Archive for December, 2011

December 14, 2011

Thursday, December 15th, 2011

A sign of things to come?

Credit Agricole SA (ACA), France’s second- largest bank by assets, said it expects to report a loss for 2011 and will eliminate 2,350 jobs at its investment-banking and consumer finance units.

Credit Agricole will book about 2.5 billion euros ($3.24 billion) in writedowns on investments, including its stake in Spain’s Bankinter SA and Banco Espirito Santo SA of Portugal, the bank, based outside Paris, said in an e-mailed statement today.

The company scrapped its dividend for 2011 and said it can’t confirm its 2014 goals because of “the lack of visibility on the economic and financial climate.” The lender joins BNP Paribas SA and Societe Generale SA in reducing corporate- and investment-banking staff.

The overall picture is dire:

Italy had to pay the most in 14 years to sell five-year bonds as Parliament rushes to pass a 30 billion-euro ($39 billion) budget plan that Prime Minister Mario Monti says will bring down record borrowing costs.

The Rome-based Treasury sold 3 billion euros of the bonds, the maximum for the sale, to yield 6.47 percent, the most since May 1997 and up from 6.29 percent at the last auction on Nov. 14.

The euro region’s third-largest economy has to repay about 53 billion euros in debt in the first quarter from the region’s total maturing debt of 157 billion euros, according to UBS AG. It owes a further 3.2 billion euros in interest payments based on the average five-year yield of the past three months.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond was 6.69 percent after the auction at 12:46 p.m. in Rome, up one basis point from yesterday. That pushed the difference with German bonds to 4.69 percentage points. The euro extended its decline against the dollar, trading below $1.30 for the first time since Jan. 12.

On a brighter note, DBRS confirmed the UK:

DBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS) has today confirmed the AAA ratings on the foreign and local currency securities of the United Kingdom (the U.K. or Britain). The ratings are underpinned by the size, openness and diversity of the British economy, its fiscal and monetary policy flexibility, a historical track record of fiscal consolidation, and relatively flexible product and labour markets. In addition, the U.K. benefits from having deep, efficient domestic capital markets and the sterling’s status as a secondary reserve currency.

All this is having an effect:

U.S. stocks retreated, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower for a third straight day, as growing funding stress in Europe fueled concern the region is struggling to contain its sovereign debt crisis.

First Solar Inc. (FSLR), the world’s largest maker of thin-film solar panels, plunged 22 percent after reducing profit estimates and saying it will cut about 100 jobs.

The S&P 500 declined 0.9 percent to 1,214.16 at 3:14 p.m. New York time. The benchmark measure for American equities has fallen 3.3 percent in three days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 123.82 points, or 1 percent, to 11,831.12. The Nasdaq Composite Index (CCMP) slumped 1.5 percent to 2,541.56 as Apple Inc. (AAPL), the largest technology company, lost 2.3 percent.

Still, it’s nice to see a solar energy company get into trouble. Perhaps those hundred guys laid off can find work doing something useful.

Here’s another chapter about excitable bond markets:

Investors, spooked by bank analyst Meredith Whitney’s prediction of “hundreds of billions of dollars” of municipal defaults in 2011, started fleeing the market in record numbers, sending interest rates soaring, according to Craig Sheagren, the hospital’s chief financial officer. As bond buyers ran, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and other underwriters stepped up with offers of loans, letting the institution bypass the public markets.

