Category: Issue Comments

Issue Comments

DFN.PR.A Retractions: Quadravest Coy

Quadravest has announced:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) invests in a high-quality portfolio consisting of 15 leading Canadian dividend-yielding stocks. The top five holdings currently held in the portfolio are as follows: Royal Bank of Canada, Manulife Financial Corp., Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Sun Life Financial Inc. and TC Energy Corp.

The recent extension of the Company’s termination date included a retraction right for Class A shareholders and Preferred shareholders. The Company will not require a rebalance of shares and all retraction rights have been satisfied.

The Company may use the normal course issuer to repurchase Class A shares at or below intrinsic value. The current intrinsic value exceeds $6.80 per share.

As previously announced, the annual dividend rate for the Preferred Shares has been set at 7.00% for the fiveyear renewal period effective December 1, 2024. The dividend policy for the Class A Shares will remain at the current targeted rate of $0.10 per share monthly, or $1.20 per annum.

Some details would be appreciated! Like, how many shares of each class were retracted? I wouldn’t expect many preferreds got retracted, given that the issue has been trading over par for the past three months, but what about the Capital Units? Inquiring minds want to know!

The terms of the extension were reported on PrefBlog.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader IrateAR for bringing this to my attention!

Issue Comments

DF.PR.A Retractions: Quadravest Coy

Quadravest has announced:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. II (the “Company”) invests
in a high-quality portfolio consisting of 15 leading Canadian dividend-yielding stocks. The top five holdings currently held in the portfolio are as follows: Manulife Financial Corp., Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada and Sun Life Financial Inc.

The recent extension of the Company’s termination date included a retraction right for Class A shareholders and Preferred shareholders. The Company will not require a rebalance of shares and all retraction rights have been satisfied.

The Company may use the normal course issuer to repurchase Class A shares at or below intrinsic value. The current intrinsic value exceeds $7.00 per share.

As previously announced, the annual dividend rate for the Preferred Shares has been set at 7.00% for the fiveyear renewal period effective December 1, 2024. The dividend policy for the Class A Shares will remain at the current targeted rate of $0.10 per share monthly, or $1.20 per annum.

Some details would be appreciated! Like, how many shares of each class were retracted? I wouldn’t expect many preferreds got retracted, given that the issue has been trading over par for the past three months, but what about the Capital Units? Inquiring minds want to know!

The terms of the extension were reported on PrefBlog.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader IrateAR for bringing this to my attention!

Issue Comments

FFN.PR.A Retraction: Quadravest Coy on Details

Quadravest has announced:

North American Financial 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) invests in a high-quality portfolio consisting of 15 financial services companies made up of 40% Canadian and 60% U.S. issuers. The top five holdings currently held in the portfolio are as follows: JP Morgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo & Co., and Bank of America.

The recent extension of the Company’s termination date included a retraction right for Class A shareholders and Preferred shareholders. The Company will not require a rebalance of shares and all retraction rights have been satisfied.

The Company may use the normal course issuer to repurchase Class A shares at or below intrinsic value. The current intrinsic value exceeds $8.00 per share.

As previously announced, the annual dividend rate for the Preferred Shares has been set at 8.75% (subject to a 5-year minimum of 7%). The dividend policy for the Class A Shares will remain at the current targeted rate of $0.11335 per month, or $1.36 per annum.

This retraction potential existed due to the extension of the fund’s term, which came with special retraction provisions.

As IrateAR remarks, the Capital Units have shown:

crazy price moves in that one the last few days.

… which may be the reason Quadravest saw fit to issue the above press release – nothing has yet been disclosed for other extended issues DF.PR.A, LFE.PR.B, FTN.PR.A and DFN.PR.A.

FFN showed a 2024-12-11 VWAP of 7.26 on normal volume of a little under 300,000 shares, but on 2024-12-12, volume spiked to nearly 700,000 shares with a VWAP of 7.12. Today’s VWAP was 7.04 (and it closed much higher) on volume of 1.36-million, which is all wild enough.

What makes it stranger is that, as hinted in the press release, the Capital Units are trading below intrinsic value – the NAVPU was 18.29 on 2024-11-29, so it’s easy to believe the claim that the current intrinsic value exceeds 8.00 per share. It’s not normal for a Capital Unit to trade below intrinsic! It is, effectively, a reasonably normal leveraged portfolio that is also long a put option (to the preferred shareholders, at a NAVPU strike price of 10.00) on the whole whack. To trade below intrinsic, Capital Unitholders would have to assign a value to the fees and expenses associated with the fund which, horrendous though they might be, are rarely accounted for.

