June 18, 2009

The New York Times points out – albeit disapprovingly – one of the good elements of the Obama regulation plan: it leaves Credit Rating Agencies alone:

The proposals call for the agencies to improve disclosure and release more detailed information, as well as establish policies for “managing and disclosing conflicts of interest.”

But the plan does not alter the issuer-pay model, whereby the companies selling securities pay to have them rated. Nor does it encourage competitors to enter the industry, which many regard as an oligopoly.

The proposal does call for regulators to reduce their reliance on agency ratings when deciding whether structured investments are safe enough for banks, insurance companies, pension funds and money market mutual fund investors. Regulators should encourage more independent analysis, a Treasury official said, but the administration did not propose an alternative standard.

Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney gave a speech today:

The performance of core funding markets during the crisis intensified the financial panic and helped trigger the recession. This is totally unacceptable. As a consequence, one of the Bank of Canada’s top priorities is to promote institutional changes to create more robust core funding markets. Promising avenues to break such (il)liquidity spirals include introducing clearing houses, standardizing products, implementing through-the-cycle margining, and ensuring more effective netting.

Does anybody else think this is non-sequiter? When I think of “core funding”, I think of deposits, deposit notes and GICs. One might well make the argument that the “promising avenues” might contain a mathod whereby the market for these instruments remains stable … but Mr. Carney doesn’t.

There is a possibility that the panel surveyed to calculate US LIBOR will increase:

The dollar rose versus the euro yesterday for the first time in three days after British Bankers’ Association said it may allow more institutions to take part in the daily survey that sets Libor, the benchmark for more than $360 trillion of financial products around the world.

“It would be a wider group of banks, so some ‘weaker’ ones who would submit higher rates, thus Libor would aggregate higher,” said Scott Ainsbury, a portfolio manager at New York- based FX Concepts Inc., the world’s largest currency hedge fund with about $12 billion in assets.

Not much price action today in Canadian Preferreds, but volume continued high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -5.2289 % 1,221.5
FixedFloater 7.02 % 5.48 % 35,706 16.32 1 0.0000 % 2,150.2
Floater 3.12 % 3.36 % 81,292 18.86 3 -5.2289 % 1,526.1
OpRet 4.96 % 3.78 % 135,875 0.92 14 0.0931 % 2,196.4
SplitShare 5.82 % 6.24 % 59,589 4.23 3 -0.3499 % 1,873.7
Interest-Bearing 5.99 % 7.69 % 23,215 0.52 1 -0.1992 % 1,991.2
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1097 % 1,737.7
Perpetual-Discount 6.32 % 6.30 % 167,613 13.38 71 0.1097 % 1,600.4
FixedReset 5.68 % 4.83 % 536,966 4.35 39 -0.0800 % 2,011.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRI.PR.B Floater -12.06 % Traded 8,100 shares in a range of 14.80-16.15 before closing at 14.51-15.89 (!). Somebody took out the bid with a sale of 2500 shares at $14.80 at 3:59, with the last ten trades of the day totalling 6200 shares in the last eight minutes of trading … whatever the merits of floaters may be, liquidity is not one of them!
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 14.51
Evaluated at bid price : 14.51
Bid-YTW : 2.71 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 24.61
Evaluated at bid price : 24.66
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
CU.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 24.32
Evaluated at bid price : 24.62
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.81
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.60
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
PWF.PR.M FixedReset 1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.51
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
GWO.PR.X OpRet 129,915 RBC crossed 120,000 at 25.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-09-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %
BAM.PR.P FixedReset 74,039 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 72,325 National crossed 50,000 at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 24.66
Evaluated at bid price : 24.71
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %
RY.PR.N FixedReset 66,625 TD bought 12,900 from National at 26.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.71
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 66,000 Nesbitt bought two blocks from RBC, 14,500 at 22.78 and 15,000 at 22.80, then crossed 32,000 at 22.88.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 22.55
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
RY.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 63,145 RBC crossed blocks of 23,900 and 25,000 shares, both at 18.49.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-06-18
Maturity Price : 18.39
Evaluated at bid price : 18.39
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %
There were 46 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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