Archive for August, 2019

ENB.PR.Y : No Conversion To FloatingReset

Friday, August 30th, 2019

Enbridge Inc. has announced (on August 19):

that none of its outstanding Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares, Series 3 (Series 3 Shares) will be converted into Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares, Series 4 of Enbridge (Series 4 Shares) on September 1, 2019.

After taking into account all conversion notices received from holders of its outstanding Series 3 Shares by the August 19, 2019 deadline for the conversion of the Series 3 Shares into Series 4 Shares, less than the 1,000,000 Series 3 Shares required to give effect to conversions into Series 4 Shares were tendered for conversion.

ENB.PR.Y is a FixedReset, 4.00%+238, that commenced trading 2013-6-6 after being announced 2013-5-28. The issue will reset at 3.737% effective September 1, 2019. I recommended against conversion. ENB.PR.Y is tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps – FixedReset (Discount) subindex on credit concerns.

TA.PR.J To Reset At 4.988%

Friday, August 30th, 2019

TransAlta Corporation has announced:

that it does not intend to exercise its right to redeem all or any portion of the currently outstanding Cumulative Redeemable Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series G (“Series G Shares”) (TSX: TA.PR.J) on September 30, 2019 (the “Conversion Date”).

As a result, and subject to certain conditions, the holders of the Series G Shares will have the right to elect to convert all or any of their Series G Shares into Cumulative Redeemable Floating Rate First Preferred Shares, Series H of the Company (“Series H Shares”) on the basis of one Series H Share for each Series G Share on the Conversion Date.

As provided in the share terms of the Series G Shares, the foregoing conversion right is subject to the conditions that: (i) if TransAlta determines that there would remain outstanding immediately following the conversion, less than 1,000,000 Series G Shares, all remaining Series G Shares shall be converted automatically into Series H Shares on a one-for one basis effective September 30, 2019; or (ii) if TransAlta determines that there would remain outstanding immediately after the conversion, less than 1,000,000 Series H Shares, holders of Series G Shares shall not be entitled to convert their shares into Series H Shares on the Conversion Date. There are currently 6,000,000 Series G Shares outstanding.

With respect to any Series G Shares that remain outstanding after September 30, 2019, holders thereof will be entitled to receive quarterly fixed cumulative preferential cash dividends, if, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of TransAlta. The annual dividend rate for the Series G Shares for the five-year period from and including September 30, 2019 to but excluding September 30, 2024, will be 4.988%, being equal to the five-year Government of Canada bond yield of 1.188% determined as of today plus 3.80%, in accordance with the terms of the Series G Shares.

With respect to any Series H Shares that may be issued on September 30, 2019, holders thereof will be entitled to receive quarterly floating rate cumulative preferential cash dividends, if, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of TransAlta. The annual dividend rate for the 3-month floating rate period from and including September 30, 2019 to but excluding December 31, 2019 will be 5.438%, being equal to the annual rate for the most recent auction of 90-day Government of Canada Treasury Bills of 1.638% plus 3.80%, in accordance with the terms of the Series H Shares (the “Floating Quarterly Dividend Rate”). The Floating Quarterly Dividend Rate will be reset every quarter.

The Series G Shares are issued in “book entry only” form and must be purchased or transferred through a participant in the CDS depository service (“CDS Participant”). All rights of holders of Series G Shares must be exercised through CDS or the CDS Participant through which the Series G Shares are held. The deadline for the registered shareholder to provide notice of exercise of the right to convert Series G Shares into Series H Shares is 3:00 p.m. (MST) / 5:00 p.m. (EST) on September 15, 2019. Any notices received after this deadline will not be valid. As such, holders of Series G Shares who wish to exercise their right to convert their shares should contact their broker or other intermediary for more information and it is recommended that this be done well in advance of the deadline in order to provide the broker or other intermediary with time to complete the necessary steps.

If TransAlta does not receive an election notice from a holder of Series G Shares during the time fixed therefor, then the Series G Shares shall be deemed not to have been converted (except in the case of an automatic conversion). Holders of the Series G Shares and the Series H Shares will have the opportunity to convert their shares again on September 30, 2024, and every five years thereafter as long as the shares remain outstanding. For more information on the terms of the Series G Shares and the Series H Shares, please see TransAlta’s articles of amalgamation, including the share terms and shares in series schedule attached thereto as Schedule “A”, which are available on the Company’s website under the Investor Centre (Governance).

TA.PR.J is a FixedReset, 5.30%+380, that commenced trading 2014-8-14 after being announced 2014-8-6. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ and has been assigned to the Scraps index on credit concerns. It was recently downgraded to P-4(high by S&P but remains at Pfd-3(low) with DBRS.