So … something’s going on with the Capital Units that I don’t understand. Prior to the press release, it might have been uncertainty – a good sized consolidation of capital units would have:

  • reduced the projected income of the shareholders, and
  • decreased their leverage

both of which are considered undesirable. But, at around 2pm today the share price commenced to skyrocket, from the day’s low of about 6.85 to the close of 7.31; this was well after niagara posted the link to the press release (10:38am; I don’t know the time the press release itself was issued). So who knows? Maybe it was something as mundane as a big investor unloading a hatful of them (or a big retail advisor unloading on behalf of clients). If so, someone sure absorbed a high market impact cost for the privilege of getting out in a hurry.

Coming on top of DFN.PR.A’s high-volume price drop yesterday, it all leaves me quite befuddled!

Issue Comments

PPL.PF.B To Be Redeemed

Pembina Pipeline Corporation has announced:

its intention to redeem its issued and outstanding Cumulative Redeemable Floating Rate Class A Preferred Shares, Series 22 (“Series 22 Shares”) (TSX: PPL.PF.B) on January 8, 2025 (the “Redemption Date”).

Pembina intends to redeem all of its 1,028,130 issued and outstanding Series 22 Shares, in accordance with the terms of the Series 22 Shares, as set out in the Company’s articles of amendment dated December 1, 2017 on the Redemption Date for a redemption price equal to $25.50, plus all accrued and unpaid dividends thereon but excluding the Redemption Date per Series 22 Share (the “Redemption Price”), less any tax required to be deducted or withheld by the Company. The total redemption price to Pembina will be approximately $26 million.

The Company has provided notice today of the Redemption Price and the Redemption Date to the sole registered holder of the Series 22 Shares in accordance with the terms of the Series 22 Shares, as set out in the Company’s articles of amendment dated December 1, 2017. For non-registered holders of Series 22 Shares, no further action is required however, they should contact their broker or other intermediary with any questions regarding the redemption process for the Series 22 Shares in which they hold a beneficial interest. The Company’s transfer agent for the Series 22 Shares is Computershare Investor Services Inc. Questions regarding the redemption process may also be directed to Computershare at 1-800-564-6253 or by email to corporateactions@computershare.com.

The PPL.PF.B shares resulted from a partial conversion from PPL.PF.A, which was announced 2023-2-14:

Pembina Pipeline Corporation (“Pembina”) (TSX: PPL; NYSE: PBA) announced today that holders of an aggregate of 1,028,130 of its 16,000,000 Cumulative Redeemable Minimum Rate Reset Class A Preferred Shares, Series 21 (“Series 21 Shares”) have elected to convert, on a one-for-one basis, their Series 21 Shares into Cumulative Redeemable Floating Rate Class A Preferred Shares, Series 22 of Pembina (“Series 22 Shares”). As a result of the exercise of such conversion rights, on March 1, 2023, Pembina will have 14,971,870 Series 21 Shares and 1,028,130 Series 22 Shares issued and outstanding. The Series 21 Shares and the Series 22 Shares will be listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbols PPL.PF.A and PPL.PF.B, respectively.

.

In turn, PPL.PF.A was issued as a FixedReset 4.90%+326M490 that commenced trading 2017-12-7 after being announced 2017-11-28. It reset to 6.302% effective 2023-3-1. I regret to say that I missed the notice of conversion. PPL.PF.A is tracked by HIMIPref™, but has been relegated to the Scraps – FixedResets (Discount) subindex on credit concerns.

This is the first example I know of in which the ‘anytime redemption at a premium’ privilege generally attached to FloatingResets has been invoked – and there I was, thinking that it would never happen unless we returned to 1981 and saw Canadian policy rates spike to 21%. Shows how much I know!

Thanks to Assiduous Reader KB for bringing this to my attention!

Issue Comments

L.PR.B To Be Redeemed

Loblaw Companies Limited has announced:

its intention to redeem for cash all of its 9,000,000 outstanding Second Preferred Shares, Series B (the “Series B Shares”) on January 8, 2025 (the “Redemption Date”) at a redemption price equal to $25.00 per share, for an aggregate amount of $225 million, together with all accrued and unpaid dividends up to but excluding the Redemption Date in the amount of $0.02944 per Series B Share (collectively, the “Redemption Price”), less any tax required to be deducted and withheld by the Company.

