January 18, 2024

TXPR closed at 561.27, up 0.50% on the day. Volume today was 2.87-million, highest of the past 21 trading days.

CPD closed at 11.13, up 0.27% on the day. Volume was 51,710, second-lowest of the past 21 trading days.

ZPR closed at 9.44, up 0.11% on the day. Volume was 206,980, highest of the past 21 trading days.

Five-year Canada yields were up to 3.57%.

The Globe notes:

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest level in nearly 1-1/2 years. The data added to strong retail sales growth in December in painting an upbeat picture of the economy, and could make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates in March as financial markets anticipate. Bond yields Thursday rose modestly across the curve in both Canada and the U.S.

Traders now see a 56% chance for a 25-basis-point rate cut in March at the Fed, compared with odds above 80% a month ago, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

The chances of an interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada in the first half of this year have been on the decline as well, according to overnight swaps markets, which now see only about 60% odds the first cut will occur in April. Earlier this week, Canada released data showing unexpectedly stubborn core inflation.

Canadian retail sales data for November, due on Friday, could offer clues on the Bank of Canada’s policy outlook ahead of the central bank’s policy decision next week. Economists expect sales to decline 0.1% after rising 0.6% in October.


Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said he was open to reducing rates sooner than he had anticipated if there is “convincing” evidence in coming months that inflation is falling faster than he expected. Bostic had previously said he expected it would be appropriate to cut rates in the second half of 2024.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6585 % 2,215.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6585 % 4,249.6
Floater 10.99 % 11.19 % 40,329 8.67 2 0.6585 % 2,449.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2048 % 3,415.3
SplitShare 4.93 % 7.44 % 50,277 1.97 7 0.2048 % 4,078.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2048 % 3,182.3
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2512 % 2,666.2
Perpetual-Discount 6.44 % 6.56 % 51,594 13.13 34 0.2512 % 2,907.4
FixedReset Disc 5.65 % 7.63 % 109,688 12.11 59 0.3111 % 2,323.6
Insurance Straight 6.27 % 6.45 % 69,813 13.27 20 0.3077 % 2,890.1
FloatingReset 10.33 % 10.73 % 32,167 8.99 5 1.6363 % 2,594.0
FixedReset Prem 5.90 % 6.50 % 146,807 3.35 2 0.1194 % 2,525.7
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3111 % 2,375.1
FixedReset Ins Non 5.51 % 7.28 % 90,807 12.35 14 0.1350 % 2,578.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 18.41
Evaluated at bid price : 18.41
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 14.15
Evaluated at bid price : 14.15
Bid-YTW : 8.32 %
IFC.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 20.95
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 19.57
Evaluated at bid price : 19.57
Bid-YTW : 7.66 %
BN.PF.B FixedReset Disc 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 18.51
Evaluated at bid price : 18.51
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 8.12 %
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 18.74
Evaluated at bid price : 18.74
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
BN.PR.K Floater 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 11.48
Evaluated at bid price : 11.48
Bid-YTW : 11.19 %
BN.PF.G FixedReset Disc 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 16.80
Evaluated at bid price : 16.80
Bid-YTW : 9.11 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
FFH.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 17.10
Evaluated at bid price : 17.10
Bid-YTW : 8.80 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 17.92
Evaluated at bid price : 17.92
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 2.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 17.77
Evaluated at bid price : 17.77
Bid-YTW : 9.63 %
FFH.PR.C FixedReset Disc 2.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 20.12
Evaluated at bid price : 20.12
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %
FFH.PR.F FloatingReset 2.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 10.86 %
IFC.PR.I Insurance Straight 3.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 21.38
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
FFH.PR.D FloatingReset 4.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 21.20
Evaluated at bid price : 21.20
Bid-YTW : 9.88 %
FFH.PR.G FixedReset Disc 5.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 16.46
Evaluated at bid price : 16.46
Bid-YTW : 8.77 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 308,658 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 14.15
Evaluated at bid price : 14.15
Bid-YTW : 8.32 %
BMO.PR.F FixedReset Disc 259,447 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 23.90
Evaluated at bid price : 24.66
Bid-YTW : 7.22 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Prem 171,626 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-02-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 107,560 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 19.03
Evaluated at bid price : 19.03
Bid-YTW : 7.71 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 96,930 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 21.94
Evaluated at bid price : 22.40
Bid-YTW : 6.83 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 76,273 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 19.25
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
There were 19 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.85 – 24.95
Spot Rate : 2.1000
Average : 1.2668

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %

IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight Quote: 21.15 – 22.50
Spot Rate : 1.3500
Average : 0.8539

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %

SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.75 – 20.00
Spot Rate : 1.2500
Average : 0.8020

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %

BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 15.83 – 17.40
Spot Rate : 1.5700
Average : 1.1631

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 15.83
Evaluated at bid price : 15.83
Bid-YTW : 9.40 %

PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount Quote: 18.30 – 18.91
Spot Rate : 0.6100
Average : 0.4259

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %

CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 17.76 – 18.64
Spot Rate : 0.8800
Average : 0.7116

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-01-18
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %

5 Responses to “January 18, 2024”

  1. paullo says:

    By the way, FTS.PR.K going to be extended. Got an email from FTS in my BMO account outlining the option to move to floating.

  2. jambr403 says:

    IrateAR – Thanks for sharing the link. That’s interesting that RY is issuing more preferreds at 7.4%:

    “The Preferred Shares Series BU will yield 7.408 per cent annually, payable semi-annually, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Royal Bank of Canada, for the initial period ending February 24, 2029. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a rate equal to 3.90 per cent over the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield.”

    Might need to swap my TSE:RY-S shares into these when they begin trading and if you can buy them under or close to par.

  3. jambr403 says:

    How would one get in on the initial offering of this? I’d be willing to buy 2K shares at $25 but don’t know how.

  4. jiHymas says:

    Might need to swap my TSE:RY-S shares into these when they begin trading and if you can buy them under or close to par.

    How would one get in on the initial offering of this? I’d be willing to buy 2K shares at $25 but don’t know how.

    Better check the prospectus … from the previous issue:

    The Preferred Shares Series BT may only be offered and sold to “accredited investors” (as such term is defined in National Instrument 45-106 – Prospectus Exemptions (“NI 45-106”) or section 73.3 of the Securities Act (Ontario), as applicable) who are not individuals unless they are also “permitted clients” (as such term is defined in National Instrument 31-103 – Registration Requirements, Exemptions and Ongoing Registrant Obligations (“NI 31-103”)). Each Agent will represent and covenant, severally and not on a joint and several basis, to the Bank that it will only sell the Preferred Shares Series BT to such purchasers. By purchasing Preferred Shares Series BT and accepting delivery of a purchase confirmation such purchaser will be deemed to represent to the Bank and the Agent from whom the purchase confirmation is received that such purchaser is an “accredited investor” (as such term is defined in NI 45-106 or section 73.3 of the Securities Act (Ontario), as applicable) who is not an individual unless such purchaser is also a “permitted client” (as such term is defined in NI 31- 103).

    Subscriptions for Preferred Shares Series BT must be for a minimum of 200 shares for a minimum aggregate subscription price of $200,000.

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