May 18, 2017

The Toronto housing market is getting weird:

Agents are also reporting price cuts for some listings, bidding delirium for others, and a swarm of investors looking for deals.

After holding on to their rapidly appreciating asset for so long, some sellers in the Greater Toronto Area appear to be rushing headlong to cash in. Buyers who lamented that there were so few listings now seem incapacitated by the amount of choice.

“I think they’re overwhelmed – there are so many houses to look at,” says Ms. [Davelle] Morrison of Bosley Real Estate Ltd. “No matter what neighbourhood they want to be in, there are so many houses to look at.”

There will be ups and downs, all magnified by reporters who have to convince their readers that they will miss important news if they don’t read the story right now, but I continue to believe that the Canadian housing market and the preferred share market are linked by one thing: there won’t be a dramatic change until five-year yields start rising substantially.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.1205 % 2,104.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.1205 % 3,861.7
Floater 3.62 % 3.80 % 58,965 17.80 4 -2.1205 % 2,225.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0124 % 3,048.9
SplitShare 4.72 % 4.20 % 69,842 1.59 5 0.0124 % 3,641.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0124 % 2,840.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.33 % 1.00 % 67,070 0.09 22 -0.1104 % 2,776.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.13 % 5.16 % 103,661 15.20 14 -0.6713 % 2,985.4
FixedReset 4.52 % 4.16 % 204,085 6.57 94 -0.5646 % 2,294.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.01 % 4.94 % 140,518 0.10 31 -0.0966 % 2,881.0
FloatingReset 2.52 % 3.32 % 49,638 4.44 10 -0.6395 % 2,510.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.C Floater -3.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 12.35
Evaluated at bid price : 12.35
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -3.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 12.32
Evaluated at bid price : 12.32
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -2.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 18.33
Evaluated at bid price : 18.33
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset -2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 7.85 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset -2.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset -2.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.53
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 12.54
Evaluated at bid price : 12.54
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset -1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.79
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
BAM.PF.H FixedReset -1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.17
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.11
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset -1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.84
Evaluated at bid price : 20.84
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.67
Evaluated at bid price : 20.67
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset -1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.37
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.57
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.63
Bid-YTW : 7.47 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 22.53
Evaluated at bid price : 23.18
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
NA.PR.Q FixedReset -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.42
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 22.67
Evaluated at bid price : 23.03
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 9.21 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 6.81 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 3.54 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 3.33 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.93
Evaluated at bid price : 20.93
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 21.55
Evaluated at bid price : 21.90
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 23.88
Evaluated at bid price : 24.13
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.83 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 22.50
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 21.18
Evaluated at bid price : 21.18
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible 837,263 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 104,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 46,750 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.63
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 39,710 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
BAM.PF.I FixedReset 35,561 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Premium 24,764 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : -14.26 %
There were 17 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 12.35 – 13.25
Spot Rate : 0.9000
Average : 0.5816

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 12.35
Evaluated at bid price : 12.35
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %

IAG.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 22.11 – 22.85
Spot Rate : 0.7400
Average : 0.4318

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.11
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %

TRP.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 20.67 – 21.28
Spot Rate : 0.6100
Average : 0.3632

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 20.67
Evaluated at bid price : 20.67
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 18.01 – 18.63
Spot Rate : 0.6200
Average : 0.3922

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 7.85 %

BIP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 23.18 – 23.70
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3465

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 22.53
Evaluated at bid price : 23.18
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 12.32 – 12.89
Spot Rate : 0.5700
Average : 0.3975

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-05-18
Maturity Price : 12.32
Evaluated at bid price : 12.32
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %

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