Formal notice will be delivered to the sole registered holder of the Series B Shares in accordance with the terms of the Series B Shares contained in the Company’s articles.

The Series B Share redemption will not impact the Company’s previously announced quarterly dividend on the Series B Shares, payable on December 31, 2024 to shareholders of record on December 15, 2024. After the Series B Shares are redeemed, holders of Series B Shares will cease to be entitled to dividends and will not be entitled to exercise any rights as holders other than to receive the Redemption Price.

Non-registered holders of Series B Shares should contact their broker or other intermediary for information regarding the redemption process for the Series B Shares in which they hold a beneficial interest. The Company’s transfer agent for the Series B Shares is Computershare Trust Company of Canada (“Computershare”). Questions regarding the redemption process may be directed to Computershare at 1-800-564-6253 or by email to corporateactions@computershare.com.

Following the redemption on January 8, 2025, the Series B Shares will be delisted from and no longer trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”).

L.PR.B is a 5.30% Straight Perpetual commenced trading 2015-6-9 after being announced 2015-6-2. It has been tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

This was another market windfall, with the issue up 10.68% today on high volume.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader peet for bringing this to my attention!

Issue Comments

BIK.PR.A Redeemed

BIP Investment Corporation, an indirect subsidiary of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P., has announced (on 2024-12-02):

the voting results from the special meeting of holders of its senior preferred shares, series 1 (the “Preferred Shares”) held today in a virtual meeting format (the “Meeting”). BIPIC also announced that it intends to redeem all of the outstanding Preferred Shares for cash on December 5, 2024.

Results of Special Meeting

The special resolution (“Special Resolution”) to permit the redemption of the Preferred Shares by BIPIC at any time on not less than three business days’ notice for an amount in cash equal to C$26.75 per Preferred Share was approved by the holders of the Preferred Shares at the Meeting. Detailed voting results are set out below.

The following is a summary of the votes cast by holders of Preferred Shares with respect to the Special Resolution:

Votes For % Votes Against %
451,956 80.30% 110,901 19.70%

A summary of all votes cast by holders of the Preferred Shares represented at the Meeting is available on SEDAR+ at https://sedarplus.ca/.

Redemption of Preferred Shares

BIPIC has provided notice of its intention to redeem all of the outstanding Preferred Shares for cash on December 5, 2024. The redemption price for each Preferred Share will be C$26.75. Holders of Preferred Shares of record as of November 29, 2024 will also receive the previously declared final quarterly dividend of $0.4671875 per Preferred Share on December 5, 2024.

The intention to vote was previously reported on PrefBlog.

Issue Comments

BPO.PR.A To Reset To 6.164%

Brookfield Office Properties Inc., a subsidiary of Brookfield Property Partners L.P., has announced:

the reset dividend rate on its Class AAA Preference Shares, Series AA (“Series AA Shares”) (TSX: BPO.PR.A).

If declared, the fixed quarterly dividends on the Series AA Shares for the five years commencing January 1, 2025 and ending December 31, 2029 will be paid at an annual rate of 6.164% ($0.38525 per share per quarter).

Holders of Series AA Shares have the right, at their option, exercisable not later than 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on December 16, 2024, to convert all or part of their Series AA Shares, on a one-for-one basis, into Class AAA Preference Shares, Series BB (the “Series BB Shares”), effective December 31, 2024.

The quarterly floating rate dividends on the Series BB Shares have an annual rate, calculated for each quarter, of 3.15% over the annual yield on three-month Government of Canada treasury bills. The actual quarterly dividend rate for the January 1, 2025 to March 31, 2025 dividend period for the Series BB Shares will be 1.63479% (6.6% on an annualized basis) and the dividend, if declared, for such dividend period will be $0.408698 per share, payable on March 31, 2025.

Holders of Series AA Shares are not required to elect to convert all or any part of their Series AA Shares into Series BB Shares.

As provided in the share conditions of the Series AA Shares, (i) if Brookfield determines that there would be fewer than 1,000,000 Series AA Shares outstanding after December 31, 2024, all remaining Series AA Shares will be automatically converted into Series BB Shares on a one-for-one basis effective December 31, 2024; and (ii) if Brookfield determines that there would be fewer than 1,000,000 Series BB Shares outstanding after December 31, 2024, no Series AA Shares will be permitted to be converted into Series BB Shares. There are currently 11,845,858 Series AA Shares outstanding.

The Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) has conditionally approved the listing of the Series BB Shares effective upon conversion. Listing of the Series BB Shares is subject to Brookfield fulfilling all the listing requirements of the TSX and, upon approval, the Series BB Shares will be listed on the TSX under the trading symbol “BPO.PR.B”.

BPO.PR.A was issued as a FixedReset, 4.75%+315, that commenced trading 2014-10-23 after being announced 2014-10-7. BPO.PR.A reset at 4.709% effective 2020-1-1. There was no conversion. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

Issue Comments

TRP.PR.A To Reset At 4.939%; Interconvertible with TRP.PR.F

TC Energy Corporation has announced:

that it does not intend to exercise its right to redeem its Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series 1 (Series 1 Shares) and Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series 2 (Series 2 Shares) on Dec. 31, 2024. As a result, subject to certain conditions:

(a) the holders of Series 1 Shares have the right to choose one of the following options with regard to their shares:

1. to retain any or all of their Series 1 Shares and continue to receive a fixed rate quarterly dividend; or

2. to convert, on a one-for-one basis, any or all of their Series 1 Shares into Series 2 Shares and receive a floating rate quarterly dividend, and

(b) the holders of Series 2 Shares have the right to choose one of the following options with regard to their shares:

1. to retain any or all of their Series 2 Shares and continue to receive a floating rate quarterly dividend; or

2. to convert, on a one-for-one basis, any or all of their Series 2 Shares into Series 1 Shares and receive a fixed rate quarterly dividend.

Should a holder of Series 1 Shares choose to retain their shares, such shareholders will receive the new annual fixed dividend rate applicable to Series 1 Shares of 4.939 per cent for the five-year period commencing Dec. 31, 2024 to, but excluding, Dec. 31, 2029. Should a holder of Series 1 Shares choose to convert their shares to Series 2 Shares, holders of Series 2 Shares will receive the floating quarterly dividend rate applicable to the Series 2 Shares of 5.401 per cent for the three-month period commencing Dec. 31, 2024 to, but excluding, Mar. 31, 2025. The floating dividend rate will be reset every quarter.

Should a holder of Series 2 Shares choose to retain their shares, such shareholders will receive the floating quarterly dividend rate applicable to Series 2 Shares of 5.401 per cent for the three-month period commencing Dec. 31, 2024 to, but excluding, Mar. 31, 2025. The floating dividend rate will be reset every quarter. Should a holder of Series 2 Shares choose to convert their shares to Series 1 Shares, holders of Series 1 Shares will receive the new fixed quarterly dividend rate applicable to the Series 1 Shares of 4.939 per cent for the five-year period commencing Dec. 31, 2024 to, but excluding, Dec. 31, 2029.

Beneficial owners of Series 1 Shares and Series 2 Shares who want to exercise their right of conversion should communicate as soon as possible with their broker or other nominee and ensure that they follow their instructions in order to meet the deadline to exercise such right, which is 5 p.m. (EST) on Dec. 16, 2024. Any notices received after this deadline will not be valid. As such, it is recommended that this be done well in advance of the deadline in order to provide the broker or other nominee with time to complete the necessary steps.

Beneficial owners of Series 1 or Series 2 Shares who do not provide notice or communicate with their broker or other nominee by the deadline will retain their respective Series 1 Shares or Series 2 Shares, as applicable, and receive the new dividend rate applicable to such shares, subject to the conditions stated below.

The foregoing conversions are subject to the conditions that: (i) if TC Energy determines that there would be less than one million Series 1 Shares outstanding after Dec. 31, 2024, then all remaining Series 1 Shares will automatically be converted into Series 2 Shares on a one-for-one basis on Dec. 31, 2024, and (ii) if TC Energy determines that there would be less than one million Series 2 Shares outstanding after Dec. 31, 2024, then all of the remaining outstanding Series 2 Shares will automatically be converted into Series 1 Shares on a one-for-one basis on Dec. 31, 2024. In either case, TC Energy will issue a news release to that effect no later than Dec. 23, 2024.

