April 15, 2019

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1313 % 2,153.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1313 % 3,950.8
Floater 5.44 % 5.70 % 41,793 14.37 3 0.1313 % 2,276.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2190 % 3,281.6
SplitShare 4.88 % 4.69 % 78,738 3.82 8 0.2190 % 3,919.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2190 % 3,057.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % -16.68 % 85,051 0.09 10 -0.0196 % 2,961.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.39 % 5.47 % 75,937 14.69 23 -0.0469 % 3,110.7
FixedReset Disc 5.22 % 5.42 % 184,858 14.87 61 -0.0393 % 2,201.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.20 % 5.72 % 92,650 8.14 27 -0.1178 % 3,084.3
FloatingReset 4.22 % 4.29 % 54,767 2.68 5 -0.0646 % 2,419.4
FixedReset Prem 5.06 % 3.63 % 304,767 2.20 22 -0.0053 % 2,587.7
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 3.95 % 136,763 2.70 3 0.1393 % 2,641.2
FixedReset Ins Non 4.97 % 6.68 % 111,951 8.26 22 -0.0883 % 2,268.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non -2.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.64
Bid-YTW : 8.00 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 17.55
Evaluated at bid price : 17.55
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 7.45 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.35
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.01
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 5.83 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 21.91
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 22.25
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.30
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.61
Evaluated at bid price : 21.94
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 20.11
Evaluated at bid price : 20.11
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 12.81
Evaluated at bid price : 12.81
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.89
Bid-YTW : 8.67 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc 2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 2.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.10
Bid-YTW : 8.57 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc 3.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset Bank Non 93,550 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.96
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 68,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 20.56
Evaluated at bid price : 20.56
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 49,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 20.20
Evaluated at bid price : 20.20
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 39,913 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.96
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 36,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 6.75 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc 34,740 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.25 – 20.90
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.4100

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %

MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 17.64 – 18.20
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.3951

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.64
Bid-YTW : 8.00 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.15 – 23.60
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3178

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 22.88
Evaluated at bid price : 23.15
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %

CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.60 – 23.07
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3407

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 22.25
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 15.15 – 15.63
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3523

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 15.15
Evaluated at bid price : 15.15
Bid-YTW : 5.92 %

CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.31 – 21.78
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3586

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-15
Maturity Price : 21.31
Evaluated at bid price : 21.31
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %

2 Responses to “April 15, 2019”

  1. baffled says:

    HI JAMES , for the perpetual discount ,pwf.pr.s , why is the maturity price $21.91 ? thankyou .

  2. jiHymas says:

    It’s an unfortunate edge-effect.

    As you probably know, on April 12 PWF.PR.S had a bid price of 22.15 and a Limit Maturity end-price of 21.86, compared to the April 15 figures, above, of 21.91 and 21.91.

    How about that? The bid price went down and the end-price went up! How does that make sense?

    Well, it doesn’t. It’s an edge-effect in the programming, cause by:
    i) the call schedule of the issue (it’s only callable at par commencing 2022-4-30), and
    ii) my calculation algorithm ignoring results of less than 5%.

    On April 12, with a bid of 22.15, HIMIPref™ reports a call probability of 6.03% for a call at par 2022-4-30 and the Limit Maturity price (probability 93.97%) is reduced a little.

    On April 15, with a bid of 21.91, the Limit Maturity scenario is reported to have a probability of 100.00%, and the Limit Maturity price is therefore not reduced at all.

    I could make the transitions smoother by reducing the 5% requirement for scenarios to become components of future calculations … but then my calculation time will increase.

    A trade-off has to be made between calculation time and calculation accuracy, (accuracy? Well, let’s say “smoothness”, instead) and, for better or worse, I’ve made mine, despite all the complicated explanations I have to make when being grilled on strange results near the edge. I can only console myself with the thought that the practical effects on the valuation calculation are minor.

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