Today’s gloom comes to us courtesy of Moody’s:
Canada’s mountain of consumer debt is triggering multiple alarms about the threat to the country’s banks.
Moody’s Investors Service joined the Bank for International Settlements and S&P Global Ratings which have all warned in the last month that Canada’s banking system, dominated by five giants, is facing a growing threat of souring consumer loans amid rising interest rates. The country’s ratio of household debt to disposable income reached a record 171 percent in the third quarter of last year.
The proportion of uninsured mortgages has increased to 60 percent from 50 percent five years ago, including home equity lines of credit, amid government efforts to reduce taxpayer exposure, according to the report from Moody’s on Tuesday. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., a government agency, insurers the bulk of mortgages in Canada.
Almost half of outstanding mortgages, many of them on fixed-rate terms, will have an interest-rate reset within the year, increasing the strain on households’ debt-servicing capacity, Moody’s said.
This looks like bad news for Aimia:
PC Optimum points will replace Aeroplan miles as the loyalty program of choice at Esso stations across the country effective June 1, as Imperial Oil Ltd. shifts its relationship to Loblaw Companies Ltd.
Aimia Inc.-operated Aeroplan notified members of the change to its 14-year partnership in an email on Tuesday.
It noted that up to 1.5 miles for every dollar spent will continue to be earned when using Aeroplan-affiliated credit cards for purchases at any retailer, including Esso.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
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Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.2254 % | 3,095.3 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.2254 % | 5,679.7 |
Floater | 3.21 % | 3.42 % | 112,427 | 18.63 | 4 | -0.2254 % | 3,273.3 |
OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1413 % | 3,165.4 |
SplitShare | 4.69 % | 4.11 % | 63,719 | 3.29 | 5 | 0.1413 % | 3,780.1 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.1413 % | 2,949.4 |
Perpetual-Premium | 5.61 % | 0.13 % | 79,010 | 0.09 | 11 | 0.1507 % | 2,837.4 |
Perpetual-Discount | 5.31 % | 5.40 % | 86,671 | 14.75 | 23 | 0.2617 % | 2,947.7 |
FixedReset | 4.25 % | 4.57 % | 172,268 | 5.82 | 103 | 0.0626 % | 2,524.0 |
Deemed-Retractible | 5.15 % | 5.68 % | 89,239 | 5.75 | 28 | 0.2961 % | 2,928.6 |
FloatingReset | 3.00 % | 3.00 % | 35,299 | 3.66 | 10 | 0.1724 % | 2,766.6 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
GWO.PR.Q | Deemed-Retractible | 1.17 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.14 Bid-YTW : 5.75 % |
IAG.PR.A | Deemed-Retractible | 1.36 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.30 Bid-YTW : 6.57 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
TD.PF.E | FixedReset | 61,925 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2020-10-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.46 Bid-YTW : 4.77 % |
CM.PR.R | FixedReset | 58,133 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2022-07-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.26 Bid-YTW : 4.29 % |
RY.PR.L | FixedReset | 29,950 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2019-02-24 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.20 Bid-YTW : 3.64 % |
RY.PR.Q | FixedReset | 27,336 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-05-24 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 26.45 Bid-YTW : 3.67 % |
BMO.PR.W | FixedReset | 23,900 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2048-03-13 Maturity Price : 22.81 Evaluated at bid price : 23.20 Bid-YTW : 4.57 % |
TRP.PR.F | FloatingReset | 23,370 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2048-03-13 Maturity Price : 20.53 Evaluated at bid price : 20.53 Bid-YTW : 3.71 % |
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |
Wide Spread Highlights | ||
Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
PVS.PR.B | SplitShare | Quote: 25.20 – 25.61 Spot Rate : 0.4100 Average : 0.2722 YTW SCENARIO |
TRP.PR.G | FixedReset | Quote: 24.07 – 24.38 Spot Rate : 0.3100 Average : 0.2058 YTW SCENARIO |
BAM.PR.T | FixedReset | Quote: 21.44 – 21.78 Spot Rate : 0.3400 Average : 0.2614 YTW SCENARIO |
PWF.PR.P | FixedReset | Quote: 19.80 – 19.99 Spot Rate : 0.1900 Average : 0.1243 YTW SCENARIO |
PWF.PR.L | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 23.22 – 23.50 Spot Rate : 0.2800 Average : 0.2154 YTW SCENARIO |
CU.PR.G | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 21.23 – 21.49 Spot Rate : 0.2600 Average : 0.1990 YTW SCENARIO |
is facing a growing threat of souring consumer loans….will have an interest-rate reset within the year, increasing the strain on households’ debt-servicing
Leading indicator is (imho) monthly delinquencies on Telco (wireless) accounts. Then abandoned cable TV selection options, and fewer handsets in future family plans.