The most logical way to analyze the question of whether or not to convert is through the theory of Preferred Pairs, for which a calculator is available. Briefly, a Strong Pair is defined as a pair of securities that can be interconverted in the future (e.g., TA.PR.J and the FloatingReset that will exist if enough holders convert). Since they will be interconvertible on this future date, it may be assumed that they will be priced identically on this date (if they aren’t then holders will simply convert en masse to the higher-priced issue). And since they will be priced identically on a given date in the future, any current difference in price must be offset by expectations of an equal and opposite value of dividends to be received in the interim. And since the dividend rate on one element of the pair is both fixed and known, the implied average rate of the other, floating rate, instrument can be determined. Finally, we say, we may compare these average rates and take a view regarding the actual future course of that rate relative to the implied rate, which will provide us with guidance on which element of the pair is likely to outperform the other until the next interconversion date, at which time the process will be repeated.

We can show the break-even rates for each FixedReset / FloatingReset Strong Pair graphically by plotting the implied average 3-month bill rate against the next Exchange Date (which is the date to which the average will be calculated). Inspection of the graph and the overall average break-even rates for extant pairs will provide a guide for estimating the break-even rate for the pair now under consideration assuming, of course, that enough conversions occur so that the pair is in fact created.

pairs_fr_190830
Click for Big

The market has lost enthusiasm for floating rate product; the implied rates until the next interconversion are generally well below the current 3-month bill rate as the averages for investment-grade and junk issues are at +0.60% and +0.95%, respectively. Whatever might be the result of the next few Bank of Canada overnight rate decisions, I suggest that it is unlikely that the average rate over the next five years will be lower than current – but if you disagree, of course, you may interpret the data any way you like.

Since credit quality of each element of the pair is equal to the other element, it should not make any difference whether the pair examined is investment-grade or junk, although we might expect greater variation of implied rates between junk issues on grounds of lower liquidity, and this is just what we see.

If we plug in the current bid price of the TA.PR.J FixedReset, we may construct the following table showing consistent prices for its soon-may-be-issued FloatingReset counterpart given a variety of Implied Breakeven yields consistent with issues currently trading:

Estimate of FloatingReset (received in exchange for TA.PR.J) Trading Price In Current Conditions
  Assumed FloatingReset
Price if Implied Bill
is equal to
FixedReset Bid Price Spread 1.50% 1.00% 0.50%
TA.PR.J 15.47 380bp 15.73 15.28 14.83

Based on current market conditions, I suggest that the FloatingResets that will result from conversion are likely to trade below the price of their FixedReset counterparts, TA.PR.J. Therefore, it seems likely that I will recommend that holders of TA.PR.J continue to hold the issue and not to convert, but I will wait until it’s closer to the September 15 notification deadline before making a final pronouncement. I will note that once the FloatingResets commence trading (if, in fact, they do) it may be a good trade to swap one issue for the other in the market once both elements of each pair are trading and you can – hopefully – do it with a reasonably good take-out in price, rather than doing it through the company on a 1:1 basis. But that, of course, will depend on the prices at that time and your forecast for the path of policy rates over the next five years. There are no guarantees – my recommendation is based on the assumption that current market conditions with respect to the pairs will continue until the FloatingResets commence trading and that the relative pricing of the two new pairs will reflect these conditions.

August 30, 2019

Friday, August 30th, 2019
unicorn_190830
Click for Big

TXPR closed at 584.11, up 1.25% on the day. Volume was 4.04-million, second-highest of the past 30 days, surpassed only by yesterday.

CPD closed at 11.65, up 1.13% on the day. Volume of 120,051 was above average but nothing special in the context of the past 30 days.

ZPR closed at 9.29, up 1.53% on the day. Volume of 320,323 was well above average but not extraordinary in the context of the past 30 days.

