTW : 3.37 %

TRP.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 26.82 – 27.10
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2024

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.82
Bid-YTW : 3.81 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 16.05 – 16.30
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1734

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.05
Bid-YTW : 8.73 %

4 Responses to “April 20, 2017”

  1. Nestor says:

    Short, sweet and to the point. That’s why i love reading this blog.

  2. dodoi says:

    To be honest none of the causes listed by James, which are correct, depend on provincial government. What is shocking looking at the “Growth in number of rental units, Toronto” graphic in this column (second graphic in this column) http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/toronto/ontario-housing-16-big-changes-explained-in-charts/article34757648/ is that no new apartment or row house have been built in almost 20 years though there are 100k immigrants coming every year in GTA.

  3. malcolmm says:

    Same problem in Vancouver. Lots of new arrivals and almost no new rentals.

    Now that rents have soared, new rental apartments are being built. Although increased supply will help, the new apartments are too expensive for most people. One tower across from city hall was recently renovated. They are advertising new apartments (not really new but fully renovated). One bedrooms start at $2,800/month. These apartments are less than 450 sq. ft. From what I was told by a realtor they are able to get these rents, but no one I know could afford that.

  4. jiHymas says:

    To be honest none of the causes listed by James, which are correct, depend on provincial government.

    Sure. Which is why any attempt to fix the problem – such as it is – with the Province’s tools is doomed to failure. I have no problem with them tinkering with related legislation to reflect changing circumstances, but basically they should leave well enough alone.

    One thing they could do is lean on the municipalities to raise property taxes. This is a step that will have to happen eventually, but they’ll probably try a combination of “Foreigners’ taxes” and vacancy taxes until these measures, their special cases and exceptions start to collapse under their own weight.

    What is shocking looking at the “Growth in number of rental units, Toronto” graphic in this column

    Yes – that struck me forcibly enough that I highlighted it in the April 21 market report.

    One bedrooms start at $2,800/month. These apartments are less than 450 sq. ft.

    Holy Smokes, $2,800 for a bachelor’s? Time to move away … which, I understand, is exactly what a lot of people are doing.

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