November 6, 2019

Another bubble has burst:

A real estate developer who raised tens of millions of dollars from dozens of individual investors bundled into syndicated mortgages to fund Toronto-area condominium buildings is facing an investor revolt on one project and insolvency on another.

Dimitrios (Jim) Neilas, chief executive officer of Storey Living Inc., is facing legal fights on two fronts as projects he has pushed – known as the Adelaide Lofts in downtown Toronto and the OpArt condos in Oakville – are now subject to court actions from creditors seeking to sell land parcels that he had hoped to make into condominium or rental properties. At stake are millions of dollars for small investors whose loans are not registered and not protected in an insolvency process, or in the settlement deals proposed by the debtors.

Noor Al-Awqati, the chief operating officer of Hi-Rise Capital Ltd. and principal mortgage broker for the company, denied some of [Ontario’s Superintendent of Financial Services’] claims in an April 3, 2019 affidavit, saying Hi-Rise has received no fees from the Adelaide project since at least September, 2017. He admits to the 14 per cent commission paid on the initial investments, but said Hi-Rise transferred 10 or 12 per cent of each commission to third-parties who referred the investors.

What a great business, eh? 14% commission!

The Ontario Ministry of Finance has announced:

As dividends are paid out of after‐tax corporate earnings, individual shareholders receive dividend tax credits, the rate of which approximates the CIT rate paid by the corporation. Corresponding to the reduction in the small business CIT rate, Ontario’s small business (non‐eligible) dividend tax credit rate would be reduced from 3.2863 per cent to 2.9863 per cent, effective January 1, 2020. As a result, recipients of non‐eligible dividends would receive reduced dividend tax credits.

Apparently (see the Annex) this will raise 55-million annually once it’s running, about 60% of the cost of reducing the small business CIT rate.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.44%, equivalent to 7.07% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 3.34%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has widened sharply to 375bp from the 355bp reported October 30.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1327 % 1,974.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1327 % 3,622.4
Floater 6.12 % 6.26 % 48,406 13.48 4 -0.1327 % 2,087.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1689 % 3,392.7
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.64 % 51,675 3.89 7 0.1689 % 4,051.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1689 % 3,161.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.56 % -18.68 % 52,086 0.09 10 0.2045 % 3,033.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.32 % 5.44 % 67,719 14.74 25 0.0727 % 3,244.7
FixedReset Disc 5.62 % 5.76 % 173,571 14.24 66 -0.2244 % 2,091.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.18 % 5.64 % 64,089 7.81 27 0.0626 % 3,188.4
FloatingReset 6.21 % 6.78 % 94,392 12.78 2 -0.2216 % 2,470.0
FixedReset Prem 5.12 % 3.75 % 152,371 1.63 20 -0.0407 % 2,619.1
FixedReset Bank Non 1.96 % 3.94 % 90,929 2.16 3 -0.2064 % 2,695.7
FixedReset Ins Non 5.43 % 8.21 % 111,656 7.80 22 -0.0966 % 2,133.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc -3.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 11.71
Evaluated at bid price : 11.71
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 10.92
Evaluated at bid price : 10.92
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 15.62
Evaluated at bid price : 15.62
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.56
Bid-YTW : 10.03 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 20.68
Evaluated at bid price : 20.68
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
MFC.PR.R FixedReset Ins Non -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.31
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 13.03
Evaluated at bid price : 13.03
Bid-YTW : 5.96 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 17.14
Evaluated at bid price : 17.14
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 16.04
Evaluated at bid price : 16.04
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 11.20
Evaluated at bid price : 11.20
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
IFC.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 16.80
Evaluated at bid price : 16.80
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 330,524 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 22.62
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc 223,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 13.46
Evaluated at bid price : 13.46
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 53,386 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 53,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.43
Bid-YTW : 8.45 %
EMA.PR.H FixedReset Disc 42,420 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 39,920 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
There were 31 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.23 – 21.65
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2829

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.23
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.91 – 24.58
Spot Rate : 0.6700
Average : 0.5369

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.91
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %

TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 15.62 – 16.11
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3624

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 15.62
Evaluated at bid price : 15.62
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.42 – 23.83
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.3007

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 23.16
Evaluated at bid price : 23.42
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %

TRP.PR.F FloatingReset Quote: 13.52 – 13.95
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3245

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 13.52
Evaluated at bid price : 13.52
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %

BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.66 – 22.94
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1805

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-11-06
Maturity Price : 22.18
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %

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