February 11, 2019

Fitch is warning about investment-fund induced liquidity mismatches:

Fitch says that investment in open-ended bond funds has surged since the global financial crisis, thanks to factors such as the prevalence of historically low interest rates and tougher bank regulation. It reports that the latest data from the Financial Stability Board shows that investment funds (including open-ended and other fund types) grew by an average of 12.3% annually between 2008 and 2016, and that assets under management in bond funds grew to a high of almost US$11 trillion last year.

“Open-ended bond funds provide daily liquidity for investors but are increasingly investing in longer-dated or lower-quality securities as bank regulation has reduced the supply of market liquidity and investors are seeking extra yield while interest rates remain low,” it says. “This exposes funds to liquidity pressure if there is a spike in redemptions, potentially leading to forced asset sales and a run on the fund as investors pull out.”

This sort of stress could, in turn, spread throughout the financial system, Fitch says, due to connections between funds, banks, non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) and the rest of the financial market. “Transmission to other institutions could be as a result of market value declines in the types of collateral that they have in common with the funds. Banks and NBFIs could also be exposed through their short-term funding reliance on the funds or other counterparty exposure to them,” it says.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0748 % 2,269.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0748 % 4,164.1
Floater 5.17 % 5.47 % 29,267 14.67 4 0.0748 % 2,399.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3598 % 3,232.8
SplitShare 4.89 % 4.90 % 62,137 3.96 8 0.3598 % 3,860.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3598 % 3,012.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.85 % -2.81 % 85,865 0.08 4 -0.2669 % 2,892.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.57 % 5.65 % 72,280 14.34 31 0.0378 % 2,989.2
FixedReset Disc 5.07 % 5.37 % 213,138 14.92 65 0.1925 % 2,240.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.34 % 6.10 % 93,053 8.14 27 0.0921 % 2,971.5
FloatingReset 4.34 % 5.56 % 59,747 8.45 6 0.0657 % 2,432.1
FixedReset Prem 5.14 % 4.19 % 286,781 2.28 18 0.0087 % 2,534.0
FixedReset Bank Non 2.78 % 4.03 % 162,176 2.85 5 0.0248 % 2,603.3
FixedReset Ins Non 5.01 % 6.80 % 127,509 8.31 22 0.3669 % 2,221.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 14.79
Evaluated at bid price : 14.79
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.60
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
PWF.PR.A Floater -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 15.20
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 6.97 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 19.03
Evaluated at bid price : 19.03
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 19.61
Evaluated at bid price : 19.61
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.45
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 12.95
Evaluated at bid price : 12.95
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
BIP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 22.47
Evaluated at bid price : 23.08
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.53
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
CGI.PR.D SplitShare 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2023-06-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.82
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.97
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.81 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.88
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.18
Bid-YTW : 7.82 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.89
Bid-YTW : 7.47 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.45
Bid-YTW : 9.18 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 2.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.25
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 3.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.16
Bid-YTW : 6.04 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 99,445 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 23.14
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 82,150 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 64,589 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 19.61
Evaluated at bid price : 19.61
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 62,094 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 15.90
Evaluated at bid price : 15.90
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Prem 57,385 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 23.23
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 44,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.01
Bid-YTW : 7.49 %
There were 36 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 22.31 – 22.74
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2546

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.31
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %

ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.30 – 24.79
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3198

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 23.94
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %

BIP.PR.D FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.08 – 23.49
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2459

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 22.47
Evaluated at bid price : 23.08
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %

MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 21.00 – 21.46
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3016

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.22 – 22.75
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3756

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 21.98
Evaluated at bid price : 22.22
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %

CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.05 – 20.60
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.4119

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-02-11
Maturity Price : 20.05
Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %

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