Five-year Canada yields were unchanged at 1.19% today.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.0538 % 1,803.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.0538 % 3,308.4
Floater 6.62 % 6.71 % 69,249 12.81 4 2.0538 % 1,906.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1697 % 3,377.1
SplitShare 4.67 % 4.53 % 61,733 4.07 7 0.1697 % 4,032.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1697 % 3,146.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 4.21 % 64,037 0.09 9 0.0132 % 2,971.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.50 % 5.62 % 63,858 14.46 25 0.4589 % 3,099.3
FixedReset Disc 5.80 % 5.54 % 162,310 14.48 66 1.8803 % 2,004.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.33 % 6.14 % 75,671 7.91 27 0.4659 % 3,088.3
FloatingReset 4.67 % 7.13 % 68,260 8.01 3 0.3001 % 2,282.3
FixedReset Prem 5.20 % 4.86 % 179,245 1.85 21 0.2408 % 2,565.5
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 4.11 % 89,488 2.34 3 -0.2083 % 2,657.3
FixedReset Ins Non 5.57 % 8.10 % 102,596 7.98 21 1.5535 % 2,066.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.17
Evaluated at bid price : 17.17
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 20.54
Evaluated at bid price : 20.54
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
BMO.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 24.18
Evaluated at bid price : 24.66
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
TD.PF.M FixedReset Prem 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 10.38
Evaluated at bid price : 10.38
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.19
Evaluated at bid price : 17.19
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
CM.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 21.20
Evaluated at bid price : 21.20
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.03
Bid-YTW : 6.81 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 12.46
Evaluated at bid price : 12.46
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 21.19
Evaluated at bid price : 21.19
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset Prem 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 22.33
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 10.29
Evaluated at bid price : 10.29
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 6.93 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 8.05 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.45
Evaluated at bid price : 17.45
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
NA.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 20.32
Evaluated at bid price : 20.32
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.65
Bid-YTW : 8.10 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 11.09
Evaluated at bid price : 11.09
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 19.81
Evaluated at bid price : 19.81
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.26
Bid-YTW : 10.01 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.32
Evaluated at bid price : 16.32
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 12.45
Evaluated at bid price : 12.45
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 10.50
Evaluated at bid price : 10.50
Bid-YTW : 6.71 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 21.21
Evaluated at bid price : 21.21
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc 2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 15.83
Evaluated at bid price : 15.83
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible 2.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.17
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.47
Bid-YTW : 9.44 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.20
Evaluated at bid price : 16.20
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 14.76
Evaluated at bid price : 14.76
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc 2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset Disc 2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non 2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 7.69 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc 2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 18.65
Evaluated at bid price : 18.65
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc 2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.31
Evaluated at bid price : 17.31
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 2.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 15.09
Evaluated at bid price : 15.09
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc 2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 19.33
Evaluated at bid price : 19.33
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.78
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 2.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.11
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
IAF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc 2.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.30
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 2.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.66
Evaluated at bid price : 17.66
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 2.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.17
Bid-YTW : 10.92 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 2.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc 2.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc 2.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 15.10
Evaluated at bid price : 15.10
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 2.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.73
Bid-YTW : 8.77 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 2.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.14
Evaluated at bid price : 17.14
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 2.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 12.19
Evaluated at bid price : 12.19
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non 2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 8.41 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 2.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 8.22 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 2.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 14.17
Evaluated at bid price : 14.17
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
EMA.PR.C FixedReset Disc 3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.52
Evaluated at bid price : 17.52
Bid-YTW : 5.89 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 3.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 3.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 3.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc 3.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 18.39
Evaluated at bid price : 18.39
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc 3.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.45
Evaluated at bid price : 16.45
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc 3.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 12.42
Evaluated at bid price : 12.42
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 3.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.04
Evaluated at bid price : 17.04
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 3.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.96
Evaluated at bid price : 16.96
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 3.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.92
Evaluated at bid price : 17.92
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 3.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 15.47
Evaluated at bid price : 15.47
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 3.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 15.99
Evaluated at bid price : 15.99
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 3.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 10.55
Evaluated at bid price : 10.55
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 4.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.05
Bid-YTW : 10.16 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 4.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.65
Evaluated at bid price : 16.65
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 5.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 14.16
Evaluated at bid price : 14.16
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc 5.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.20
Evaluated at bid price : 16.20
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset Prem 100,527 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset Prem 97,925 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 94,045 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 91,007 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 15.99
Evaluated at bid price : 15.99
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset Ins Non 89,727 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %
NA.PR.X FixedReset Prem 86,081 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %
There were 54 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.17 – 18.13
Spot Rate : 0.9600
Average : 0.5917

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 17.17
Evaluated at bid price : 17.17
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.19 – 13.06
Spot Rate : 0.8700
Average : 0.5745

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 12.19
Evaluated at bid price : 12.19
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %

BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.42 – 17.00
Spot Rate : 0.5800
Average : 0.3337

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 16.42
Evaluated at bid price : 16.42
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %

MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.05 – 18.64
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.3629

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.05
Bid-YTW : 8.22 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 10.40 – 11.01
Spot Rate : 0.6100
Average : 0.4734

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 10.40
Evaluated at bid price : 10.40
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %

PWF.PR.A Floater Quote: 10.55 – 11.01
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3267

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-30
Maturity Price : 10.55
Evaluated at bid price : 10.55
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %

ALA.PR.G To Be Extended

Friday, August 30th, 2019

AltaGas Ltd. has announced:

that it does not intend to exercise its right to redeem any or all of its currently outstanding Cumulative Redeemable Five-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series G (the “Series G Shares”) (TSX: ALA.PR.G) on September 30, 2019 (the “Conversion Date”).

As a result, subject to certain conditions, the holders of the Series G Shares have the right to convert all or part of their Series G Shares on a one-for-one basis into Cumulative Redeemable Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series H (the “Series H Shares”) on the Conversion Date. Holders who do not exercise their right to convert their Series G Shares into Series H Shares will, subject to automatic conversion in the circumstances described below, retain their Series G Shares.

The foregoing conversion right is subject to the conditions that: (i) if AltaGas determines that after giving effect to all conversions there would be less than 1,000,000 Series G Shares outstanding after the Conversion Date, then all remaining Series G Shares will automatically be converted into Series H Shares on a one-for-one basis on the Conversion Date; and (ii) if AltaGas determines that after giving effect to all conversions there would be less than 1,000,000 Series H Shares outstanding after the Conversion Date, no Series G Shares will be converted into Series H Shares. There are currently 8,000,000 Series G Shares outstanding.

