Yesterday’s BoC policy rate hike continues to cause turmoil for Canadian bonds:
Canadian government bonds extended their slump, pushing two-year yields to the highest since 2013, the day after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates for the first time in seven years and signaled more tightening may be ahead.
Yields rose across maturities. The Canadian dollar was little changed near a one-year high rallying 1.3 percent Wednesday.
While the decision to boost rates was expected by a majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, investors were surprised by the Bank of Canada’s effort to downplay weak inflation and signal that the economy’s output gap will close earlier than previously forecast.
…
There’s a 74 percent probability that policy makers led by Governor Stephen Poloz will increase rates again this year, according to overnight index swaps data compiled by Bloomberg, which would reverse the two cuts the central bank carried out in early 2015 to counter the effects of falling oil prices. There’s also a 26 percent chance of two additional hikes this year.
Yields fell back a bit as the day wore on – the Canada five-year closed at 1.53%.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
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Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2.4868 % | 2,395.6 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2.4868 % | 4,395.8 |
Floater | 3.61 % | 3.63 % | 96,213 | 18.24 | 3 | 2.4868 % | 2,533.3 |
OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.1251 % | 3,064.9 |
SplitShare | 4.70 % | 4.38 % | 57,688 | 1.43 | 5 | -0.1251 % | 3,660.2 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.1251 % | 2,855.8 |
Perpetual-Premium | 5.37 % | 4.68 % | 69,953 | 5.94 | 21 | -0.1391 % | 2,779.2 |
Perpetual-Discount | 5.29 % | 5.26 % | 91,660 | 15.04 | 15 | -0.6672 % | 2,920.3 |
FixedReset | 4.33 % | 4.29 % | 187,159 | 6.42 | 97 | -0.0026 % | 2,399.4 |
Deemed-Retractible | 5.05 % | 5.38 % | 116,870 | 6.17 | 30 | -0.3317 % | 2,863.0 |
FloatingReset | 2.64 % | 2.94 % | 45,949 | 4.30 | 10 | 0.1448 % | 2,626.9 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
MFC.PR.H | FixedReset | -1.51 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.76 Bid-YTW : 4.82 % |
VNR.PR.A | FixedReset | -1.44 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 21.57 Evaluated at bid price : 21.91 Bid-YTW : 4.88 % |
HSE.PR.G | FixedReset | -1.34 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 23.11 Evaluated at bid price : 24.30 Bid-YTW : 5.03 % |
GWO.PR.G | Deemed-Retractible | -1.12 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.63 Bid-YTW : 5.51 % |
CU.PR.D | Perpetual-Discount | -1.12 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 23.57 Evaluated at bid price : 23.84 Bid-YTW : 5.19 % |
BAM.PF.D | Perpetual-Discount | -1.11 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 22.12 Evaluated at bid price : 22.37 Bid-YTW : 5.51 % |
GWO.PR.I | Deemed-Retractible | -1.04 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 21.93 Bid-YTW : 6.66 % |
HSE.PR.A | FixedReset | -1.02 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 16.48 Evaluated at bid price : 16.48 Bid-YTW : 4.62 % |
MFC.PR.J | FixedReset | 1.02 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 23.85 Bid-YTW : 4.86 % |
MFC.PR.K | FixedReset | 1.21 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 21.70 Bid-YTW : 5.96 % |
SLF.PR.J | FloatingReset | 1.38 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 16.85 Bid-YTW : 7.97 % |
IAG.PR.G | FixedReset | 1.96 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 23.40 Bid-YTW : 5.02 % |
BAM.PR.K | Floater | 2.22 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 14.30 Evaluated at bid price : 14.30 Bid-YTW : 3.63 % |
BAM.PR.C | Floater | 2.37 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 14.26 Evaluated at bid price : 14.26 Bid-YTW : 3.64 % |
BAM.PR.B | Floater | 2.88 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 14.30 Evaluated at bid price : 14.30 Bid-YTW : 3.63 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
CM.PR.R | FixedReset | 150,468 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2022-07-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.07 Bid-YTW : 4.48 % |
RY.PR.R | FixedReset | 117,837 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-08-24 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 26.92 Bid-YTW : 3.69 % |
TD.PF.C | FixedReset | 109,792 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 21.41 Evaluated at bid price : 21.75 Bid-YTW : 4.25 % |
CU.PR.C | FixedReset | 108,000 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-07-13 Maturity Price : 21.95 Evaluated at bid price : 22.45 Bid-YTW : 4.31 % |
BMO.PR.C | FixedReset | 92,900 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2022-05-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.65 Bid-YTW : 4.28 % |
RY.PR.Q | FixedReset | 64,796 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-05-24 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 26.85 Bid-YTW : 3.66 % |
There were 35 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |
Wide Spread Highlights | ||
Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
HSE.PR.G | FixedReset | Quote: 24.30 – 24.65 Spot Rate : 0.3500 Average : 0.2392 YTW SCENARIO |
MFC.PR.H | FixedReset | Quote: 24.76 – 25.14 Spot Rate : 0.3800 Average : 0.2701 YTW SCENARIO |
PVS.PR.B | SplitShare | Quote: 25.22 – 25.50 Spot Rate : 0.2800 Average : 0.1707 YTW SCENARIO |
NA.PR.W | FixedReset | Quote: 21.58 – 21.91 Spot Rate : 0.3300 Average : 0.2209 YTW SCENARIO |
VNR.PR.A | FixedReset | Quote: 21.91 – 22.31 Spot Rate : 0.4000 Average : 0.2971 YTW SCENARIO |
HSE.PR.A | FixedReset | Quote: 16.48 – 16.75 Spot Rate : 0.2700 Average : 0.1809 YTW SCENARIO |