Refuting Whitney’s forecast, which helped send borrowing costs to two-year highs in January, the $3.7 trillion municipal- bond market rebounded this year, generating an average total return of 10 percent through Dec. 12, better than U.S. Treasuries and corporate bonds, Bank of America Merrill Lynch indexes show. Munis also trounced equities as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost (SPX) 0.6 percent in the same period.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 10bp, FixedResets losing 21bp and DeemedRetractibles down 20bp. There was quite a bit of volatility, mostly to the downside, with MFC and SLF getting hammered. Volume was below average.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.18%, equivalent to 6.73% at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates are now at about 4.65%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 210bp, a significant widening from the 195bp reported December 7.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2905 % 2,044.2
FixedFloater 4.88 % 4.63 % 36,607 17.07 1 0.5168 % 3,155.1
Floater 3.26 % 3.60 % 68,338 18.31 3 0.2905 % 2,207.2
OpRet 4.92 % 1.05 % 56,478 1.42 6 -0.0064 % 2,482.7
SplitShare 5.80 % 6.50 % 61,476 5.11 3 0.0423 % 2,529.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0064 % 2,270.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.50 % 2.95 % 89,434 0.85 18 -0.0141 % 2,166.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.22 % 5.18 % 105,263 15.09 12 0.1033 % 2,320.6
FixedReset 5.11 % 3.06 % 217,430 2.48 64 -0.2143 % 2,337.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.04 % 4.26 % 190,950 3.37 46 -0.1984 % 2,225.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -2.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.77
Bid-YTW : 4.81 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.29
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.58
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.73
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.91
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-14
Maturity Price : 22.99
Evaluated at bid price : 24.60
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.83
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
PWF.PR.M FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-14
Maturity Price : 14.55
Evaluated at bid price : 14.55
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 2.47 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-14
Maturity Price : 19.25
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 2.74 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 835,965 Underwriters’ clearance sale.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.81
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 166,546 Nesbitt sold 10,600 to Scotia at 25.25 and 50,000 to RBC at the same price. RBC crossed 15,000 at 25.25. Nesbitt sold 28,000 to Desjardins at the same price and RBC crossed 21,300 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-14
Maturity Price : 23.30
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 117,900 Desjardins crossed blocks of 50,000 shares, 30,000 and 31,800, all at 25.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-14
Maturity Price : 23.43
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 98,230 Nesbitt bought 20,300 from RBC at 25.70, then crossed 50,000 at 25.79.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet 78,495 TD crossed 25,000 at 24.95, then sold 25,000 to anonymous at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Premium 73,805 Desjardins crossed 39,000 at 25.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.29
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 22.30 – 23.35
Spot Rate : 1.0500
Average : 0.6231

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

BNA.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 23.05 – 23.90
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.5466

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %

RY.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.38 – 25.69
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1906

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.38
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %

IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.60 – 25.92
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2379

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %

BMO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 27.21 – 27.40
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1236

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.21
Bid-YTW : 2.52 %

PWF.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 26.65 – 26.85
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1360

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %

December 13, 2011

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

European banks are frantically raising cash:

European banks, under pressure from regulators to bolster capital, are selling some of their fastest-growing businesses to competitors from outside the region — at the expense of future profit and economic growth.

Spain’s Banco Santander SA (SAN), Belgium’s KBC Groep NV (KBC) and Germany’s Deutsche Bank AG are accelerating plans to exit profitable operations outside their home markets. Santander, which said in October it needs to plug a 5.2 billion-euro ($6.9 billion) capital gap, sold its Colombian unit last week to Chile’s Corpbanca for $1.16 billion. Deutsche Bank is weighing options including a sale of most of its asset-management unit, while KBC may dispose of businesses in Poland.

The MF Global inquiry continues:

Henri Steenkamp, chief financial officer of MF Global, and Bradley Abelow, the firm’s president and chief operating officer, said in testimony prepared for a Senate Agriculture Committee hearing today that they still don’t know the location of the funds.

Jon S. Corzine, former chairman and chief executive officer of the broker, is scheduled to testify at the same witness table, after telling U.S. House lawmakers last week that he never intended to authorize any misuse of client money.

“I do not know why these funds cannot be accounted for, but based on the fact that no shortfalls had been reported to me previously, it appears that any irregularities were likely caused by events that occurred shortly before the bankruptcy filing,” Steenkamp said in the testimony.

I’ve expressed doubts about all this before, and continue to believe that if there actually were nefarious activities, then by now the trustee would be able to testify that “On November X there was a transfer from MF Account Y to a third party account Z instigated by Mr. A” … but that’s not happening. Instead, everybody’s muttering darkly about ‘missing funds’. I suspect that this is mostly, if not entirely, regulatory theatre.

Why do I suspect this? Because that’s what always happens. Nobody’s name will be cleared until nobody cares any more, and in three years we’ll just be left with a hazy memory of executive misconduct foiled by the heroic efforts of dedicated regulatory staff.

But now there’s a theory!

One working theory for the missing money is that it was taken from customer accounts and not replaced with equal collateral, as mandated by law, according to the people familiar with the investigation. Then, they said, after the funds were moved to the broker-dealer unit of MF Global they may have been used to pay margin on the repurchase agreements.