Holders of Series 1 Shares and Series 2 Shares will have the opportunity to convert their shares again on Dec. 31, 2029 and in every fifth year thereafter as long as the shares remain outstanding. For more information on the terms of, and risks associated with an investment in the Series 1 Shares and the Series 2 Shares, please see the prospectus supplement dated Sept. 22, 2009 which is available on sedarplus.ca or on our website.

About TC Energy
We’re a team of 6,500+ energy problem solvers connecting the world to the energy it needs. Our extensive network of natural gas infrastructure assets is one-of-a-kind. We seamlessly move, generate and store energy and deliver it to where it is needed most, to homes and businesses in North America and across the globe through LNG exports. Our natural gas assets are complemented by our strategic ownership and low-risk investments in power generation.

TC Energy’s common shares trade on the Toronto (TSX) and New York (NYSE) stock exchanges under the symbol TRP. To learn more, visit us at TCEnergy.com.

TRP.PR.A commenced trading 2009-9-30 after being announced 2009-9-22. It commenced life as a FixedReset, 4.60%+192, that reset to 3.266% effective 2014-12-31. Assiduous Readers may recall that I have blamed the 2014 reset of TRP.PR.A for what we might now call ‘the first half’ of the current bear market. I recommended conversion to TRP.PR.F in 2014 and there was a conversion rate of about 62%. The company announced the extension to 2024 on 2019-11-21. TRP.PR.A reset at 3.479% effective 2019-12-31. I recommended holding, or converting to, TRP.PR.A and there was a 23% net conversion to that issue.

TRP.PR.F commenced trading 2014-12-31 after a partial conversion from TRP.PR.A.

Issue Comments

FFH.PR.C & FFH.PR.D To Be Redeemed

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced:

its intention to redeem all of its 7,515,642 outstanding Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series C (the “Series C Shares”) and all of its 2,484,358 outstanding Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series D (the “Series D Shares” and, together with the Series C Shares, the “Preferred Shares”) on December 31, 2024 (the “Redemption Date”) at a redemption price equal to C$25.00 per share, for an aggregate total amount of approximately C$250 million, together with all accrued and unpaid dividends up to but excluding the Redemption Date (the “Redemption Price”), less any tax required to be deducted and withheld by Fairfax.

Formal notice will be delivered to the sole registered holder of the Preferred Shares in accordance with the terms of the Preferred Shares of the applicable series as set out in Fairfax’s articles.

Separately from the Redemption Price, (i) the final quarterly dividend of C$0.294313 per Series C Share will be paid in the usual manner to holders of Series C Shares on December 31, 2024, and (ii) the final quarterly dividend of C$0.47858 per Series D Share will be paid in the usual manner to holders of Series D Shares December 30, 2024, in each case to shareholders of record on December 13, 2024.

Fairfax intends to use a portion of the net proceeds from the previously announced public offering of C$700 million aggregate principal amount of its Senior Notes to redeem the outstanding Preferred Shares.

Non-registered holders of Preferred Shares should contact their broker or other intermediary for information regarding the redemption process for the series of Preferred Shares in which they hold a beneficial interest. Fairfax’s transfer agent for the Preferred Shares is Computershare Trust Company of Canada (“Computershare”). Questions regarding the redemption process may be directed to Computershare at 1-800-564-6253 or by email to corporateactions@computershare.com.

Following the redemption on December 31, 2024, the Series C Shares and the Series D Shares will be delisted from and no longer trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”).

Fairfax is a holding company which, through its subsidiaries, is primarily engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance and the associated investment management.

For further information contact: John Varnell, Vice President, Corporate Development at (416) 367-4941

FFH.PR.C was issued as a cumulative FixedReset issue, 5.75%+315 that commenced trading 2009-10-5 after being announced 2009-9-29. It reset to 4.578% in 2014. I recommended in favour of conversion to FloatingResets. The conversion rate was about 40%. FFH.PR.C reset at 4.709% effective 2020-1-1. I recommended against conversion.

FFH.PR.D resulted from 40% conversion from FFH.PR.C in 2014 and commenced trading 2014-12-31.

As noted in the press release, this redemption was foreshadowed by the issuance of senior debt, with the potential redemption of preferreds being mentioned as a possible (probable?) use of proceeds.

Thanks to Assiduous Reader IrateAR for bringing this to my attention!