With respect to any Series G Shares that remain outstanding after the Conversion Date, holders shall be entitled to receive, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of AltaGas, fixed cumulative preferential cash dividends, payable quarterly. The new annual dividend rate applicable to the Series G Shares for the five-year period commencing on and including September 30, 2019 to, but excluding, September 30, 2024 will be set and announced on September 3, 2019, being equal to the sum of the five-year Government of Canada bond yield as of such date plus 3.06 percent.

With respect to any Series H Shares that may be issued on the Conversion Date, holders shall be entitled to receive, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of AltaGas, quarterly floating rate cumulative preferential cash dividends. The dividend rate applicable to the Series H Shares for the three-month floating rate period commencing on and including September 30, 2019 to, but excluding, December 31, 2019 will be set and announced on September 3, 2019 being equal to the sum of the annual rate of interest for the most recent auction of 90 day Government of Canada treasury bills plus 3.06 percent (the “Floating Quarterly Dividend Rate”). The Floating Quarterly Dividend Rate will be reset every quarter.

Beneficial holders of Series G Shares who wish to exercise their right of conversion should instruct their broker or other nominee to exercise such right during the conversion period, which runs from August 31, 2019 until 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on September 13, 2019. It is recommended that this be done well in advance of the deadline in order to provide the broker or other intermediary with time to complete the necessary steps. Any notices received after this deadline will not be valid.

Subject to the terms and conditions of the Series G Shares and Series H Shares and AltaGas’ right to redeem such shares, holders of the Series G Shares and the Series H Shares will have the opportunity to convert their shares again on September 30, 2024, and every five years thereafter as long as the Series G Shares and Series H Shares remain outstanding.

AltaGas is a leading North American energy infrastructure company with a focus on regulated Utilities, Midstream and Power. AltaGas creates value by growing and optimizing its energy infrastructure, including a focus on clean energy sources. For more information visit: www.altagas.ca.

ALA.PR.G is a FixedReset, 4.75%+306, that commenced trading 2014-7-3 after being announced 2014-6-23. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps subindex on credit concerns. In December, 2018, the issue was downgraded to Pfd-3(low) by DBRS and to P-3 by S&P.

I will have more to say when the reset rate is announced on September 3.

August 29, 2019

Thursday, August 29th, 2019
unicorns_190829
Click for Big

TXPR closed at 576.90, up 1.14% on the day. Volume was 4.29-million, highest of the past 30 days, dwarfing the 3.33-million recorded on each of the next two biggest trading days August 14 and August 15.

CPD closed at 11.52, up 1.14% on the day. Volume of 102,269 was at about the median of the context of the past 30 days.

ZPR closed at 9.15, up 1.10% on the day. Volume of 225,458 well above average but nothing special in the context of the past 30 days.