Unless the books are complete spaghetti, I don’t see how that could possibly take more than a day or two to confirm.

The FOMC statement was cheery:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in November suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately, notwithstanding some apparent slowing in global growth. While indicators point to some improvement in overall labor market conditions, the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending has continued to advance, but business fixed investment appears to be increasing less rapidly and the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has moderated since earlier in the year, and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

The Committee also decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions–including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run–are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013.

Voting against the action was Charles L. Evans, who supported additional policy accommodation at this time.

DBRS confirmed BNA at Pfd-2(low):

The downside protection available to the Class AA Preferred Shares is approximately 66.0%, based on the market value of the BAM Shares as of November 25, 2011. The dividend coverage ratio is approximately 1.1 times. As a result, the Company will initially be able to fund the Class AA Preferred Shares distributions without relying on other methods for generating income or reverting to the sale of common shares in the Portfolio. In the event of a shortfall, the Company will sell some of the BAM Shares or write covered call options to generate sufficient income to satisfy its obligations to pay the Class AA Preferred Shares dividends.

The Pfd-2 (low) ratings of the Class AA Preferred Shares are primarily based on the downside protection and dividend coverage available to the Class AA Preferred Shares.

S&P has applied revised methodology to North American banks, which has had an effect on TD, BMO, CM, BNS and RY. NA escaped unscathed.

It was a strong day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts winning 18bp, FixedResets up 12bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 12bp. Volatility was good. Volume was a little below par.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3444 % 2,038.3
FixedFloater 4.91 % 4.66 % 34,707 17.03 1 -0.8709 % 3,138.9
Floater 3.27 % 3.56 % 66,943 18.39 3 -0.3444 % 2,200.9
OpRet 4.92 % 1.52 % 57,286 1.42 6 0.5970 % 2,482.8
SplitShare 5.80 % 6.54 % 61,860 5.11 3 0.4965 % 2,528.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5970 % 2,270.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.50 % 2.87 % 89,932 0.85 18 -0.0065 % 2,166.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.23 % 5.19 % 104,401 15.09 12 0.1838 % 2,318.2
FixedReset 5.10 % 3.04 % 219,116 2.49 64 0.1179 % 2,342.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 4.19 % 192,062 3.31 46 0.1229 % 2,230.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.81
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.21
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.79
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.63
Bid-YTW : 3.17 %
BNA.PR.E SplitShare 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.37
Bid-YTW : 2.82 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 2.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-13
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 24.93
Bid-YTW : 3.35 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 127,251 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-13
Maturity Price : 23.16
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %
RY.PR.F Deemed-Retractible 109,371 RBC crossed blocks of 50,000 shares, 39,000 and 11,000, al at 25.24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Premium 97,905 TD bought 17,100 from Nesbitt at 25.30, then crossed 40,000 at the same price. RBC crossed 14,400 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 66,073 RBC crossed 40,500 at 25.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-13
Maturity Price : 23.44
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 2.89 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 66,000 Nesbitt crossed 65,000 at 27.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.37
Bid-YTW : 2.82 %
BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 35,212 TD crossed 30,000 at 27.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.19
Bid-YTW : 2.53 %
There were 27 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.80 – 26.20
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2604

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.11 – 21.53
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.3177

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.11
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %

PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.21 – 26.49
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1937

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.21
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %

CU.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.70 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2254

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-01-12
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : -12.79 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.25 – 25.44
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1209

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %

SLF.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 23.51 – 23.70
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1237

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %

TLM.PR.A Does Not Charm Market

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Talisman Energy Inc. has announced:

it has completed the sale to a syndicate of underwriters led by RBC Capital Markets and CIBC of 8,000,000 Cumulative Redeemable Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series 1 at a price of CAD$25.00 per share, pursuant to its previously announced public offering of the preferred shares in Canada.

There was a greenshoe for another 2-million shares which was not exercised.

