July 13, 2017

Yesterday’s BoC policy rate hike continues to cause turmoil for Canadian bonds:

Canadian government bonds extended their slump, pushing two-year yields to the highest since 2013, the day after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates for the first time in seven years and signaled more tightening may be ahead.

Yields rose across maturities. The Canadian dollar was little changed near a one-year high rallying 1.3 percent Wednesday.

While the decision to boost rates was expected by a majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, investors were surprised by the Bank of Canada’s effort to downplay weak inflation and signal that the economy’s output gap will close earlier than previously forecast.

There’s a 74 percent probability that policy makers led by Governor Stephen Poloz will increase rates again this year, according to overnight index swaps data compiled by Bloomberg, which would reverse the two cuts the central bank carried out in early 2015 to counter the effects of falling oil prices. There’s also a 26 percent chance of two additional hikes this year.

Yields fell back a bit as the day wore on – the Canada five-year closed at 1.53%.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.4868 % 2,395.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.4868 % 4,395.8
Floater 3.61 % 3.63 % 96,213 18.24 3 2.4868 % 2,533.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1251 % 3,064.9
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.38 % 57,688 1.43 5 -0.1251 % 3,660.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1251 % 2,855.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.37 % 4.68 % 69,953 5.94 21 -0.1391 % 2,779.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.29 % 5.26 % 91,660 15.04 15 -0.6672 % 2,920.3
FixedReset 4.33 % 4.29 % 187,159 6.42 97 -0.0026 % 2,399.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.05 % 5.38 % 116,870 6.17 30 -0.3317 % 2,863.0
FloatingReset 2.64 % 2.94 % 45,949 4.30 10 0.1448 % 2,626.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.H FixedReset -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.76
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 21.57
Evaluated at bid price : 21.91
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.63
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 23.84
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.37
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.93
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 16.48
Evaluated at bid price : 16.48
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 5.96 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.85
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 2.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 14.26
Evaluated at bid price : 14.26
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 2.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.R FixedReset 150,468 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.07
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 117,837 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.92
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 109,792 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 21.41
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 108,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 92,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 64,796 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.85
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
There were 35 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 24.30 – 24.65
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2392

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %

MFC.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 24.76 – 25.14
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2701

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.76
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %

PVS.PR.B SplitShare Quote: 25.22 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1707

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %

NA.PR.W FixedReset Quote: 21.58 – 21.91
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2209

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 21.29
Evaluated at bid price : 21.58
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %

VNR.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 21.91 – 22.31
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2971

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 21.57
Evaluated at bid price : 21.91
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 16.48 – 16.75
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1809

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-07-13
Maturity Price : 16.48
Evaluated at bid price : 16.48
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.