Five-year Canada yields were up 1bp to 1.19% today.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.0459 % 1,766.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.0459 % 3,241.8
Floater 6.76 % 6.84 % 70,035 12.64 4 2.0459 % 1,868.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0420 % 3,371.3
SplitShare 4.67 % 4.53 % 61,596 4.07 7 0.0420 % 4,026.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0420 % 3,141.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % -1.34 % 65,129 0.09 9 0.3361 % 2,971.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.52 % 5.65 % 64,361 14.42 25 0.4358 % 3,085.2
FixedReset Disc 5.91 % 5.66 % 161,252 14.31 66 1.6048 % 1,967.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.35 % 6.24 % 67,266 7.91 27 0.3197 % 3,073.9
FloatingReset 4.67 % 7.32 % 69,071 8.00 3 2.3651 % 2,275.4
FixedReset Prem 5.21 % 5.00 % 179,279 1.85 21 0.4265 % 2,559.3
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 4.11 % 89,917 2.35 3 0.2088 % 2,662.9
FixedReset Ins Non 5.66 % 8.31 % 106,812 7.96 21 2.1747 % 2,035.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
NA.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
MFC.PR.R FixedReset Ins Non 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.40
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 19.11
Evaluated at bid price : 19.11
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.20
Evaluated at bid price : 17.20
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 18.11
Evaluated at bid price : 18.11
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.82
Evaluated at bid price : 17.82
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 19.99
Evaluated at bid price : 19.99
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 11.85
Evaluated at bid price : 11.85
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.92
Evaluated at bid price : 16.92
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 20.80
Evaluated at bid price : 20.80
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 20.02
Evaluated at bid price : 20.02
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.35
Bid-YTW : 8.31 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset Disc 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 18.25
Evaluated at bid price : 18.25
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 10.14
Evaluated at bid price : 10.14
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.03
Evaluated at bid price : 16.03
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.80
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Prem 1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.03
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 18.89
Evaluated at bid price : 18.89
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
IAF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 14.75
Evaluated at bid price : 14.75
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.25
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.51
Evaluated at bid price : 15.51
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.92
Evaluated at bid price : 15.92
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
BIP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 21.40
Evaluated at bid price : 21.73
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.67
Evaluated at bid price : 16.67
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.94
Evaluated at bid price : 15.94
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
EMA.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.86
Evaluated at bid price : 15.86
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non 1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 20.90
Evaluated at bid price : 20.90
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.15
Bid-YTW : 9.71 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc 1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.65
Evaluated at bid price : 16.65
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc 2.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.36
Evaluated at bid price : 17.36
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.37
Bid-YTW : 8.57 %
IAF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 7.92 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc 2.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.14 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 2.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.02
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 2.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.96
Evaluated at bid price : 17.96
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
IAF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 2.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.27
Bid-YTW : 8.23 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 2.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.09
Bid-YTW : 9.69 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 2.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 8.58 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc 2.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 14.70
Evaluated at bid price : 14.70
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc 2.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 12.03
Evaluated at bid price : 12.03
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset Disc 2.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.15
Evaluated at bid price : 16.15
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc 2.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 20.33
Evaluated at bid price : 20.33
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 2.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 13.76
Evaluated at bid price : 13.76
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 3.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.01
Bid-YTW : 10.24 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 3.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.65
Bid-YTW : 8.15 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 3.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.40
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non 3.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.81
Bid-YTW : 8.78 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 3.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 10.30
Evaluated at bid price : 10.30
Bid-YTW : 6.84 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 3.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.51
Bid-YTW : 10.68 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 3.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 3.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 8.33 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 3.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 12.37
Evaluated at bid price : 12.37
Bid-YTW : 7.32 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 4.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 10.30
Evaluated at bid price : 10.30
Bid-YTW : 6.84 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 4.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.52
Bid-YTW : 11.29 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 4.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.48
Evaluated at bid price : 16.48
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 4.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 12.50
Evaluated at bid price : 12.50
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc 4.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 4.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.30
Bid-YTW : 9.11 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 5.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 10.90
Evaluated at bid price : 10.90
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc 5.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 11.25
Evaluated at bid price : 11.25
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 6.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 10.40
Evaluated at bid price : 10.40
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 6.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 14.45
Evaluated at bid price : 14.45
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 389,564 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 10.40
Evaluated at bid price : 10.40
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 148,692 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 12.50
Evaluated at bid price : 12.50
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 105,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc 92,855 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.94
Evaluated at bid price : 15.94
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 82,228 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 11.85
Evaluated at bid price : 11.85
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 62,362 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
There were 62 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.28 – 22.84
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.3616

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 22.05
Evaluated at bid price : 22.28
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %

BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 15.92 – 16.37
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2890

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 15.92
Evaluated at bid price : 15.92
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %

RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.20 – 17.60
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2391

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 17.20
Evaluated at bid price : 17.20
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %

GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.70 – 23.23
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3884

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.48 – 17.00
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3813

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-29
Maturity Price : 16.48
Evaluated at bid price : 16.48
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

EIT.PR.A SplitShare Quote: 25.25 – 25.64
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2541

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2024-03-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %

August 28, 2019

Wednesday, August 28th, 2019

What a great day! Only two of the three mainstream indicators made new lows!

TXPR closed at 570.42, up 0.02% on the day but not before touching a new 52-week low of 569.32. Volume was 2.80-million, third-highest of the past 30 days, behind only August 14 and August 15.

CPD closed at 11.39, up 0.53% on the day. Volume of 129,692 was above average but nothing special in the context of the past 30 days.

ZPR closed at 9.05, down 0.01% on the day after touching a new 52-week low of 8.98. Volume of 394,302 was second highest of the past 30 days, behind only August 13.

Five-year Canada yields were up 1bp to 1.18% today.

I note with amusement that TXPR has traced out the first part of a pretty good parabola this month:

txpr_190828
Click for Big

Doubtless there are Technical Analysts out there who will deem this very significant.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.64%, equivalent to 7.33% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 3.15%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has widened to an eye-popping 420bp, a new post-Credit Crunch record (second only to the 445bp recorded November 26, 2008, a day on which

The TXPR index was down 5.94% on the BCE news.