TLM.PR.A is a FixedReset, 4.20%+277 announced December 5. The issue will be tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

The issue traded 68,600 shares in a range of 24.25-88 before closing at 24.10-25. Vital statistics are:

TLM.PR.A FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-12-13
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %

TD: Preferred Technical Downgrade on Global Scale by S&P

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Standard and Poor’s has announced:

  • Following a review of The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) under Standard & Poor’s revised bank criteria (published on Nov. 9, 2011), we are affirming our ratings on the bank, including the ‘AA-/A-1+’ long- and short-term issuer credit ratings. The outlook is stable.
  • The ratings on TD Bank are based on its strong business position, adequate capital and earnings, adequate risk position, and above-average funding and adequate liquidity, compared with those of global peers with the same industry and economic risk scores.
  • The ratings on TD Bank benefit from a one-notch uplift for potential extraordinary government support in a crisis.
  • We expect stable performance from TD Bank’s retail-oriented Canadian and U.S. franchises, based on resilient asset quality and ongoing revenue growth opportunities, despite an uncertain economic outlook.

As we previously announced, on Dec. 13, 2011, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services affirmed its ratings on The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank), including the ‘AA-/A-1+’ long- and short-term issuer credit ratings. The stand-alone credit profile (SACP) on TD Bank is ‘a+’. In addition, we lowered the rating on TD Bank’s nondeferrable subordinated debt to ‘A’ from ‘A+’ and the rating on its preferred shares to ‘A-‘ from ‘A’. The outlook is stable.

The Preferred Share Scale ratings for the issue remain at P-1(low).

TD has the following issues outstanding: TD.PR.O, TD.PR.P, TD.PR.Q and TD.PR.R (DeemedRetractible) and TD.PR.A, TD.PR.C, TD.PR.E, TD.PR.G, TD.PR.I, TD.PR.K, TD.PR.S and TD.PR.Y (FixedReset).

BMO: Preferred Technical Downgrade by S&P

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • Following a review of Bank of Montreal (BMO) under our revised bank criteria (published on Nov. 9, 2011), we are affirming our ‘A+/A-1’ issuer credit rating on BMO. The outlook is stable.
  • Our rating on BMO reflects our adequate scores for the bank’s business position, capital and earnings, and risk position, and average funding and adequate liquidity.
  • The issuer credit rating on BMO incorporates one notch of uplift, reflecting BMO’s high systemic importance in Canada and our assessment of the Canadian government as supportive.
  • We expect the bank to continue to generate consistent earnings, supported by its stable retail banking operations and to benefit from its higher proportion of commercial lending with better growth prospects and manageable loan losses.

As we previously announced, on Dec. 13, 2011, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services affirmed its ‘A+/A-1’ issuer credit rating on Bank of Montreal (BMO). The stand-alone credit profile (SACP) is ‘a’. At the same time, we lowered our ratings on the bank and its subsidiaries’ hybrid securities and preferred stock to ‘BBB+’ from ‘A-‘, two notches below the SACP, consistent with application of our revised bank hybrid capital criteria (published Nov. 1, 2011). The outlook is stable.

As a result of this, the global scale rating is now BBB+; the preferred scale rating is P-2(high); for all issues.

BMO has the following preferred share issues outstanding: BMO.PR.H, BMO.PR.J, BMO.PR.K and BMO.PR.L (DeemedRetractible); and BMO.PR.M, BMO.PR.N, BMO.PR.O, BMO.PR.P and BMO.PR.Q (FixedReset).

CM: Preferred Technical Downgrade by S&P

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • Following a review under Standard & Poor’s revised bank criteria (published on Nov. 9, 2011), we have affirmed our ‘A+/A-1’ issuer credit rating on Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC). The outlook is
    stable.

  • Our ratings on CIBC reflect our adequate assessments for its business position, capital and earnings, risk position, and liquidity, and average funding.
  • The ratings on CIBC benefit from one notch of uplift for potential extraordinary government support in a crisis.
  • We expect CIBC’s profitability to continue to improve as loan quality improves and the company further executes on its core banking strategy.

As we previously announced, on Dec. 13, 2011, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services affirmed its ‘A+/A-1’ issuer credit rating (ICR) on CIBC. The outlook is stable. The stand-alone credit profile (SACP) is ‘a’. In addition, we lowered the rating on CIBC’s nondeferrable subordinated debt to ‘A-‘ from ‘A’ and the rating on its preferred stock to ‘BBB+’ from ‘A-‘. CIBC’s nondeferrable subordinated debt is rated one notch below the ‘a’ SACP as opposed to being notched from the ‘A+’ ICR, based on our new hybrid criteria. Nondeferrable subordinated debt is rated below a bank’s SACP in countries whose legal or regulatory frameworks may not support this type of debt in a stress scenario. Recent guidance from Canada’s Office of the Superintendant of Financial Institutions expresses an expectation that all Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital instruments “must be able to absorb losses in a failed financial institution.” We expect different treatment would apply to capital instruments and senior debt as a Canadian bank approaches a state of nonviability. Preferred stock is rated two notches below the ‘a’ SACP, consistent with our new hybrid criteria.