Issue Comments

HSE: DBRS Upgrades to Pfd-3(high) [2022-12-19]

DBRS has announced (on 2022-12-19 … boy, I really missed this one! My only solace is that I have it right in the HIMIPref™ database) that it:

upgraded Cenovus Energy Inc.’s (Cenovus or the Company) Issuer Rating and Senior Unsecured Debt rating to BBB (high) from BBB and the Company’s Preferred Shares rating to Pfd-3 (high) from Pfd-3. All trends are Stable. The upgrades follow the significant reduction in gross debt ($4.3 billion in 2022), which has improved the Company’s credit metrics and financial risk profile. The Stable trends reflect DBRS Morningstar’s expectation that the reduction in gross debt will allow the Company to maintain its lease-adjusted debt-to-cash flow ratio at around 1.50 times (x) under DBRS Morningstar’s base-case commodity price assumptions (see “DBRS Morningstar Updates Oil and Natural Gas Price Forecasts: Midcycle Pricing Band Widened and Oil Price Forecast Raised” dated September 26, 2022).

Stronger commodity prices, noncore asset sales, and a focus on reducing debt have allowed Cenovus to deleverage materially and well ahead of DBRS Morningstar’s expectation at the close of the acquisition of Husky Energy Inc (Husky Acquisition). Cenovus continues to prioritize deleveraging and expects to direct approximately 50% of the expected excess free funds flow (cash flow less capex, base dividends on common and preferred shares, decommissioning liabilities, and principal repayment of leases, plus proceeds from asset divestitures) surplus toward the balance sheet until it achieves its revised net debt (debt excluding operating leases and netting out of cash) target of $4.0 billion (Q3 2022: $5.28 billion). Based on its base-case commodity price assumptions, DBRS Morningstar expects Cenovus to reach its net debt target in Q1 2023. The rating upgrade is driven by DBRS Morningstar’s assessment that the reduction in gross debt in 2022 and achievement of its net debt target should allow the Company to maintain its financial risk profile commensurate with the rating through commodity price cycles. DBRS Morningstar also believes that the improvement in balance sheet strength provides the Company the flexibility to address challenges and costs associated with meeting voluntary and regulatory mandated greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets.

Cenovus’ business risk profile is strong and is underpinned by its (1) significant size (production of 777.9 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (Mboe/d) and upgrader/refinery throughput of 533.5 thousand barrels (bbl) per day in Q3 2022); (2) integrated upstream and downstream operations; and (3) long-life, low-cost oil sands assets at Foster Creek and Christina Lake and contracted production in Asia-Pacific. DBRS Morningstar expects the Company to maintain its business risk profile with a modest increase in near-term production driven by the Sunrise acquisition and optimization/debottlenecking projects at the Company’s oil sands assets and medium term growth through further optimization of oil sands assets and the West White Rose (WWR) project. Cenovus’ downstream integration is also expected to improve with the acquisition of the remaining stake in the Toledo refinery (expected to close in 2023), startup of the Superior refinery in Q1 2023, and capital investments aimed at optimizing and reducing operating costs at its downstream operations. The Company’s business risk profile remains constrained by its exposure to lower margin heavy and thermal oil and high concentration of oil-producing assets in Western Canada.

Cenovus expects production in 2023 to average between 800 Mboe/d and 840 Mboe/d with a budgeted capex of $4.0 billion to $4.5 billion. While capex in 2023 is higher relative to 2022 because of cost inflation and committed capital spend on the WWR project, it also includes a growth/discretionary component of $0.5 billion to $1 billion (excluding the WWR project), which could be scaled back if required. DBRS Morningstar expects the Company to generate a material free cash flow (cash flow after capex and dividends) surplus in 2023 and 2024 despite DBRS Morningstar’s expectation that the WTI price of crude oil will decline to the middle of DBRS Morningstar’s midcycle pricing band of USD 50 to USD 70 per barrel (/bbl) over the period. DBRS Morningstar expects the Company’s liquidity position to remain strong with its committed credit facilities totalling $5.5 billion remaining largely unused.

A further upgrade would require the Company to reduce gross debt and improve its lease-adjusted debt-to-cash flow ratio to consistently around 1.00x. Conversely, should oil prices weaken materially (below USD $45/bbl) and credit metrics stay weak for an extended period, DBRS Morningstar may take a negative rating action.

Affected issues are CVE.PR.A, CVE.PR.B, CVE.PR.C, CVE.PR.E and CVE.PR.G.