) and a widening from the 410bp reported August 21.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7795 % 1,731.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7795 % 3,176.8
Floater 6.90 % 7.05 % 48,513 12.38 4 0.7795 % 1,830.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0903 % 3,369.9
SplitShare 4.67 % 4.48 % 61,044 4.08 7 -0.0903 % 4,024.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0903 % 3,140.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.66 % 3.82 % 65,649 0.09 9 -0.0575 % 2,961.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.55 % 5.64 % 65,173 14.46 25 0.1221 % 3,071.8
FixedReset Disc 6.00 % 5.71 % 158,945 14.24 66 0.0976 % 1,936.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.33 % 6.26 % 66,235 7.81 27 -0.0757 % 3,064.1
FloatingReset 4.78 % 3.98 % 29,596 2.33 3 -0.2483 % 2,222.9
FixedReset Prem 5.23 % 5.11 % 177,705 1.88 21 0.0704 % 2,548.4
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 4.28 % 83,250 2.35 3 0.4474 % 2,657.3
FixedReset Ins Non 5.77 % 8.57 % 107,672 7.93 21 -0.4144 % 1,992.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc -2.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 10.63
Evaluated at bid price : 10.63
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non -2.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 9.22 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 8.92 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.08
Bid-YTW : 11.11 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
IFC.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.18
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 18.90
Evaluated at bid price : 18.90
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
IAF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 15.25
Evaluated at bid price : 15.25
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 9.79
Evaluated at bid price : 9.79
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.00
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non 1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 8.21 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 2.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 14.90
Evaluated at bid price : 14.90
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 160,009 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.08
Bid-YTW : 8.57 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset Ins Non 130,605 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 129,558 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 14.90
Evaluated at bid price : 14.90
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc 36,716 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 16.27
Evaluated at bid price : 16.27
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 35,565 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 19.92
Evaluated at bid price : 19.92
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 29,499 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.02
Bid-YTW : 11.81 %
There were 40 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 13.59 – 14.10
Spot Rate : 0.5100
Average : 0.3064

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 13.59
Evaluated at bid price : 13.59
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %

CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.05 – 17.49
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2686

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 17.05
Evaluated at bid price : 17.05
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %

CM.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.00 – 23.40
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2446

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %

GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.00 – 23.36
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2331

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.18 – 24.74
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.4372

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.18
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 9.79 – 10.20
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2873

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-28
Maturity Price : 9.79
Evaluated at bid price : 9.79
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %

August 27, 2019

Tuesday, August 27th, 2019

Another day, another three more 52-week lows!

TXPR closed at 570.29, down 0.35% on the day and just barely above its new 52-week low of 570.28. Volume was 2.54-million, high but not extraordinary in the context of the past thirty days.

CPD closed at 11.33, a new 52-week low and down 0.79% on the day. Volume of 110,835 was near the median in the context of the past 30 days.

ZPR closed at 9.06, down 0.66% on the day after touching a new 52-week low of 9.045. Volume of 177,769 was above average but nothing special in the context of the past 30 days.

Five-year Canada yields were down 8bp to 1.17% today.

For those who would really appreciate a bit of good news, I’ll pass along the tidbit that Queue de Cheval, my favourite steakhouse, is coming to Toronto in November.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.4049 % 1,717.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -2.4049 % 3,152.2
Floater 6.95 % 7.14 % 48,276 12.27 4 -2.4049 % 1,816.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0056 % 3,373.0
SplitShare 4.66 % 4.52 % 60,756 4.08 7 -0.0056 % 4,028.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0056 % 3,142.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.66 % 0.21 % 64,573 0.09 9 0.0663 % 2,962.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.56 % 5.64 % 61,638 14.43 25 -0.2579 % 3,068.1
FixedReset Disc 6.00 % 5.74 % 154,426 14.27 66 -0.3349 % 1,934.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.33 % 6.24 % 66,960 7.82 27 -0.0443 % 3,066.5
FloatingReset 4.77 % 3.98 % 30,820 2.33 3 0.0106 % 2,228.4
FixedReset Prem 5.23 % 5.07 % 176,574 1.88 21 -0.0209 % 2,546.6
FixedReset Bank Non 1.99 % 4.44 % 84,322 2.35 3 -0.0978 % 2,645.5
FixedReset Ins Non 5.75 % 8.52 % 101,963 7.93 21 -0.2057 % 2,000.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.A Floater -5.12 % Real enough, since the issue traded 20,050 shares today in a range of 10.21-75 before closing at 10.20-50. Fourteen of the last twenty-five trades (from 2:01pm to the close) were in the 10.21-29 range.

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 10.20
Evaluated at bid price : 10.20
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -3.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 15.68
Evaluated at bid price : 15.68
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 16.77
Evaluated at bid price : 16.77
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.65
Bid-YTW : 9.64 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non -2.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %
BAM.PR.C Floater -1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 9.83
Evaluated at bid price : 9.83
Bid-YTW : 7.17 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc -1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 15.42
Evaluated at bid price : 15.42
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 20.53
Evaluated at bid price : 20.53
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 9.66
Evaluated at bid price : 9.66
Bid-YTW : 6.60 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 9.87
Evaluated at bid price : 9.87
Bid-YTW : 7.14 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 19.62
Evaluated at bid price : 19.62
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 15.30
Evaluated at bid price : 15.30
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 14.67
Evaluated at bid price : 14.67
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 15.74
Evaluated at bid price : 15.74
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Disc -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 22.40
Evaluated at bid price : 23.18
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 17.41
Evaluated at bid price : 17.41
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 20.37
Evaluated at bid price : 20.37
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 9.87
Evaluated at bid price : 9.87
Bid-YTW : 7.14 %
BIP.PR.C FixedReset Prem 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 17.27
Evaluated at bid price : 17.27
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
CM.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 22.67
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 169,272 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
TD.PF.M FixedReset Prem 125,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 22.69
Evaluated at bid price : 23.79
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 82,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc 48,719 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 48,165 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 19.15
Evaluated at bid price : 19.15
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 44,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 10.28
Evaluated at bid price : 10.28
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
There were 39 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.76 – 24.79
Spot Rate : 1.0300
Average : 0.6324