CM has the following preferred share issues outstanding: CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E and CM.PR.G (PerpetualPremium); CM.PR.I, CM.PR.J and CM.PR.P (DeemedRetractible); and CM.PR.K, CM.PR.L and CM.PR.M (FixedReset).

The change has affected the rating of the preferreds on the local scale: CM.PR.D and CM.PR.E are now P-2 (CM.PR.G is not rated by S&P): all other issues are now P-2(high).

BNS: Preferred Technical Downgrade on Global Scale by S&P

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • Following a review of the Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) under Standard & Poor’s revised bank criteria (published on Nov. 9, 2011), we are affirming the ‘AA-/A-1+’ long- and short-term issuer credit ratings on
    BNS. The outlook is stable.

  • Our ratings on BNS reflect the bank’s strong business position, adequate
    capital and earnings, strong risk position, and average funding and adequate liquidity, as our criteria define these terms.

  • The ratings on BNS benefit from a one-notch uplift for potential extraordinary government support in a crisis.
  • We expect the bank to continue to generate consistent earnings supported by its stable retail banking operations and manageable loan losses.

As we previously announced, on Dec. 13, 2011, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services affirmed its ‘AA-/A-1+’ long- and short-term issuer credit ratings on The Bank of Nova Scotia. The outlook is stable. At the same time, we lowered the ratings on the bank and its subsidiaries’ hybrid securities and preferred stock to ‘A-‘ from ‘A’, two notches below the SACP, consistent with the application of our revised bank hybrid capital criteria (published Nov. 1, 2011).

The issues remain at P-1(low) on the Preferred Scale.

BNS has the following issues outstanding: BNS.PR.J, BNS.PR.K, BNS.PR.L, BNS.PR.M, BNS.PR.N and BNS.PR.O (DeemedRetractible) and BNS.PR.P, BNS.PR.Q, BNS.PR.R, BNS.PR.T, BNS.PR.X, BNS.PR.Y and BNS.PR.Z (FixedReset).

RY: Preferred Technical Downgrade on Global Scale by S&P

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • Following a review of Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) under Standard & Poor’s revised bank criteria (published Nov. 9, 2011), we are affirming the ‘AA-/A-1+’ issuer credit ratings on the bank. The outlook is stable.
  • Our ratings on RBC are based on its strong business position, moderate capital and earnings, strong risk position, and average funding and adequate liquidity, as our criteria define these terms.
  • The issuer credit rating on RBC receives one notch of uplift, reflecting RBC’s high systemic importance in Canada and our assessment of the Canadian government as supportive.
  • We expect the bank to continue to generate consistent earnings supported
    by its premier business franchises in Canada with its stable retail banking operations and manageable loan losses.

As we previously announced, on Dec. 13, 2011, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services affirmed its ‘AA-/A-1+’ issuer credit ratings on Royal Bank of Canada (RBC). The stand-alone credit profile (SACP) is ‘a+’. The outlook is stable. At the same time, we lowered the ratings on the bank and its subsidiaries’ hybrid securities and preferred stock to ‘A-‘ from ‘A’, two notches below the SACP, consistent with application of our revised bank hybrid capital criteria (published Nov. 1, 2011).

We also lowered our ratings on RBC and its subsidiaries’ nondeferrable subordinated debt to ‘A’ from ‘A+’. RBC’s nondeferrable subordinated debt is rated off the ‘a+’ SACP as opposed to being notched from the ‘AA-‘ issuer credit rating, based on our new hybrid criteria. We stipulate that nondeferrable subordinated debt would be rated below a bank’s SACP in countries whose legal or regulatory frameworks may not support this type of debt in a stress scenario. Recent guidance from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) expresses an expectation that, after a transition period, all Tier 1 and 2 capital instruments “must be able to absorb losses in a failed financial institution”. Standard & Poor’s expects differentiated treatment would apply to capital instruments and senior debt as a Canadian bank approaches a state of nonviability.

