May 7, 2018

Canada’s biggest rent-seeker, Royal Bank of Canada President & Chief Executive Officer Dave McKay, gave a speech in Montreal titled Our New Competitiveness: Thriving in the Age of Disruption:

Our competitiveness in the world continues to be a topic of debate in Canadian business. The U.S. has moved the yardsticks. So has China, in a different way. It’s clear we can’t afford to stand still.

We know a lot of great investment is coming into the country. But we can’t ignore the increasing flow of capital that is leaving too.

We’re hearing from clients in food processing, manufacturing, agriculture, real estate and clean technology. They are telling us we need to take stock of our competitive conditions.

We welcome the commitment by the federal Finance Minister to personally look at these challenges and make it – in his words – his number one priority.
This debate is partly about taxes, of course. But it is also about much bigger challenges too.

To remain competitive in this new landscape, we need to understand the skills of our workforce and invest strategically to ensure we stand out in the world.

This goes beyond taxes.

Competitiveness is about how we build the foundations for tomorrow’s smart economy – a skills economy connected by smart infrastructure and global access.

We need to change how we educate our youth, enable trade with other markets and lay the infrastructure for our economy to ensure our future success.

Here’s how we can get there.

Sadly, Mr. McKay did not address the potential for eliminating the favoured position of Canada’s domestic banks which, protected from global competition by legal and regulatory walls, have established an extremely profitable oligopoly in Canada that sucks up a lot of the investment capital available in our country.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.3324 % 2,961.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.3324 % 5,434.3
Floater 3.38 % 3.63 % 94,872 18.21 4 1.3324 % 3,131.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2459 % 3,160.0
SplitShare 4.60 % 4.68 % 78,810 5.05 5 0.2459 % 3,773.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2459 % 2,944.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.63 % -3.47 % 71,871 0.09 10 0.0631 % 2,869.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.40 % 5.45 % 65,890 14.73 24 0.0895 % 2,946.2
FixedReset 4.29 % 4.71 % 168,707 4.29 103 0.2768 % 2,531.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.14 % 5.68 % 83,879 5.60 27 0.0937 % 2,938.0
FloatingReset 3.07 % 3.37 % 31,334 3.56 8 0.0172 % 2,773.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.07
Evaluated at bid price : 22.71
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.32
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 16.78
Evaluated at bid price : 16.78
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 16.77
Evaluated at bid price : 16.77
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 16.72
Evaluated at bid price : 16.72
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.72
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 21.22
Evaluated at bid price : 21.22
Bid-YTW : 2.84 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.07
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset 1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.03
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
W.PR.M FixedReset 192,428 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 183,578 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 69,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset 59,630 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.16
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 33,352 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.38
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset 28,767 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 23.03
Evaluated at bid price : 24.59
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 19.00 – 20.00
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.5721

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %

W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.70 – 25.25
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.3150

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 24.46
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %

W.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 25.45 – 25.89
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3056

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

PVS.PR.B SplitShare Quote: 25.25 – 25.62
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2363

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 16.27 – 16.74
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3773

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 16.27
Evaluated at bid price : 16.27
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %

RY.PR.Z FixedReset Quote: 22.97 – 23.20
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1478

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-05-07
Maturity Price : 22.47
Evaluated at bid price : 22.97
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %

One Response to “May 7, 2018”

  1. BarleyandHops says:

    Speaking of Banks, I find this astonishing:

    The outstanding balance of HELOCs [in Canada] stood at $201 billion at the end of 2017, with nearly half of the debt located in Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal.

    That HELOC debt requires a large amount of cash to service. Across Canada, $529 million per month is scheduled for payments at the end of last year (2017).

    I dont have a clue of the interest spread on these LOCs, but the Banks should be fine. Assuming of course there are good paying jobs and good economic growth and that house-piggy-banks remain solid and stable.

    source: CMHC/Equifax/BetterDwelling

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