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 23.30
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %

CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.10 – 22.79
Spot Rate : 0.6900
Average : 0.5208

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %

IAF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.36 – 22.06
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.5350

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.36
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %

BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.25 – 21.71
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3193

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 21.25
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %

TD.PF.M FixedReset Prem Quote: 23.79 – 24.19
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2715

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 22.69
Evaluated at bid price : 23.79
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.22 – 14.63
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2846

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-27
Maturity Price : 14.22
Evaluated at bid price : 14.22
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %

EFN.PR.E To Be Extended

Tuesday, August 27th, 2019

Element Fleet Management Corp. has announced (although not yet on their website):

that, pursuant to the rights, privileges, restrictions and conditions attaching to the Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series E of the Corporation (the “Series E shares”), as provided in the Corporation’s restated articles of incorporation dated October 4, 2016, the holders of Series E shares have the right, at their option, on September 30, 2019 (the “Series E Conversion Date”) to convert all, or any part, of the then outstanding Series E shares into Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series F of the Corporation (the “Series F shares”) on the basis of one Series F share for each Series E share converted (the “Series E Conversion Privilege”).

The dividend rate applicable to the Series E shares for the period from and including September 30, 2019 up to, but excluding, September 30, 2024, and the dividend rate applicable to the Series F shares for the period from and including September 30, 2019 up to, but excluding, December 31, 2019, will be determined by the Corporation and announced by way of a news release on September 3, 2019.

Beneficial owners of Series E shares who wish to exercise their Series E Conversion Privilege should communicate with their broker or other nominee to obtain instructions for exercising such Series E Conversion Privilege during the notice period, which will run from September 3, 2019 until 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on September 16, 2019.

The foregoing Series E Conversion Privilege is subject to the following: (i) holders of Series E shares shall not be entitled to convert their Series E shares into Series F shares on the Series E Conversion Date if the Corporation determines that there would remain outstanding on the Series E Conversion Date less than 500,000 Series F shares, after taking into account all Series E shares tendered for conversion into Series F shares, and (ii) alternatively, if the Corporation determines that there would remain outstanding on the Series E Conversion Date less than 500,000 Series E shares after taking into account all Series E shares tendered for conversion into Series F shares, then all, but not part, of the remaining Series E shares shall automatically be converted into Series F shares on the basis of one Series F share for each Series E share on the Series E Conversion Date. In either case, the Corporation will give written notice to that effect to the sole registered holder of the Series E shares at least seven days prior to the Series E Conversion Date.

EFN.PR.E is a FixedReset, 6.40%+472, that was announced 2014-6-2 but not immediately tracked by HIMIPref™ as it was unrated. Coverage commenced in September, 2015 after the company’s preferreds were rated Pfd-3 by DBRS.

I will have more to say once the reset rate is announced on September 3.

August 26, 2019

Monday, August 26th, 2019

Well, we got through the G-7 meeting without any major disruptions, so let’s thank Heaven for small mercies!

In the meantime, two of the three mainstream indicators made new 52-week lows today:

TXPR closed at 572.79, a new 52-week low and down 0.12% on the day. Volume was 2.04-million, about the median for the past thirty days.

CPD closed at 11.42, down 0.52% on the day after touching a new 52-week low of 11.40. Volume of 114,368 was near the median in the context of the past 30 days.

ZPR closed at 9.12, up 0.22% on the day. Volume of 176,652 was above average but nothing special in the context of the past 30 days.

