October 18, 2018

An article by Andrew Allentuck in Investment Executive titled What is safety worth to fixed-income investors? led me to a 2017 paper by Maxime Leboeuf and James Pinnington titled What Explains the Recent Increase in Canadian Corporate Bond Spreads:

The spread between the yield of a corporate bond and the yield of a similar Government of Canada bond reflects compensation for possible default by the issuing firm and compensation for additional risks beyond default. Using the approach proposed by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012), we find that roughly two-thirds of the total 1.2-percentage-point increase in corporate bond spreads from July 2014 to September 2016—a period when oil prices were low—is due to higher compensation for possible default. Default risk explains most of the increase of spreads for energy and high-yield firms but explains almost none of the increase for financial and investment-grade firms. This suggests that liquidity risk and other factors beyond possible default affected spreads of financial and other investment-grade firms.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2238 % 3,193.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2238 % 5,859.0
Floater 3.40 % 3.59 % 39,663 18.33 4 0.2238 % 3,376.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1032 % 3,228.1
SplitShare 4.61 % 4.82 % 52,955 4.72 5 0.1032 % 3,855.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1032 % 3,007.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 0.04 % 61,206 0.20 12 -0.3658 % 2,901.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.55 % 5.71 % 74,763 14.35 21 -0.2965 % 2,952.2
FixedReset Disc 4.20 % 5.04 % 139,106 15.34 45 -0.0849 % 2,588.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.30 % 6.63 % 65,444 5.26 27 -0.3079 % 2,917.6
FloatingReset 3.60 % 3.80 % 42,821 5.55 4 -0.9558 % 2,846.2
FixedReset Prem 4.88 % 4.29 % 231,901 3.07 34 -0.0875 % 2,565.1
FixedReset Bank Non 3.12 % 3.54 % 69,816 0.35 8 0.0306 % 2,575.6
FixedReset Ins Non 4.41 % 5.53 % 107,913 5.37 22 -0.2582 % 2,539.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 21.09
Evaluated at bid price : 21.09
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Premium -1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 24.22
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 19.25
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Prem -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 24.03
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.49
Bid-YTW : 7.76 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 21.54
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.28
Bid-YTW : 7.47 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 6.73 %
IAG.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 23.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.11
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 7.69 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 7.84 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.41
Bid-YTW : 8.35 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.43
Bid-YTW : 8.34 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Prem -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 24.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.48
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %
IFC.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 57,155 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 55,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 23.48
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
TD.PF.F Perpetual-Discount 46,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 23.81
Evaluated at bid price : 24.26
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 33,790 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.93
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 31,750 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 31,646 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
There were 27 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Premium Quote: 24.51 – 24.93
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2610

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 24.22
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %

BIP.PR.B FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.75 – 26.15
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2468

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %

CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.87 – 23.31
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2871

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.87
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %

MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 23.55 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3306

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %

HSE.PR.E FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.40 – 24.84
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3276

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 24.03
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %

PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset Quote: 21.09 – 21.56
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3929

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2048-10-18
Maturity Price : 21.09
Evaluated at bid price : 21.09
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %

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