The issues remain at P-1(low) on the Preferred Scale.

RY has the following preferred shares outstanding: RY.PR.A, RY.PR.B, RY.PR.C, RY.PR.D, RY.PR.E, RY.PR.F, RY.PR.G and RY.PR.H (DeemedRetractible); RY.PR.I, RY.PR.L, RY.PR.N, RY.PR.P, RY.PR.R RY,PR.T, RY.PR.X and RY.PR.Y (FixedReset); and RY.PR.W (PerpetualDiscount)

SLF Put on CreditWatch Negative by S&P

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Sun Life Financial announced December 12:

the completion of a major strategic review of its businesses. Dean A. Connor, President and Chief Executive Officer, said the company will be repositioned to accelerate growth, improve return on shareholders’ equity and reduce volatility by concentrating its future growth into four key pillars:

  • Continuing to build on its leadership position in Canada in insurance, wealth management and employee benefits;
  • Becoming a leader in group insurance and voluntary benefits in the U.S.;
  • Supporting continued growth in MFS Investment Management, and broadening Sun Life’s other asset management businesses around the world; and
  • Strengthening Sun Life’s competitive position in Asia.

As a result of this strategic review, the Company announced that it will close its domestic U.S. variable annuity and individual life products to new sales effective December 30, 2011. The decision to discontinue sales in these two lines of business is based on unfavourable product economics which, due to ongoing shifts in capital markets and regulatory requirements, no longer enhance shareholder value. This decision reflects the Company’s intensified focus on reducing volatility and improving the return on shareholders’ equity by shifting capital to businesses with superior growth, risk and return characteristics.

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • Sun Life Financial Inc. announced that it will discontinue sales of its U.S. variable annuity (VA) and U.S. individual life products effective Dec. 31, 2011.
  • We have placed our ratings on Sun Life Financial Inc., including our ‘A’ counterparty credit rating, on CreditWatch with negative implications, reflecting the potential loss of earnings quality and diversification at the holding company.
  • In addition, we have revised our view of Sun Life Assurance Co. of Canada (U.S.) and subsidiaries (SLUS) to nonstrategically important to Sun Life Financial Inc., from core.
  • As a result, we lowered our long-term counterparty and financial strength rating on SLUS to ‘A-‘ and placed the ratings on CreditWatch with negative implications.
  • The ratings on the Canadian entities within the group are unaffected.


We expect to resolve the CreditWatch within three months, following a more in-depth analysis of the SLUS prospective stand-alone capitalization, earnings, the details of the run-off plan, and the potential parental support.

We could affirm the ratings on Sun Life Financial if, upon further analysis, we believe the loss of earnings from SLUS is immaterial and coverage ratios and earnings diversification from remaining operations continue to support the current holding company notching. Otherwise, we could lower our ratings on the holding company by one notch, so that we would rate it three notches below the financial strength rating on the group’s core subsidiaries instead of the current two notches.

In contrast:

DBRS has today commented on the decision announced today by Sun Life Financial Inc. (SLF or the Company) to stop selling variable annuity and individual life insurance products in the U.S. market. DBRS views the decision favourably. There are no rating changes as a result of this action.

SLF has the following preferred shares outstanding: SLF.PR.A, SLF.PR.B, SLF.PR.C, SLF.PR.D and SLF.PR.E (DeemedRetractible) and SLF.PR.F, SLF.PR.G, SLF.PR.H and SLF.PR.I (FixedReset). All are tracked by HIMIPref™ and assigned to their respective indices.

MFC.PR.G Underwriters' Clearance Sale

Tuesday, December 13th, 2011

Usually reliable sources tell me that the underwriters of MFC.PR.G are blowing out their inventory at 23.75.

MFC.PR.G is a 4.40%+290 FixedReset that settled December 6 to widespread revulsion and despair … the inventory blow-out is happening while the ink’s still wet on the certificate!

It is interesting to compare this with the BCE.PR.K reopening announced yesterday … BCE.PR.K is a 4.15%+188 FixedReset trading at around par.

I don’t get it.

You want to talk about BCE being a better credit than MFC? We can talk. You want to talk about BCE being non-financial and therefore having some scarcity value? We can talk. But is that worth A WHOLE FRIGGIN’ POINT of dividend after reset? Even before accounting for the price difference? You better talk real good!