Five-year Canada yields were up 4bp to 1.25% today.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0736 % 1,760.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0736 % 3,229.9
Floater 6.79 % 7.03 % 44,892 12.40 4 -0.0736 % 1,861.4
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2547 % 3,373.2
SplitShare 4.66 % 4.57 % 60,763 4.08 7 0.2547 % 4,028.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2547 % 3,143.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.66 % -3.80 % 66,147 0.09 9 -0.0265 % 2,960.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.54 % 5.64 % 61,063 14.47 25 -0.0644 % 3,076.0
FixedReset Disc 5.98 % 5.73 % 160,681 14.35 66 -0.0429 % 1,940.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.32 % 6.24 % 62,048 7.82 27 -0.0786 % 3,067.8
FloatingReset 4.75 % 3.97 % 30,075 2.34 3 -0.1235 % 2,228.2
FixedReset Prem 5.23 % 4.94 % 168,623 1.88 21 -0.0342 % 2,547.2
FixedReset Bank Non 1.99 % 4.45 % 87,412 2.35 3 0.0140 % 2,648.1
FixedReset Ins Non 5.73 % 8.45 % 99,658 7.94 21 0.1945 % 2,004.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -2.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 11.88
Bid-YTW : 11.21 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.19
Bid-YTW : 9.33 %
EMA.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 16.56
Evaluated at bid price : 16.56
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 18.01
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset Disc -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 15.51
Evaluated at bid price : 15.51
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.29
Bid-YTW : 11.03 %
NA.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 20.16
Evaluated at bid price : 20.16
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 11.80
Evaluated at bid price : 11.80
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 20.18
Evaluated at bid price : 20.18
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.12
Evaluated at bid price : 21.12
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 14.52
Evaluated at bid price : 14.52
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 13.52
Evaluated at bid price : 13.52
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 8.42 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.95
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.05
Evaluated at bid price : 21.05
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 16.61
Evaluated at bid price : 16.61
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.15
Bid-YTW : 8.72 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 2.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 8.45 %
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc 2.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 15.11
Evaluated at bid price : 15.11
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc 4.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 10.95
Evaluated at bid price : 10.95
Bid-YTW : 6.75 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.M FixedReset Prem 145,080 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Disc 59,165 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 22.54
Evaluated at bid price : 23.45
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 54,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 13.52
Evaluated at bid price : 13.52
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset Prem 45,463 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 24.31
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 45,290 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.95
Bid-YTW : 6.57 %
BMO.PR.B FixedReset Prem 33,277 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 24.31
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PF.I FixedReset Prem Quote: 24.75 – 25.33
Spot Rate : 0.5800
Average : 0.3651

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 23.36
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %

ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.71 – 22.30
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.3929

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.71
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %

BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc Quote: 15.52 – 16.05
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3341

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 15.52
Evaluated at bid price : 15.52
Bid-YTW : 6.75 %

EMA.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.56 – 17.12
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.3705

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-08-26
Maturity Price : 16.56
Evaluated at bid price : 16.56
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %

GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.72 – 26.19
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3239

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-09-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.72
Bid-YTW : -17.09 %

IAF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.48 – 21.98
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3541

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.48
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %

TD.PF.M & CM.PR.Y: Still Expensive

Saturday, August 24th, 2019

Assiduous Reader coolmesh asked on the August 20 post:

I’ve been watching TD.PF.M getting hammered the last four weeks. Good rate, good reset rate and good quality company. Any thoughts on what’s going there?

TD.PF.M is a FixedReset 5.10%+356, NVCC, that commenced trading 2019-6-4 after being announced 2019-5-24. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedReset (Discount) subindex.

CM.PR.Y is a FixedReset, 5.15%+362, NVCC, that commenced trading 2019-6-4 after announced May 24. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedReset (Discount) subindex.

June 4 was the last date we saw a new issue start to trade, as the new issue market is currently ‘closed for re-pricing’, we might say. We might normally expect a bank issue or two to be announced once the banks have gotten their 19Q3 earnings announcements out of the way, but given the tone of the market it won’t be surprising if they just give this opportunity a miss. On the other hand, the grossly foreshortened 5-year call-lockout period for FixedResets means that issuers have relatively little at risk in offering so-called perpetual product in times of elevated yields (this has always been a crucial point with this structure) so who knows?

It will be recalled that with respect to the issue-date pricing of TD.PF.M, I concluded:

According to this [Implied Volatility] analysis, the fair price of the new issue is 23.58, down 0.69 from the announcement day fair value of 24.27.

… while the conclusion for CM.PR.Y was:

According to this analysis, the fair price of the new issue is 23.71, down from the announcement day fair-value of 24.85, but alert Assiduous Readers will have noticed that the Implied Volatility plot is very peculiar, having three expensive issues and four cheap ones, with nothing in between.

So let’s update the Implied Volatility Analyses:

impvol_td_190823
Click for Big
impvol_cm_190823
Click for Big

According to these analyses, TD.PF.M continues to be very expensive, bid at 23.86 with a fair price of 22.54; the same applies to CM.PR.Y, bid at 23.50 with a fair value of 22.44.

And now we can turn to relative performance for the month-to-date:

perf_pfd2_190731_190823b
Click for Big

So neither TD.PF.M (Spread +356bp, Performance -4.71%) nor CM.PR.Y (+362bp, -5.81%) are too far out of line with either the series for their issuers or with the general “Pfd-2 Group” (which includes Pfd-2(high) and Pfd-2(low) issues). In fact, they’ve done relatively well due to their relatively high Issue Reset Spreads, although correlation is poor.

There are three obvious outliers that are ruining the correlation analysis: CIU.PR.C (+136bp, -1.55%); BAM.PF.J (+310bp, -0.76%); and VNR.PR.A (+281bp, +0.40%); the last of which is inching towards acquisition at par. If we perform the correlation analysis without these three, we find a correlation of 19% – which isn’t bad, given three weeks of chaos – and it is this correlation that is shown on the chart.

So the short answer to the question:

Any thoughts on what’s going there?

is … the market’s blown up and these issues are not immune. Note that both of these recent new issues remain expensive relative to their peers and I expect this premium pricing to decay over the next twelve months or so, which is equivalent to saying that I expect them both to underperform.